DJ Herz projections, stats and prop bet odds for Kansas City Royals at Washington Nationals on Sep 25, 2024
DJ Herz Player Prop Bet: Strikeouts
Strikeouts Prop Bet Odds:
- Strikeouts 4.5 over: -145
- Strikeouts 4.5 under: 106
Trends Favoring The Over Strikeouts Prop Bet
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects DJ Herz in the 91st percentile as it relates to his strikeout skill.
It is anticipated that we will see a Huge Pitchers Umpire (Doug Eddings) calling pitches in today's game.
Home field advantage generally boosts pitcher metrics in all categories, and DJ Herz will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
Grading out in the 87th percentile, DJ Herz compiled a 13.1% Swinging Strike% this year.
DJ Herz has recorded a 29.3% strikeout rate this year, checking in at the 94th percentile.
Trends Favoring The Under Strikeouts Prop Bet
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects DJ Herz to throw 83 pitches in this matchup (8th-least of all pitchers on the slate), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.
High humidity has a small yet noteworthy correlation with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast expects the 3rd-most humidity of all games on the slate today at 91%.
With 9 hitters who bat from the other side in the opposing team's projected lineup, DJ Herz will have a tough matchup while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in today's matchup.
Despite conventional wisdom, fastballs are generally a pitcher's least effective pitch. DJ Herz has relied on his fastball a lot this year, though: 54.1% of the time, placing in the 100th percentile.
DJ Herz has had some very good luck with his strikeouts this year, putting up an 11.08 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 10.08 — a 1.00 K/9 difference.
Projection For Today's DJ Herz Strikeouts Prop Bet
DJ Herz is projected to have 5.5 Strikeouts in todays game.
DJ Herz Player Prop Bet: Pitching Outs
Pitching Outs Prop Bet Odds:
- Pitching Outs 17.5 over: -114
- Pitching Outs 17.5 under: -122
Trends Favoring The Over Pitching Outs Prop Bet
It is anticipated that we will see a Huge Pitchers Umpire (Doug Eddings) calling pitches in today's game.
Nationals Park profiles as the #25 venue in the game for base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Home field advantage generally boosts pitcher metrics in all categories, and DJ Herz will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
DJ Herz has been unlucky in regards to his ERA this year; his 4.30 mark is inflated compared to his 3.74 FIP (Fielding Independent Pitching, an estimator of ERA that focuses on the things a pitcher has the most control over).
With a 3.74 FIP this year (Fielding Independent Pitching, an ERA estimator that deals with the aspects of pitching most within the pitcher's control), DJ Herz places him the 76th percentile.
Trends Favoring The Under Pitching Outs Prop Bet
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects DJ Herz to throw 83 pitches in this matchup (8th-least of all pitchers on the slate), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.
Nationals Park has the 5th-shallowest right field fences in MLB.
High humidity has a small yet noteworthy correlation with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast expects the 3rd-most humidity of all games on the slate today at 91%.
With 9 hitters who bat from the other side in the opposing team's projected lineup, DJ Herz will have a tough matchup while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in today's matchup.
Among every team on the slate today, the 2nd-weakest infield defense is that of the the Washington Nationals.
Projection For Today's DJ Herz Pitching Outs Prop Bet
DJ Herz is projected to have 14.5 Pitching Outs in todays game.
DJ Herz Player Prop Bet: Earned Runs
Earned Runs Prop Bet Odds:
- Earned Runs 2.5 over: 100
- Earned Runs 2.5 under: -137
Trends Favoring The Over Earned Runs Prop Bet
Nationals Park has the 5th-shallowest right field fences in MLB.
High humidity has a small yet noteworthy correlation with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast expects the 3rd-most humidity of all games on the slate today at 91%.
With 9 hitters who bat from the other side in the opposing team's projected lineup, DJ Herz will have a tough matchup while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in today's matchup.
Among every team on the slate today, the 2nd-weakest infield defense is that of the the Washington Nationals.
DJ Herz allowed a monstrous 7 earned runs in his last start.
Trends Favoring The Under Earned Runs Prop Bet
It is anticipated that we will see a Huge Pitchers Umpire (Doug Eddings) calling pitches in today's game.
Nationals Park profiles as the #25 venue in the game for base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Home field advantage generally boosts pitcher metrics in all categories, and DJ Herz will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
DJ Herz has been unlucky in regards to his ERA this year; his 4.30 mark is inflated compared to his 3.74 FIP (Fielding Independent Pitching, an estimator of ERA that focuses on the things a pitcher has the most control over).
With a 3.74 FIP this year (Fielding Independent Pitching, an ERA estimator that deals with the aspects of pitching most within the pitcher's control), DJ Herz places him the 76th percentile.
Projection For Today's DJ Herz Earned Runs Prop Bet
DJ Herz is projected to have 2.2 Earned Runs in todays game.
