Casey Mize Prop projections for Washington Nationals at Detroit Tigers on Jun 13, 2024

Casey Mize Player Prop: Pitching Outs

Pitching Outs Prop Odds:

  • Pitching Outs 17.5 over: -110
  • Pitching Outs 17.5 under: -120

Trends Favoring The Over Pitching Outs Prop

The Washington Nationals projected lineup projects as the 3rd-weakest of all teams on the slate in terms of overall batting skill.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Jake Rogers (the Tigers's expected catcher today) grades out as a good pitch framer.

Comerica Park has the 2nd-deepest CF fences in MLB.

Home field advantage generally improves pitcher metrics in all categories, and Casey Mize will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Among all starters, Casey Mize's fastball velocity of 94.8 mph ranks in the 80th percentile this year.

Trends Favoring The Under Pitching Outs Prop

Generating 14.8 outs per game per started this year on average, Casey Mize places him the 20th percentile.

Comerica Park grades out as the #5 field in the league for walks, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

On average, the fence height at Comerica Park is the 3rd-shortest among all major league baseball stadiums.

The weather forecast projects temperatures in this contest to reach the 4th-highest level on the slate today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

The Detroit Tigers outfield defense profiles as the 12th-worst among all the teams playing today.

Casey Mize Pitching Outs Prop Projection

Casey Mize is projected to have 17.6 Pitching Outs in todays game.


Casey Mize Player Prop: Earned Runs

Earned Runs Prop Odds:

  • Earned Runs 2.5 over: -110
  • Earned Runs 2.5 under: -120

Trends Favoring The Over Earned Runs Prop

Comerica Park grades out as the #5 field in the league for walks, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

On average, the fence height at Comerica Park is the 3rd-shortest among all major league baseball stadiums.

The weather forecast projects temperatures in this contest to reach the 4th-highest level on the slate today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

The Detroit Tigers outfield defense profiles as the 12th-worst among all the teams playing today.

Trends Favoring The Under Earned Runs Prop

The Washington Nationals projected lineup projects as the 3rd-weakest of all teams on the slate in terms of overall batting skill.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Jake Rogers (the Tigers's expected catcher today) grades out as a good pitch framer.

Comerica Park has the 2nd-deepest CF fences in MLB.

Home field advantage generally improves pitcher metrics in all categories, and Casey Mize will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Among all starters, Casey Mize's fastball velocity of 94.8 mph ranks in the 80th percentile this year.

Casey Mize Earned Runs Prop Projection

Casey Mize is projected to have 2.7 Earned Runs in todays game.


Casey Mize Player Prop: Strikeouts

Strikeouts Prop Odds:

  • Strikeouts 3.5 over: -105
  • Strikeouts 3.5 under: -120

Trends Favoring The Over Strikeouts Prop

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Jake Rogers (the Tigers's expected catcher today) grades out as a good pitch framer.

Home field advantage generally improves pitcher metrics in all categories, and Casey Mize will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Among all starters, Casey Mize's fastball velocity of 94.8 mph ranks in the 80th percentile this year.

Casey Mize has been unlucky in regards to his strikeouts this year, notching a 5.95 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 7.09 — a 1.14 K/9 deviation.

Trends Favoring The Under Strikeouts Prop

As it relates to his strikeout talent, the leading projection system (THE BAT) places Casey Mize in the 24th percentile among all starting pitchers in MLB.

Via the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the offense with the least strikeout-prone lineup on the slate today is the Washington Nationals with a 20.3% underlying K%.

The #2 ballpark in the league for suppressing strikeouts, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Comerica Park.

Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation often leads to more offense.

The weather forecast projects temperatures in this contest to reach the 4th-highest level on the slate today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

Casey Mize Strikeouts Prop Projection

Casey Mize is projected to have 3.8 Strikeouts in todays game.