James Paxton projections, stats and prop bet odds for Boston Red Sox at Los Angeles Dodgers on Jul 21, 2024
James Paxton Player Prop Bet: Pitching Outs
Pitching Outs Prop Bet Odds:
- Pitching Outs 15.5 over: 115
- Pitching Outs 15.5 under: -147
Trends Favoring The Over Pitching Outs Prop Bet
It may be best to expect worse numbers for the Boston Red Sox offense in the future, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) sees them as the 4th-luckiest offense in baseball this year.
Tripp Gibson projects as a Pitchers Umpire and is scheduled to be umping in today's game.
Because of his large reverse platoon split, James Paxton will hold the advantage matching up with 6 hitters in the projected offense who bat from the other side today.
James Paxton will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats across the board.
James Paxton's curveball usage has risen by 9.2% from last season to this one (19.3% to 28.5%) .
Trends Favoring The Under Pitching Outs Prop Bet
The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts James Paxton in the 12th percentile when assessing his overall pitching talent level.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Dodger Stadium as the 2nd-best stadium in the majors for home runs.
The 5th-shallowest centerfield fences among all parks are found in Dodger Stadium.
In the majors, Dodger Stadium has the lowest average fence height.
Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report forecasts the 2nd-highest temperatures on the slate today at 88°.
Projection For Today's James Paxton Pitching Outs Prop Bet
James Paxton is projected to have 15.8 Pitching Outs in todays game.
James Paxton Player Prop Bet: Strikeouts
Strikeouts Prop Bet Odds:
- Strikeouts 4.5 over: -161
- Strikeouts 4.5 under: 128
Trends Favoring The Over Strikeouts Prop Bet
Tripp Gibson projects as a Pitchers Umpire and is scheduled to be umping in today's game.
Because of his large reverse platoon split, James Paxton will hold the advantage matching up with 6 hitters in the projected offense who bat from the other side today.
James Paxton will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats across the board.
James Paxton's curveball usage has risen by 9.2% from last season to this one (19.3% to 28.5%) .
James Paxton has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his strikeouts this year, posting a 6.08 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 7.33 — a 1.25 K/9 difference.
Trends Favoring The Under Strikeouts Prop Bet
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects James Paxton in the 25th percentile when assessing his strikeout skill.
Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report forecasts the 2nd-highest temperatures on the slate today at 88°.
The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters.
In his last start, James Paxton didn't have his best stuff when it came to striking hitters out and was only able to post 1 Ks.
James Paxton's 2090-rpm spin rate on his fastball this year is a notable 118-rpm fall off from last year's 2208-rpm figure.
Projection For Today's James Paxton Strikeouts Prop Bet
James Paxton is projected to have 4.6 Strikeouts in todays game.
James Paxton Player Prop Bet: Earned Runs
Earned Runs Prop Bet Odds:
- Earned Runs 2.5 over: -125
- Earned Runs 2.5 under: -105
Trends Favoring The Over Earned Runs Prop Bet
The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts James Paxton in the 12th percentile when assessing his overall pitching talent level.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Dodger Stadium as the 2nd-best stadium in the majors for home runs.
The 5th-shallowest centerfield fences among all parks are found in Dodger Stadium.
In the majors, Dodger Stadium has the lowest average fence height.
Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report forecasts the 2nd-highest temperatures on the slate today at 88°.
Trends Favoring The Under Earned Runs Prop Bet
It may be best to expect worse numbers for the Boston Red Sox offense in the future, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) sees them as the 4th-luckiest offense in baseball this year.
Tripp Gibson projects as a Pitchers Umpire and is scheduled to be umping in today's game.
Because of his large reverse platoon split, James Paxton will hold the advantage matching up with 6 hitters in the projected offense who bat from the other side today.
James Paxton will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats across the board.
James Paxton's curveball usage has risen by 9.2% from last season to this one (19.3% to 28.5%) .
Projection For Today's James Paxton Earned Runs Prop Bet
James Paxton is projected to have 3.2 Earned Runs in todays game.
