Saturday’s Big 12 game between the West Virginia Mountaineers and Arizona State Sun Devils is an important game late in the season for both of these teams. Arizona State (6–3) returns from a bye week ready to defend its home turf and stay in the Big 12 title race. West Virginia (4–6) is riding a two-game winning streak as it fights for bowl eligibility. Before kickoff from Tempe, continue reading to get my West Virginia vs Arizona State prediction.
Our West Virginia vs Arizona State Pick
- Pick: Arizona State -10.5
- Confidence: ★★★☆☆
Game Snapshot
- Matchup: West Virginia Mountaineers vs Arizona State Sun Devils
- Date & Time: Saturday, November 15, 2025, 1:00 PM ET
- Venue: Mountain America Stadium, Tempe, Arizona
- Broadcast: TNT, TruTV, HBO Max
Key Storylines
Arizona State looks to maintain its momentum after a bye week. The Sun Devils won on the road over Iowa State in their last game and they will try to get to 5-2 in the Big 12 with a win here. West Virginia’s recent two-game winning streak is the sign of a team that has begun to stabilize things after a rough start to the year. The Mountaineers still need to win out to reach bowl eligibility, making this one a must-win game for them.
Arizona State is playing for its life in the race to make the Big 12 title game. A win here would move Arizona State to within one game of Texas Tech in the conference standings. The Sun Devils need to keep winning and get plenty of help from the teams ahead of them, but they are certainly still alive in the race for the top two in this conference.
Quarterback Play
Scotty Fox Jr. is quietly becoming the heartbeat of the West Virginia offense. In his most recent game, he threw for 202 yards, ran for 72, and contributed a touchdown. His dual-threat nature will be critical if WVU is going to keep up with Arizona State. Jeff Sims anchors Arizona State’s offense, but the real damage comes when he tucks the ball and runs. His mobility poses a constant threat. If ASU can lean into his mobility early, they can control the time of possession battle and wear down WVU’s defense.
Betting Trends & H2H
- West Virginia is 6-4 against the spread for the season.
- Arizona State is 4–4–1 against the spread this season.
- The under has cashed 6 times in 10 games for the Mountaineers.
- The under is 7-2 in Arizona State’s first 9 games.
- This is only the third meeting between these programs. The series is tied 1–1.
West Virginia vs Arizona State Model Projection
Score Projection: West Virginia 20 – Arizona State 34
Win Probability: Arizona State 76%, West Virginia 24%
Final Thoughts
Arizona State is the stronger team on paper, especially in Tempe, and the current line reflects that. While West Virginia is playing better football of late, their margin for error is slim. Unless something breaks spectacularly in their favor, they’re unlikely to cover. I will lay the points with Arizona State as they keep their conference title hopes alive for another week.
