Bryce Miller projections, stats and prop bet odds for Seattle Mariners at San Diego Padres on Jul 10, 2024

Bryce Miller Player Prop Bet: Strikeouts

Strikeouts Prop Bet Odds:

  • Strikeouts 3.5 over: -125
  • Strikeouts 3.5 under: -102

Trends Favoring The Over Strikeouts Prop Bet

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Cal Raleigh (the Mariners's expected catcher today) is considered to be an elite pitch framer.

The #7 ballpark in the majors for boosting strikeouts, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Petco Park.

Petco Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all stadiums, which tends to lead to less offense.

Bryce Miller's four-seamer utilization has fallen by 14.4% from last year to this one (58.5% to 44.1%) .

Trends Favoring The Under Strikeouts Prop Bet

Via the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the team with the least strikeout-prone lineup in today's games is the San Diego Padres with a 17.2% underlying K%.

Playing on the road typically lessens pitcher stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Bryce Miller in today's game.

Bryce Miller's 2479-rpm spin rate on his fastball this year is a substantial 112-rpm fall off from last year's 2591-rpm figure.

Bryce Miller has been very fortunate when it comes to his strikeouts this year, compiling an 8.48 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 8.23 — a 0.25 K/9 discrepancy.

Projection For Today's Bryce Miller Strikeouts Prop Bet

Bryce Miller is projected to have 3.7 Strikeouts in todays game.


Bryce Miller Player Prop Bet: Earned Runs

Earned Runs Prop Bet Odds:

  • Earned Runs 2.5 over: -115
  • Earned Runs 2.5 under: -119

Trends Favoring The Over Earned Runs Prop Bet

The #4 park in the game for boosting home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Petco Park.

Petco Park has the 2nd-shallowest centerfield fences among all major league parks.

Petco Park has the 3rd-lowest average fence height among all major league stadiums.

Playing on the road typically lessens pitcher stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Bryce Miller in today's game.

Bryce Miller's 2479-rpm spin rate on his fastball this year is a substantial 112-rpm fall off from last year's 2591-rpm figure.

Trends Favoring The Under Earned Runs Prop Bet

It may be sensible to expect worse numbers for the San Diego Padres offense in the future, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes they are the 6th-luckiest offense in the league this year.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Cal Raleigh (the Mariners's expected catcher today) is considered to be an elite pitch framer.

Bryce Miller was rolling in his previous game started and allowed 2 ER.

Bryce Miller's four-seamer utilization has fallen by 14.4% from last year to this one (58.5% to 44.1%) .

San Diego's 91.5-mph exit velocity on flyballs grades them out as the #24 squad in Major League Baseball this year by this metric.

Projection For Today's Bryce Miller Earned Runs Prop Bet

Bryce Miller is projected to have 2.6 Earned Runs in todays game.


Bryce Miller Player Prop Bet: Pitching Outs

Pitching Outs Prop Bet Odds:

  • Pitching Outs 17.5 over: -108
  • Pitching Outs 17.5 under: -120

Trends Favoring The Over Pitching Outs Prop Bet

Bryce Miller has tallied 17.2 outs per game per started this year, ranking in the 80th percentile.

It may be sensible to expect worse numbers for the San Diego Padres offense in the future, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes they are the 6th-luckiest offense in the league this year.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Cal Raleigh (the Mariners's expected catcher today) is considered to be an elite pitch framer.

Bryce Miller was rolling in his previous game started and allowed 2 ER.

Bryce Miller's four-seamer utilization has fallen by 14.4% from last year to this one (58.5% to 44.1%) .

Trends Favoring The Under Pitching Outs Prop Bet

The #4 park in the game for boosting home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Petco Park.

Petco Park has the 2nd-shallowest centerfield fences among all major league parks.

Petco Park has the 3rd-lowest average fence height among all major league stadiums.

Playing on the road typically lessens pitcher stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Bryce Miller in today's game.

Bryce Miller's 2479-rpm spin rate on his fastball this year is a substantial 112-rpm fall off from last year's 2591-rpm figure.

Projection For Today's Bryce Miller Pitching Outs Prop Bet

Bryce Miller is projected to have 15.9 Pitching Outs in todays game.