Jake Irvin projections, stats and prop bet odds for Cincinnati Reds at Washington Nationals on Jul 21, 2024

Jake Irvin Player Prop Bet: Earned Runs

Earned Runs Prop Bet Odds:

  • Earned Runs 2.5 over: -125
  • Earned Runs 2.5 under: -105

Trends Favoring The Over Earned Runs Prop Bet

In MLB, Nationals Park's RF fences are the 7th-shallowest.

Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report predicts the hottest weather on the schedule today at 90°.

Jake Irvin gave up a monstrous 6 earned runs in his last GS.

With a 0.93 deviation between Jake Irvin's 3.49 ERA and his 4.42 estimated true talent ERA (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT), it's safe to say he's been one of the luckiest pitchers in the league this year and ought to see worse results the rest of the season.

Jake Irvin has recorded a .265 BABIP this year, indicating that he has been one of the luckiest pitchers in the league on balls in play and regression likely forthcoming.

Trends Favoring The Under Earned Runs Prop Bet

The 3rd-worst projected offense of the day in terms of overall batting ability is that of the Cincinnati Reds.

The #6 ballpark in the majors for suppressing base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Nationals Park.

Jake Irvin will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his metrics across the board.

Despite conventional wisdom, fastballs are generally a pitcher's least effective pitch. Jake Irvin has used his off-speed and breaking balls 11% more often this season (46.4%) than he did last year (35.4%).

Cincinnati Reds bats collectively rank among the worst in baseball this year ( worst) when assessing their 87.7-mph average exit velocity.

Projection For Today's Jake Irvin Earned Runs Prop Bet

Jake Irvin is projected to have 2.6 Earned Runs in todays game.


Jake Irvin Player Prop Bet: Pitching Outs

Pitching Outs Prop Bet Odds:

  • Pitching Outs 17.5 over: -204
  • Pitching Outs 17.5 under: 146

Trends Favoring The Over Pitching Outs Prop Bet

Tallying 93.1 adjusted pitches per start this year on average, Jake Irvin checks in at the 80th percentile.

The 3rd-worst projected offense of the day in terms of overall batting ability is that of the Cincinnati Reds.

The #6 ballpark in the majors for suppressing base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Nationals Park.

Jake Irvin will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his metrics across the board.

Despite conventional wisdom, fastballs are generally a pitcher's least effective pitch. Jake Irvin has used his off-speed and breaking balls 11% more often this season (46.4%) than he did last year (35.4%).

Trends Favoring The Under Pitching Outs Prop Bet

In MLB, Nationals Park's RF fences are the 7th-shallowest.

Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report predicts the hottest weather on the schedule today at 90°.

Jake Irvin gave up a monstrous 6 earned runs in his last GS.

With a 0.93 deviation between Jake Irvin's 3.49 ERA and his 4.42 estimated true talent ERA (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT), it's safe to say he's been one of the luckiest pitchers in the league this year and ought to see worse results the rest of the season.

Jake Irvin has recorded a .265 BABIP this year, indicating that he has been one of the luckiest pitchers in the league on balls in play and regression likely forthcoming.

Projection For Today's Jake Irvin Pitching Outs Prop Bet

Jake Irvin is projected to have 16.3 Pitching Outs in todays game.


Jake Irvin Player Prop Bet: Strikeouts

Strikeouts Prop Bet Odds:

  • Strikeouts 5.5 over: -109
  • Strikeouts 5.5 under: -125

Trends Favoring The Over Strikeouts Prop Bet

Tallying 93.1 adjusted pitches per start this year on average, Jake Irvin checks in at the 80th percentile.

The Cincinnati Reds have 3 bats in their projected batting order today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Will Benson, Rece Hinds, Elly De La Cruz).

Jake Irvin will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his metrics across the board.

Despite conventional wisdom, fastballs are generally a pitcher's least effective pitch. Jake Irvin has used his off-speed and breaking balls 11% more often this season (46.4%) than he did last year (35.4%).

Trends Favoring The Under Strikeouts Prop Bet

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Nationals Park as the 6th-worst park in the game for strikeouts.

Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report predicts the hottest weather on the schedule today at 90°.

Projection For Today's Jake Irvin Strikeouts Prop Bet

Jake Irvin is projected to have 5.2 Strikeouts in todays game.