Drew Thorpe projections, stats and prop bet odds for Chicago White Sox at Kansas City Royals on Jul 21, 2024

Drew Thorpe Player Prop Bet: Strikeouts

Strikeouts Prop Bet Odds:

  • Strikeouts 3.5 over: 170
  • Strikeouts 3.5 under: -240

Trends Favoring The Over Strikeouts Prop Bet

Paul Clemons profiles as a Pitchers Umpire and is likely to be umping in this game.

Andrew Thorpe's high utilization percentage of his secondary pitches (65.6% this year) figures to work in his favor considering they are typically much more effective than fastballs.

Given the 1.87 discrepancy between Andrew Thorpe's 5.23 K/9 and his 7.10 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it's safe to say he's been one of the least fortunate pitchers in the majors this year in terms of strikeouts and should positively regress going forward.

Trends Favoring The Under Strikeouts Prop Bet

The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Andrew Thorpe in the 25th percentile when estimating his strikeout talent.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andrew Thorpe to throw 85 pitches in this game (12th-least of all pitchers on the slate today), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.

Korey Lee, the White Sox's expected catcher in today's game, projects as a weak pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The #2 ballpark in baseball for suppressing strikeouts, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium.

Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to better offense.

Projection For Today's Drew Thorpe Strikeouts Prop Bet

Drew Thorpe is projected to have 3.2 Strikeouts in todays game.


Drew Thorpe Player Prop Bet: Pitching Outs

Pitching Outs Prop Bet Odds:

  • Pitching Outs 16.5 over: -117
  • Pitching Outs 16.5 under: -112

Trends Favoring The Over Pitching Outs Prop Bet

Paul Clemons profiles as a Pitchers Umpire and is likely to be umping in this game.

In Major League Baseball, Kauffman Stadium's right field dimensions are the deepest.

Andrew Thorpe was firing on all cylinders in his previous game started and gave up 2 ER.

Andrew Thorpe's high utilization percentage of his secondary pitches (65.6% this year) figures to work in his favor considering they are typically much more effective than fastballs.

As a team, Kansas City Royals bats have not performed well as far as hitting balls in the launch angle band that tends to result the most in base hits (between -4° and 26°), ranking worst in baseball.

Trends Favoring The Under Pitching Outs Prop Bet

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andrew Thorpe to throw 85 pitches in this game (12th-least of all pitchers on the slate today), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.

The Kansas City Royals have been the 10th-unluckiest offense in baseball this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to positively regress going forward

Korey Lee, the White Sox's expected catcher in today's game, projects as a weak pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Kauffman Stadium as the best park in the game for walks.

Kauffman Stadium has the 10th-lowest fence height (on average) in the majors.

Projection For Today's Drew Thorpe Pitching Outs Prop Bet

Drew Thorpe is projected to have 15.7 Pitching Outs in todays game.


Drew Thorpe Player Prop Bet: Earned Runs

Earned Runs Prop Bet Odds:

  • Earned Runs 2.5 over: -125
  • Earned Runs 2.5 under: -110

Trends Favoring The Over Earned Runs Prop Bet

The Kansas City Royals have been the 10th-unluckiest offense in baseball this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to positively regress going forward

Korey Lee, the White Sox's expected catcher in today's game, projects as a weak pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Kauffman Stadium as the best park in the game for walks.

Kauffman Stadium has the 10th-lowest fence height (on average) in the majors.

The Chicago White Sox infield defense projects as the 3rd-weakest among all the teams on the slate today.

Trends Favoring The Under Earned Runs Prop Bet

Paul Clemons profiles as a Pitchers Umpire and is likely to be umping in this game.

In Major League Baseball, Kauffman Stadium's right field dimensions are the deepest.

Andrew Thorpe was firing on all cylinders in his previous game started and gave up 2 ER.

Andrew Thorpe's high utilization percentage of his secondary pitches (65.6% this year) figures to work in his favor considering they are typically much more effective than fastballs.

As a team, Kansas City Royals bats have not performed well as far as hitting balls in the launch angle band that tends to result the most in base hits (between -4° and 26°), ranking worst in baseball.

Projection For Today's Drew Thorpe Earned Runs Prop Bet

Drew Thorpe is projected to have 2.8 Earned Runs in todays game.