Wisconsin Badgers vs Michigan State Spartans Pick – 3/15/2025

The Wisconsin Badgers and Michigan State Spartans are set to clash in the Big Ten Tournament semifinals today at 1:00 PM Eastern Time at Gainbridge Fieldhouse in Indianapolis. This matchup features two of the conference's top teams, each bringing momentum from impressive quarterfinal victories.

Wisconsin Badgers vs. Michigan State Spartans Game Preview

The fifth-seeded Wisconsin Badgers (25-8) are coming off a commanding 86-70 win over UCLA. In that game, the Badgers set a Big Ten Tournament record by sinking 18 three-pointers. Guard John Tonje led the charge with 26 points and nine rebounds, shooting an impressive 9-of-10 from the field and 6-of-6 from beyond the arc. The Badgers' offense has been potent, averaging 80.6 points per game this season, ranking fourth in the Big Ten. They shoot 46.1% from the field and 35.7% from three-point range, while their defense allows 70.7 points per game, holding opponents to 41.7% shooting.

On the other side, the top-seeded Michigan State Spartans (27-5) extended their winning streak to eight games with a solid victory over Oregon. The Spartans' defense was particularly effective, holding Oregon scoreless for a crucial five-minute stretch in the second half. Offensively, they shot 46.3% from the field, with Jase Richardson leading the team with 17 points. Michigan State's defense has been a cornerstone of their success, allowing just 66.9 points per game, the second-best mark in the Big Ten. They limit opponents to 40.3% shooting from the field and 27.8% from three-point range.

Betting Insights

• Point Spread: Michigan State is favored by 3.5 points.
• Moneyline: Wisconsin +140, Michigan State -168.
• Over/Under: 144.5 points.

In their previous meeting less than two weeks ago, Michigan State secured a nine-point victory over Wisconsin, covering the spread as 4.5-point favorites. The game totaled 133 points, falling under the projected total of 147. Notably, Wisconsin struggled from three-point range in that matchup, shooting just 5-of-32, while Michigan State's defense effectively contained John Tonje, limiting him to 11 points on 3-of-13 shooting.

Wisconsin Badgers vs. Michigan State Spartans Prediction

Considering the recent performances and head-to-head history, Michigan State's robust defense and current form give them an edge in this semifinal matchup. While Wisconsin's explosive offense, highlighted by their record-setting three-point shooting against UCLA, poses a significant threat, the Spartans have demonstrated the ability to neutralize such attacks. Given Michigan State's defensive prowess and their recent success against Wisconsin, the Spartans are well-positioned to cover the 3.5-point spread. Additionally, with both teams emphasizing defense, the total points are likely to stay under 144.5.

Prediction: Michigan State to cover the spread; total points under 144.5.