Detroit Tigers vs Minnesota Twins Pick – 4/12/2025

Detroit Tigers vs Minnesota Twins Betting Preview

As the Minnesota Twins host the Detroit Tigers on April 12, 2025, the stakes are clear in this American League Central matchup. Both teams are finding their footing, but their paths have diverged this season. The Twins sit at the bottom of the division with a disappointing 4-10 record, while the Tigers are enjoying a strong start at 8-5. After yesterday's game, where the Tigers clinched a victory, they will look to build on that momentum at Target Field.

The Twins are projected to send Chris Paddack to the mound. Despite being ranked as the 174th best starting pitcher in MLB, Paddack brings a blend of consistency with average projections of 5.3 innings pitched and 2.7 earned runs allowed. However, he faces challenges with projected hits (5.3) and walks (1.3), which could play a pivotal role against the Tigers' lineup.

On the other side, the Tigers will counter with the struggling Jackson Jobe, who ranks among the worst pitchers in MLB. Jobe's projections, including just 4.7 innings pitched and an average of 2.6 earned runs allowed, could spell trouble for Detroit. His struggles with hits (4.7) and walks (1.7) put him in a precarious position against the Twins' lineup.

With both teams’ moneylines set at -110, betting markets project a closely contested game. The current Game Total is 8.5 runs, hinting at a competitive matchup. The Twins will aim to leverage their home-field advantage and capitalize on the Tigers' pitching woes to secure a much-needed victory.

Quick Takes Detroit Tigers:

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), the Detroit Tigers' bullpen profiles as the 5th-best among all teams in the majors.

• Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game's runs.

Quick Takes Minnesota Twins:

Tallying 15.1 outs per game per started since the start of last season on average, Chris Paddack ranks in the 23rd percentile.

• A pitcher who averages more outs per start than his Outs prop may be a good bet to go over, and visa-versa for the under.

Detroit Tigers vs Minnesota Twins Prediction

Predicted Final Score: Detroit Tigers 4.57, Minnesota Twins 4.68

• Date: April 12, 2025
• Venue: Target Field
• Starting Pitchers:
  • Jackson Jobe - Tigers
  • Chris Paddack - Twins

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