The Bronx gets a second straight night of World Series-caliber baseball on Saturday as the Los Angeles Dodgers roll into Yankee Stadium riding a 62-36 record and a first-place hold on the NL West. New York, sitting at 54-43 in second place in the AL East, is trying to bounce back after Friday’s tense 2-1 opener went to LA on a Max Muncy homer off Gerrit Cole in the seventh. With Emmet Sheehan and Ryan Weathers on the mound for game two of this three-game set, both offenses have a real shot to break out after a pitching-dominated series opener.
Our Dodgers vs Yankees Prediction
- Pick: Dodgers ML -114
- Confidence: 3 out of 5
Dodgers vs Yankees Model Projection
- Score Projection: Dodgers 5, Yankees 4
- Win Probability: Dodgers 54%, Yankees 46%
This is close to a coin-flip game on paper, and the number reflects it. Both starters have scuffled with ERAs north of 4.00, and neither Sheehan nor Weathers has consistently gone deep into games this year, which points toward a bullpen-heavy affair in a ballpark that has punished mistakes all season. The Yankees lead the majors with 142 home runs, and Yankee Stadium’s short porch in right field remains one of the friendliest yards in the sport for pull-side power, which keeps the total in play even with two shaky rotations on display.
Still, the Dodgers bring the deeper, more balanced lineup and the game’s best two-way talent in Shohei Ohtani, who is dealing with a knee issue but is expected in the lineup all series after an Orthovisc injection during the All-Star break. Los Angeles also gets a jolt from Max Muncy off his go-ahead blast Friday, and the Dodgers’ bullpen has quietly been one of the better relief groups in baseball down the stretch. New York is still without Aaron Judge (rib) and Giancarlo Stanton (calf), and that missing thump in the middle of the order is the biggest reason LA gets the slight nod here, even on the road.
Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Los Angeles Dodgers (62-36) at New York Yankees (54-43)
- Date & Time: Saturday, July 18, 2026, 8:08 PM ET
- Starting Pitchers: Emmet Sheehan (4-6, 4.81 ERA) vs. Ryan Weathers (3-7, 4.15 ERA)
- Stadium: Yankee Stadium, Bronx, New York
- Broadcast: FOX
Dodgers vs Yankees Same Game Parlay
- Leg 1: Dodgers moneyline (-114)
- Leg 2: Over 8.5 total runs (-119)
- Leg 3: Ben Rice to hit a home run (+279)
Total parlay odds: +1000
Sheehan and Weathers have both allowed at least 4 earned runs per nine innings this season, and neither has consistently worked past the sixth inning, which sets up plenty of high-leverage bullpen innings in a bandbox ballpark. Ben Rice leads the Yankees with 29 home runs and has gone deep in 38% of his home games this season, making him a strong target even without Judge and Stanton drawing attention away from him in the lineup. Pairing that prop with the over and a Dodgers moneyline lean captures the game’s most likely storylines without needing a blowout in either direction.
Dodgers vs Yankees Home Run Prop
Shohei Ohtani to hit a home run: +237 (DraftKings Sportsbook)
Ohtani enters this series with 22 home runs on the season and remains one of the most dangerous hitters in the sport even while managing left knee soreness. He’s expected to DH all three games in this series, and his hard-hit rate and barrel numbers have stayed elite even during his early-season dip in batting average. Facing a Yankees pitching staff that’s already without Judge’s bat working against it defensively in right field, and pitching into a stadium that plays well for left-handed pull power, Ohtani at plus-money odds is a reasonable swing for bettors looking for value on the board.
Betting Trends & H2H
- Season series: Dodgers lead 1-0 after Friday’s 2-1 win in the series opener.
- Dodgers road record: 31-17
- Yankees home record: 23-21
- The first game of this series stayed under the total with 3 total runs scored.
Stat Comparison
| Category | Dodgers | Yankees |
|---|---|---|
| Batting Average | .261 | .237 |
| OPS | .774 | .740 |
| wOBA | .338 | .323 |
| wRC+ | 114 | 107 |
| Team ERA | 3.52 | 3.38 |
| xFIP | 3.81 | 3.76 |
The numbers back up what the eye test suggests: this is a good Dodgers team with a slightly better offense, playing a Yankees club that’s dealing with real injury attrition at the top of its lineup. That edge is modest rather than overwhelming, which is exactly why the moneyline sits close to a pick ’em heading into first pitch. But it’s still enough to justify playing the Dodgers in this one.
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