Clarke Schmidt MLB projections and prop bets for Pittsburgh Pirates at New York Yankees on Sep 29, 2024
Clarke Schmidt Player Prop Bet: Strikeouts
Strikeouts Prop Bet Odds:
- Strikeouts 5.5 over: -160
- Strikeouts 5.5 under: 120
Trends Favoring The Over Strikeouts Prop Bet
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Clarke Schmidt in the 81st percentile when it comes to his strikeout talent.
The Pittsburgh Pirates have 3 batters in their projected lineup today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Jared Triolo, Oneil Cruz, Joey Bart).
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Jose Trevino (the Yankees's expected catcher today) grades out as an elite pitch framer.
The #10 field in Major League Baseball for boosting strikeouts, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Yankee Stadium.
Built just 11 feet above sea level, Yankee Stadium has one of the lowest elevations among all parks, which often leads to less offense.
Trends Favoring The Under Strikeouts Prop Bet
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Clarke Schmidt to throw 81 pitches in today's game (14th-least of all pitchers on the slate), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.
It is expected that we will see a Huge Hitters Umpire (Edwin Moscoso) in charge of the strike zone in this game.
Clarke Schmidt has had some very good luck with his strikeouts this year, posting a 9.74 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 9.22 — a 0.52 K/9 deviation.
Projection For Clarke Schmidt Strikeouts Prop Bet
Clarke Schmidt is projected to have 5.6 Strikeouts in this weeks game.
Clarke Schmidt Player Prop Bet: Earned Runs
Earned Runs Prop Bet Odds:
- Earned Runs 1.5 over: -155
- Earned Runs 1.5 under: 115
Trends Favoring The Over Earned Runs Prop Bet
It is expected that we will see a Huge Hitters Umpire (Edwin Moscoso) in charge of the strike zone in this game.
On average, the fence height at Yankee Stadium is the 6th-lowest among all major league baseball stadiums.
Out of every team playing today, the worst outfield defense is that of the New York Yankees.
Considering the 1.35 deviation between Clarke Schmidt's 2.55 ERA and his 3.90 estimated true talent ERA (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it's safe to say he's been one of the most fortunate pitchers in Major League Baseball this year and should negatively regress in the future.
The maximum exit velocity of any player on the Pittsburgh Pirates has been 121.5 mph this year, making them the #1 squad in the game by this stat.
Trends Favoring The Under Earned Runs Prop Bet
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)'s appraisal, Clarke Schmidt's overall pitching ability is in the 86th percentile among all starting pitchers in the game right now.
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Jose Trevino (the Yankees's expected catcher today) grades out as an elite pitch framer.
The #1 field in the league for suppressing base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Yankee Stadium.
Yankee Stadium has the 5th-deepest CF dimensions in MLB.
According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 4th-best for pitching of all games on the slate today.
Projection For Clarke Schmidt Earned Runs Prop Bet
Clarke Schmidt is projected to have 1.9 Earned Runs in this weeks game.
