Jarren Duran Prop projections for Philadelphia Phillies at Boston Red Sox on Jun 13, 2024

Jarren Duran Player Prop: Home Runs

Home Runs Prop Odds:

  • Home Runs 0.5 over: 575
  • Home Runs 0.5 under: -900

Trends Favoring The Over Home Runs Prop

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jarren Duran in the 79th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.

Jarren Duran is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 9th-best field in Major League Baseball for lefty home runs.

The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this game, the 2nd-strongest of the day for hitters.

Batting from the opposite that Aaron Nola throws from, Jarren Duran will have the upper hand in today's matchup.

Trends Favoring The Under Home Runs Prop

The league's 2nd-highest average fence height can be found at Fenway Park.

Fenway Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league parks, which generally leads to lower offensive output.

In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report forecasts the 4th-most favorable pitching conditions of all games on the slate.

With a .278 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) this year, Jarren Duran has performed in the 12th percentile for hitting ability.

Jarren Duran's 5.3% Barrel% (a reliable stat to assess power) ranks in the 23rd percentile since the start of last season.

Jarren Duran Home Runs Prop Projection

Jarren Duran is projected to have 0.1 Home Runs in todays game.


Jarren Duran Player Prop: Hits Runs and RBIs

Hits Runs and RBIs Prop Odds:

  • Hits Runs and RBIs 1.5 over: -156
  • Hits Runs and RBIs 1.5 under: 125

Trends Favoring The Over Hits Runs and RBIs Prop

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jarren Duran in the 96th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.

Jarren Duran is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this game.

Fenway Park grades out as the #2 field in MLB for run-scoring, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this game, the 2nd-strongest of the day for hitters.

Batting from the opposite that Aaron Nola throws from, Jarren Duran will have the upper hand in today's matchup.

Trends Favoring The Under Hits Runs and RBIs Prop

The league's 2nd-highest average fence height can be found at Fenway Park.

Fenway Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league parks, which generally leads to lower offensive output.

In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report forecasts the 4th-most favorable pitching conditions of all games on the slate.

The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense projects as the 4th-strongest out of every team on the slate today.

With a .278 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) this year, Jarren Duran has performed in the 12th percentile for hitting ability.

Jarren Duran Hits Runs and RBIs Prop Projection

Jarren Duran is projected to have 2.2 Hits Runs and RBIs in todays game.


Jarren Duran Player Prop: Hits

Hits Prop Odds:

  • Hits 1.5 over: 180
  • Hits 1.5 under: -233

Trends Favoring The Over Hits Prop

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jarren Duran in the 96th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.

Jarren Duran is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this game.

Fenway Park grades out as the #5 ballpark in baseball for LHB batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this game, the 2nd-strongest of the day for hitters.

Batting from the opposite that Aaron Nola throws from, Jarren Duran will have the upper hand in today's matchup.

Trends Favoring The Under Hits Prop

Fenway Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league parks, which generally leads to lower offensive output.

In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report forecasts the 4th-most favorable pitching conditions of all games on the slate.

The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense projects as the 4th-strongest out of every team on the slate today.

Despite posting a .340 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Jarren Duran has been very fortunate given the .020 difference between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .320.

With a .278 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) this year, Jarren Duran has performed in the 12th percentile for hitting ability.

Jarren Duran Hits Prop Projection

Jarren Duran is projected to have 1.1 Hits in todays game.


Jarren Duran Player Prop: RBIs

RBIs Prop Odds:

  • RBIs 0.5 over: 165
  • RBIs 0.5 under: -240

Trends Favoring The Over RBIs Prop

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jarren Duran in the 96th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.

Jarren Duran is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this game.

Fenway Park grades out as the #2 field in MLB for run-scoring, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this game, the 2nd-strongest of the day for hitters.

Batting from the opposite that Aaron Nola throws from, Jarren Duran will have the upper hand in today's matchup.

Trends Favoring The Under RBIs Prop

The league's 2nd-highest average fence height can be found at Fenway Park.

Fenway Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league parks, which generally leads to lower offensive output.

In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report forecasts the 4th-most favorable pitching conditions of all games on the slate.

The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense projects as the 4th-strongest out of every team on the slate today.

With a .278 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) this year, Jarren Duran has performed in the 12th percentile for hitting ability.

Jarren Duran RBIs Prop Projection

Jarren Duran is projected to have 0.4 RBIs in todays game.


Jarren Duran Player Prop: Total Bases

Total Bases Prop Odds:

  • Total Bases 1.5 over: -120
  • Total Bases 1.5 under: -110

Trends Favoring The Over Total Bases Prop

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jarren Duran in the 96th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.

Jarren Duran is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this game.

Fenway Park grades out as the #2 field in MLB for run-scoring, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this game, the 2nd-strongest of the day for hitters.

Batting from the opposite that Aaron Nola throws from, Jarren Duran will have the upper hand in today's matchup.

Trends Favoring The Under Total Bases Prop

The league's 2nd-highest average fence height can be found at Fenway Park.

Fenway Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league parks, which generally leads to lower offensive output.

In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report forecasts the 4th-most favorable pitching conditions of all games on the slate.

The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense projects as the 4th-strongest out of every team on the slate today.

With a .278 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) this year, Jarren Duran has performed in the 12th percentile for hitting ability.

Jarren Duran Total Bases Prop Projection

Jarren Duran is projected to have 1.9 Total Bases in todays game.