Bailey Falter projections, stats and prop bet odds for Washington Nationals at Pittsburgh Pirates on Sep 5, 2024
Bailey Falter Player Prop Bet: Earned Runs
Earned Runs Prop Bet Odds:
- Earned Runs 2.5 over: 102
- Earned Runs 2.5 under: -139
Trends Favoring The Over Earned Runs Prop Bet
The #7 venue in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park.
According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 5th-most favorable for hitting on the slate today.
Considering that groundball hitters hold a big advantage over flyball pitchers, Bailey Falter and his 36.8% underlying GB% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be in a troublesome position in this matchup matching up with 0 opposing GB hitters.
The Pittsburgh Pirates outfield defense profiles as the 4th-weakest out of all the teams in action today.
Bailey Falter's higher utilization rate of his fastball this season (63.8 compared to 52.8% last season) is not ideal considering they are typically much less effective than breaking or off-speed pitches.
Trends Favoring The Under Earned Runs Prop Bet
The Washington Nationals projected lineup grades out as the weakest of all teams on the slate in terms of overall offensive skill.
The Washington Nationals have been the 5th-luckiest offense in Major League Baseball this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to perform worse the rest of the season
Projected catcher Yasmani Grandal profiles as a good pitch framer, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).
The 9th-deepest LF dimensions in MLB are found in PNC Park.
PNC Park has the 6th-highest fences among all stadiums.
Projection For Today's Bailey Falter Earned Runs Prop Bet
Bailey Falter is projected to have 2.4 Earned Runs in todays game.
Bailey Falter Player Prop Bet: Strikeouts
Strikeouts Prop Bet Odds:
- Strikeouts 3.5 over: -154
- Strikeouts 3.5 under: 112
Trends Favoring The Over Strikeouts Prop Bet
Projected catcher Yasmani Grandal profiles as a good pitch framer, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Bailey Falter will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats in all categories.
Bailey Falter's 91.3-mph velocity on his fastball this season is a substantial 1.2-mph increase from last season's 90.1-mph figure.
Bailey Falter has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his strikeouts this year, putting up a 6.27 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 7.15 — a 0.88 K/9 discrepancy.
Trends Favoring The Under Strikeouts Prop Bet
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bailey Falter to throw 80 pitches in this matchup (14th-least of all pitchers on the slate), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.
Via the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the team with the 4th-least strikeout-heavy lineup in today's games is the Washington Nationals with a 21.6% underlying K%.
The #1 stadium in MLB for suppressing strikeouts, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park.
Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest altitude in the league, which often leads to higher offensive output.
According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 5th-most favorable for hitting on the slate today.
Projection For Today's Bailey Falter Strikeouts Prop Bet
Bailey Falter is projected to have 3.6 Strikeouts in todays game.
Bailey Falter Player Prop Bet: Pitching Outs
Pitching Outs Prop Bet Odds:
- Pitching Outs 15.5 over: 105
- Pitching Outs 15.5 under: -140
Trends Favoring The Over Pitching Outs Prop Bet
The Washington Nationals projected lineup grades out as the weakest of all teams on the slate in terms of overall offensive skill.
The Washington Nationals have been the 5th-luckiest offense in Major League Baseball this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to perform worse the rest of the season
Projected catcher Yasmani Grandal profiles as a good pitch framer, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).
The 9th-deepest LF dimensions in MLB are found in PNC Park.
PNC Park has the 6th-highest fences among all stadiums.
Trends Favoring The Under Pitching Outs Prop Bet
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bailey Falter to throw 80 pitches in this matchup (14th-least of all pitchers on the slate), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.
The #7 venue in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park.
According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 5th-most favorable for hitting on the slate today.
Considering that groundball hitters hold a big advantage over flyball pitchers, Bailey Falter and his 36.8% underlying GB% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be in a troublesome position in this matchup matching up with 0 opposing GB hitters.
The Pittsburgh Pirates outfield defense profiles as the 4th-weakest out of all the teams in action today.
Projection For Today's Bailey Falter Pitching Outs Prop Bet
Bailey Falter is projected to have 15.4 Pitching Outs in todays game.
