New York Mets

New York Mets

Oct 1, 2024

Milwaukee Brewers

Milwaukee Brewers
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

Mets vs Brewers Game 1 Prediction, Preview, & Odds – 10/1/2024

The New York Mets and Milwaukee Brewers will square off in Game 1 of their National League Wild Card series on Tuesday in Wisconsin. The Mets did what they needed to do in Atlanta on Monday to clinch a playoff spot, while the Brewers are hoping that they can continue rolling after a very strong regular season. Continue reading for our breakdown of Mets vs Brewers Game 1 and our best bet for the game.

Can Mets Deliver On Tight Turnaround?

Yesterday, the New York Mets came back from multiple late deficits to beat the Atlanta Braves in Game 1 of their doubleheader. They lost the second game, but a win in Game 1 was all they needed to earn a spot in the postseason. Today, the Mets will look to set the tone in their series against the Milwaukee Brewers with Luis Severino on the mound, who was pushed back to today’s game after the Mets realized they didn’t need him to pitch in Game 2 against the Braves on Monday.

Severino enters Mets vs Brewers Game 1 with a record of 11-7 and an ERA of 3.91. Severino took a loss against the Brewers in his first start of the season, giving up six runs in five innings of work. He will need to be better than that if he is going to help the Mets to get a win to get off to a good start in this best-of-three Wild Card series.

Brewers Hoping to Deliver at Home

The Milwaukee Brewers won the NL Central with a record of 93-69, posting the second-best run differential in the National League for the season. Today, the Brewers will look to protect their home field against the Mets to open up their postseason. With the Brewers entering today’s action with a 47-34 record at home on the year, they will expect to take care of business in front of their home crowd.

On the hill for the Brewers in this contest will be Freddy Peralta, who is 11-9 with a 3.68 ERA. Peralta has a win over the Mets under his belt this year, picking one up in late March after throwing six innings and allowing one run against them. Not letting the Mets pick up any momentum early in this game will be huge after the way New York finished Game 1 against the Braves yesterday.

Mets vs Brewers Game 1 Best Bet

Our best bet for Mets vs Brewers Game 1 is for the Brewers to pick up a win at home, something they have done consistently all season long. While the Mets should be commended for making it to the postseason, the Brew Crew are more reliable on the mound and should be able to come away with a win in this one.

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Consensus

Moneyline Pick Consensus

+125
24% NYM
-147
76% MIL

Total Pick Consensus

7.5/-118
29% UN
7.5/-102
71% OV

Spread Pick Consensus

+1.5/-180
19% NYM
-1.5/+150
81% MIL

Stats

  • Team Stats
  • Team Records
  • Pitchers
  • Recent Starts
NYM
Team Stats
MIL
4.55
ERA
4.04
.248
Batting Avg Against
.232
1.38
WHIP
1.22
.297
BABIP
.275
9.9%
BB%
8.2%
22.5%
K%
23.0%
72.3%
LOB%
73.6%
.236
Batting Avg
.233
.399
SLG
.377
.715
OPS
.689
.317
OBP
.312
NYM
Team Records
MIL
46-35
Home
47-34
43-38
Road
46-35
65-51
vRHP
69-45
24-22
vLHP
24-24
47-46
vs>.500
52-41
42-27
vs<.500
41-28
5-5
Last10
5-5
11-9
Last20
11-9
20-10
Last30
17-13
L. Severino
F. Peralta
N/A
Innings
128.0
N/A
GS
23
N/A
W-L
9-8
N/A
ERA
4.08
N/A
K/9
11.04
N/A
BB/9
3.38
N/A
HR/9
1.34
N/A
LOB%
71.5%
N/A
HR/FB%
14.5%
N/A
FIP
4.01
N/A
xFIP
3.76

L. Severino

Date
Opp
W/L
IP
H
R
ER
SO
BB
ST-PC
5/1 KC
Lynch N/A
W6-4 N/A
5
7
4
3
4
1
57-93
4/26 BAL
Lyles N/A
W12-8 N/A
6
3
4
4
5
2
50-77
4/20 DET
Rodriguez N/A
W5-3 N/A
5
7
1
1
3
2
60-88
4/14 TOR
Gausman N/A
W3-0 N/A
5
2
0
0
6
2
56-83
4/9 BOS
Pivetta N/A
W4-2 N/A
3
5
2
2
5
0
41-65

F. Peralta

Date
Opp
W/L
IP
H
R
ER
SO
BB
ST-PC
5/4 CIN
rrez N/A
W18-4 N/A
5
5
3
3
7
2
63-98
4/28 PIT
Quintana N/A
W3-2 N/A
6
3
0
0
7
0
59-92
4/22 PHI
Suarez N/A
L2-4 N/A
5
3
1
1
6
2
54-89
4/15 STL
Mikolas N/A
L1-10 N/A
3
7
6
6
4
2
49-77
4/10 CHC
Stroman N/A
W5-4 N/A
4
3
3
3
6
4
46-88

Odds

  • MoneyLine
  • RunLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
NYM MIL
NYM MIL
Consensus
+119
-140
+125
-147
+114
-135
+124
-148
+116
-136
+124
-146
+118
-139
+125
-148
+118
-140
+122
-145
+120
-140
+120
-145
Open
Current
Book
NYM MIL
NYM MIL
Consensus
+1.5 (-177)
-1.5 (+158)
+1.5 (-177)
-1.5 (+147)
+1.5 (-180)
-1.5 (+164)
+1.5 (-180)
-1.5 (+150)
+1.5 (-176)
-1.5 (+158)
+1.5 (-176)
-1.5 (+146)
+1.5 (-180)
-1.5 (+155)
+1.5 (-180)
-1.5 (+145)
+1.5 (-178)
-1.5 (+158)
+1.5 (-178)
-1.5 (+150)
+1.5 (-185)
-1.5 (+165)
+1.5 (-185)
-1.5 (+150)
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
7.5 (-105)
7.5 (-115)
7.5 (-105)
7.5 (-116)
7.5 (-105)
7.5 (-115)
7.5 (-102)
7.5 (-118)
7.5 (-105)
7.5 (-115)
7.5 (-102)
7.5 (-120)
7.5 (-106)
7.5 (-114)
7.5 (-107)
7.5 (-113)
7.5 (-105)
7.5 (-115)
7.5 (+100)
7.5 (-120)
7.5 (-105)
7.5 (-115)
7.5 (-105)
7.5 (-115)

Game Props

  • Doubles
  • Both Teams Score 4 Or More Runs
  • Both Teams Score 3 Or More Runs
  • Over/Under 1.5 Runs
  • To Score First And Win
  • Triples
  • Total Runs Odd/Even
  • To Hit a Grand Slam
  • Either Pitcher to Strike Out the Side
  • Both Teams Score 1 Or More Runs
  • Most Hits (3-Way)
  • To Score A Run
  • Team To Record Highest Scoring Inning (3-Way)
  • First To 2 Runs
  • Both Teams Score 2 Or More Runs
  • 2+ Total Strikeouts
  • Both Teams Score 5 Or More Runs
  • Total Home Runs
  • Walks Allowed
  • Shutout
  • To Play Extra Innings
  • Singles
  • Total Batting Strikeouts
  • Team To Score First and Win
  • 2+ Run Scoring Play
  • First Team To 7 Runs
  • First Team To 3 Runs
  • 3+ Run Scoring Play
  • First Team To 4 Runs
  • Both Teams Score 6 Or More Runs
  • Each Pitcher To Record 1+ Strikeouts
  • To Score Last And Win
  • To Win To Nil
  • Stolen Bases
  • First Team To Score
  • Both Teams Score 7 Or More Runs
  • Total Bases
  • 3+ Total Strikeouts
  • First Team To 6 Runs
  • First Team To 5 Runs
  • Doubles
  • Both Teams Score 4 Or More Runs
  • Both Teams Score 3 Or More Runs
  • Over/Under 1.5 Runs
  • To Score First And Win
  • Triples
  • Total Runs Odd/Even
  • To Hit a Grand Slam
  • Either Pitcher to Strike Out the Side
  • Both Teams Score 1 Or More Runs
  • Most Hits (3-Way)
  • To Score A Run
  • Team To Record Highest Scoring Inning (3-Way)
  • First To 2 Runs
  • Both Teams Score 2 Or More Runs
  • 2+ Total Strikeouts
  • Both Teams Score 5 Or More Runs
  • Total Home Runs
  • Walks Allowed
  • Shutout
  • To Play Extra Innings
  • Singles
  • Total Batting Strikeouts
  • Team To Score First and Win
  • 2+ Run Scoring Play
  • First Team To 7 Runs
  • First Team To 3 Runs
  • 3+ Run Scoring Play
  • First Team To 4 Runs
  • Both Teams Score 6 Or More Runs
  • Each Pitcher To Record 1+ Strikeouts
  • To Score Last And Win
  • To Win To Nil
  • Stolen Bases
  • First Team To Score
  • Both Teams Score 7 Or More Runs
  • Total Bases
  • 3+ Total Strikeouts
  • First Team To 6 Runs
  • First Team To 5 Runs
Open
Current
Book
Under Over
Under Over
Consensus
-152
-115
-127
+104
-127
+104
-127
-115
Open
Current
Book
Yes No
Yes No
Consensus
+425
-1100
+450
-1000
Consensus
-344
+233
-357
+238
Consensus
+800
-10000
+800
-10000
+227
-374
+247
-339
-1000
+450
-1100
+425
-375
+250
-375
+240
+800
-10000
+800
-10000
Open
Current
Book
Yes No
Yes No
Consensus
-350
+210
-350
+210
Consensus
-1100
+450
-1200
+475
Consensus
-160
+115
-158
+113
Consensus
+1000
-10000
+1150
-10000
+116
-160
+116
-160
-350
+210
-350
+210
+475
-1200
+450
-1100
-155
+115
-160
+110
+1150
-10000
+1000
-10000
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
-380
+310
-390
+290
Consensus
-650
+470
-600
+440
Consensus
-400
+290
-355
+300
Consensus
-400
+300
-385
+270
Consensus
-420
+320
-450
+320
Consensus
+300
-420
+340
-470
Consensus
-385
+300
-420
+290
Consensus
-470
+340
-430
+320
Consensus
-420
+320
-450
+330
+310
-360
+300
-410
+440
-650
+440
-650
+280
-400
+300
-400
-400
+285
-420
+300
-450
+320
-450
+320
+320
-420
+310
-400
-385
+290
-420
+290
+360
-500
+340
-480
+310
-420
+330
-430
Open
Current
Book
No Yes
No Yes
Consensus
+183
-242
+187
-235
-220
+176
-240
+190
+190
-250
+190
-250
Open
Current
Book
Under Over
Under Over
Consensus
-433
+255
-483
+276
-433
+255
-483
+276
Open
Current
Book
Odd Even
Odd Even
Consensus
+217
-285
+222
-280
Consensus
+222
-280
+217
-270
Consensus
+137
-166
+135
-168
Consensus
-262
+217
-285
+225
Consensus
-280
+222
-280
+217
Consensus
-272
+222
-272
+217
Consensus
+225
-280
+225
-285
Consensus
+222
-275
+217
-270
Consensus
+222
-280
+217
-275
Consensus
+300
-400
+300
-400
+225
-280
+225
-280
+210
-260
+210
-260
+130
-160
+130
-160
+210
-260
+225
-280
+225
-280
+225
-280
+225
-280
+225
-280
-280
+225
-280
+225
+210
-260
+210
-260
-260
+210
-260
+210
+300
-400
+300
-400
-265
+220
-280
+220
-290
+220
-300
+225
+140
-170
+140
-176
-265
+225
-290
+210
+210
-265
+210
-280
-265
+220
-290
+210
-280
+220
-290
+210
+225
-280
+225
-290
+235
-290
+225
-290
+135
-160
+135
-160
Open
Current
Book
No Yes
No Yes
Consensus
+1100
-2500
+1200
-2500
-2500
+1200
-2500
+1200
Open
Current
Book
Yes
Yes
Consensus
+700
+700
Open
Current
Book
Yes No
Yes No
Consensus
+110
-165
+110
-165
Consensus
+230
-400
+230
-400
Consensus
+435
-852
+422
-802
Consensus
+185
-275
+175
-300
-704
+395
-704
+395
+110
-165
+110
-165
+230
-400
+230
-400
-1000
+475
-900
+450
+185
-300
+175
-275
Open
Current
Book
Away Home Draw
Away Home Draw
Consensus
+710
-115
+120
+750
+100
+110
+110
-105
+1000
+110
-105
+1000
+110
+105
+750
+120
+105
+750
Open
Current
Book
Yes No
Yes No
Consensus
-134
+112
-138
+110
Consensus
-140
+118
-150
+122
Consensus
+120
-144
+114
-148
Consensus
+116
-134
+110
-142
Consensus
-128
+108
-132
+110
Consensus
-134
+112
-134
+112
Consensus
+123
-155
+127
-144
Consensus
+115
-146
+116
-144
Consensus
+180
-230
+168
-215
-145
+115
-140
+110
+112
-134
+110
-134
-144
+112
-140
+118
-150
+118
-150
+116
+110
-134
+110
-134
-134
+112
-132
+108
+110
-132
+108
-134
+126
-152
+126
-144
+110
-146
+118
-142
+186
-235
+176
-225
+130
-165
+130
-165
-150
+105
-150
+115
+110
-150
+115
-150
Open
Current
Book
Away Home Draw
Away Home Draw
Consensus
+150
+110
+310
+155
+110
+330
+115
+310
+155
+110
+330
+160
Open
Current
Book
Home Away Neither
Home Away Neither
Consensus
-122
-110
+1900
-112
-121
+1800
-110
-112
+1800
-121
-122
+1900
Open
Current
Book
No Yes
No Yes
Consensus
-1600
+500
-1400
+525
Consensus
-214
+153
-214
+150
Consensus
-110
-135
-110
-140
Consensus
-350
+190
-300
+200
-204
+146
-204
+146
+550
-1600
+525
-1400
-225
+155
-225
+160
-135
-110
-140
-110
+200
-300
+190
-350
Open
Current
Book
No Yes
No Yes
Consensus
+260
-380
+270
-370
+260
-380
+260
-370
Open
Current
Book
No Yes
No Yes
Consensus
+461
-927
+444
-877
Consensus
+750
-5000
+725
-5000
-854
+448
-754
+414
+450
-900
+475
-1000
-5000
+750
-5000
+725
Open
Current
Book
Under Over
Under Over
Consensus
+134
-180
+130
-188
-192
+134
-174
+128
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
-111
-105
-111
-131
-111
-131
-111
-131
Open
Current
Book
Home Away
Home Away
Consensus
+675
+900
+675
+900
+900
+675
+900
+675
Open
Current
Book
Yes No
Yes No
Consensus
+660
-1166
+646
-1133
-1200
+690
-1200
+720
+700
-1100
+700
-1100
-1200
+600
-1100
+600
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
-111
-131
-111
-104
-131
-111
-104
-141
Open
Current
Book
Under Over
Under Over
Consensus
-143
-102
-139
-105
-143
-113
-129
-102
Open
Current
Book
Home Away
Home Away
Consensus
+160
+175
+155
+190
+175
+155
+185
+160
Open
Current
Book
No Yes
No Yes
Consensus
+270
-380
+290
-350
-350
+270
-380
+290
Open
Current
Book
Away Neither Home
Away Neither Home
Consensus
+436
-281
+503
+435
-283
+486
+410
-295
+390
+470
-280
+420
+475
-285
+425
+500
-270
+425
+520
-290
+490
+520
-290
+470
Open
Current
Book
Home Neither Away
Home Neither Away
Consensus
+104
+120
+715
-105
+120
+670
+650
+101
+111
+675
-108
+100
-105
+650
+125
-110
+650
+120
+730
+106
+120
+760
+100
+116
Open
Current
Book
Yes No
Yes No
Consensus
+225
-280
+225
-280
+225
-280
+225
-280
Open
Current
Book
Neither Away Home
Neither Away Home
Consensus
+281
+129
+158
+276
+127
+156
+119
+130
+280
+135
+150
+280
+265
+150
+130
+275
+165
+130
+290
+164
+140
+290
+164
+138
Open
Current
Book
Yes No
Yes No
Consensus
-2502
+737
-2502
+762
+699
-2004
+699
-2004
-3000
+825
-3000
+825
Open
Current
Book
No Yes
No Yes
Consensus
-141
+106
-135
+109
+108
-136
+112
-136
+110
-140
+110
-140
Open
Current
Book
No Yes
No Yes
Consensus
+205
-260
+205
-250
+205
-260
+198
-260
Open
Current
Book
Away Neither Home
Away Neither Home
Consensus
+1200
-850
+850
+1300
-850
+900
+850
-850
+1100
+800
-850
+1300
Open
Current
Book
Under Over
Under Over
Consensus
-123
-119
-123
-119
-123
-119
-123
-119
Open
Current
Book
Away Home
Away Home
Consensus
-130
+106
-129
+100
-135
+105
-135
+105
+110
-125
+100
-130
-105
-130
-105
-130
Open
Current
Book
Yes No
Yes No
Consensus
-8752
+1182
-8002
+1232
+1000
-7504
+964
-6004
+1500
-10000
+1300
-10000
Open
Current
Book
Under Over
Under Over
Consensus
-110
-111
-131
-133
-133
-110
-133
-125
Open
Current
Book
No Yes
No Yes
Consensus
-118
-118
-118
-118
-118
-118
-118
-118
Open
Current
Book
Home Neither Away
Home Neither Away
Consensus
-153
+325
+298
-148
+325
+281
+285
-150
+275
+255
-150
+305
+340
-150
+280
+320
-150
+290
+350
-144
+300
+350
-148
+310
Open
Current
Book
Away Home Neither
Away Home Neither
Consensus
+206
+132
+191
+225
+132
+187
+205
+190
+130
+185
+175
+130
+195
+130
+220
+195
+125
+215
+140
+220
+198
+134
+225
+198