Hayden Birdsong MLB projections and prop bets for St. Louis Cardinals at San Francisco Giants on Sep 29, 2024
Hayden Birdsong Player Prop Bet: Strikeouts
Strikeouts Prop Bet Odds:
- Strikeouts 4.5 over: -145
- Strikeouts 4.5 under: 110
Trends Favoring The Over Strikeouts Prop Bet
When assessing his strikeout ability, the leading projection system (THE BAT) places Hayden Birdsong in the 82nd percentile among all starters in the majors.
Vic Carapazza grades out as a Pitchers Umpire and is likely to be calling pitches today.
Patrick Bailey, the Giants's expected catcher in today's matchup, grades out as an elite pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Built just 8 feet above sea level, Oracle Park has one of the lowest elevations in the majors, which often leads to lower offensive output.
In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report forecasts the 2nd-most suitable pitching conditions on the schedule today.
Trends Favoring The Under Strikeouts Prop Bet
Considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Hayden Birdsong is projected to throw 82 pitches in this matchup by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 15th-least of the day.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oracle Park as the 4th-worst venue in MLB for strikeouts.
Considering the 0.61 difference between Hayden Birdsong's 10.24 K/9 and his 9.63 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it's safe to say he's been one of the most fortunate pitchers in Major League Baseball this year as it relates to strikeouts and figures to see negative regression the rest of the season.
Projection For Hayden Birdsong Strikeouts Prop Bet
Hayden Birdsong is projected to have 4.6 Strikeouts in this weeks game.
Hayden Birdsong Player Prop Bet: Earned Runs
Earned Runs Prop Bet Odds:
- Earned Runs 2.5 over: 123
- Earned Runs 2.5 under: -169
Trends Favoring The Over Earned Runs Prop Bet
Among all major league stadiums, Oracle Park's RF fences are the shallowest.
Hayden Birdsong has posted a .259 BABIP this year, making him one of the luckiest mound aces in the game on balls in play and regression likely forthcoming.
Hayden Birdsong has posted a 1.79 K/BB rate this year, ranking in the 20th percentile.
Collectively, St. Louis Cardinals batters have shined when it comes to hitting balls in the launch angle span that tends to optimize base hits (between -4° and 26°), rating 3rd-best in the majors.
Trends Favoring The Under Earned Runs Prop Bet
Vic Carapazza grades out as a Pitchers Umpire and is likely to be calling pitches today.
Patrick Bailey, the Giants's expected catcher in today's matchup, grades out as an elite pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
The #1 park in baseball for suppressing walks, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oracle Park.
Oracle Park has the highest fence height (on average) in MLB.
In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report forecasts the 2nd-most suitable pitching conditions on the schedule today.
Projection For Hayden Birdsong Earned Runs Prop Bet
Hayden Birdsong is projected to have 2.1 Earned Runs in this weeks game.
