Wisconsin Badgers

Wisconsin Badgers

Mar 15, 2025

Michigan State Spartans

Michigan State Spartans
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

Wisconsin Badgers vs Michigan State Spartans Pick – 3/15/2025

The Wisconsin Badgers and Michigan State Spartans are set to clash in the Big Ten Tournament semifinals today at 1:00 PM Eastern Time at Gainbridge Fieldhouse in Indianapolis. This matchup features two of the conference's top teams, each bringing momentum from impressive quarterfinal victories.

Wisconsin Badgers vs. Michigan State Spartans Game Preview

The fifth-seeded Wisconsin Badgers (25-8) are coming off a commanding 86-70 win over UCLA. In that game, the Badgers set a Big Ten Tournament record by sinking 18 three-pointers. Guard John Tonje led the charge with 26 points and nine rebounds, shooting an impressive 9-of-10 from the field and 6-of-6 from beyond the arc. The Badgers' offense has been potent, averaging 80.6 points per game this season, ranking fourth in the Big Ten. They shoot 46.1% from the field and 35.7% from three-point range, while their defense allows 70.7 points per game, holding opponents to 41.7% shooting.

On the other side, the top-seeded Michigan State Spartans (27-5) extended their winning streak to eight games with a solid victory over Oregon. The Spartans' defense was particularly effective, holding Oregon scoreless for a crucial five-minute stretch in the second half. Offensively, they shot 46.3% from the field, with Jase Richardson leading the team with 17 points. Michigan State's defense has been a cornerstone of their success, allowing just 66.9 points per game, the second-best mark in the Big Ten. They limit opponents to 40.3% shooting from the field and 27.8% from three-point range.

Betting Insights

  • Point Spread: Michigan State is favored by 3.5 points.
  • Moneyline: Wisconsin +140, Michigan State -168.
  • Over/Under: 144.5 points.

In their previous meeting less than two weeks ago, Michigan State secured a nine-point victory over Wisconsin, covering the spread as 4.5-point favorites. The game totaled 133 points, falling under the projected total of 147. Notably, Wisconsin struggled from three-point range in that matchup, shooting just 5-of-32, while Michigan State's defense effectively contained John Tonje, limiting him to 11 points on 3-of-13 shooting.

Wisconsin Badgers vs. Michigan State Spartans Prediction

Considering the recent performances and head-to-head history, Michigan State's robust defense and current form give them an edge in this semifinal matchup. While Wisconsin's explosive offense, highlighted by their record-setting three-point shooting against UCLA, poses a significant threat, the Spartans have demonstrated the ability to neutralize such attacks. Given Michigan State's defensive prowess and their recent success against Wisconsin, the Spartans are well-positioned to cover the 3.5-point spread. Additionally, with both teams emphasizing defense, the total points are likely to stay under 144.5.

Prediction: Michigan State to cover the spread; total points under 144.5.

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Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

+1.5/-105
39% WISC
-1.5/-115
61% MST

Moneyline Pick Consensus

+118
11% WISC
-143
89% MST

Total Pick Consensus

145.5/-112
14% UN
145.5/-108
86% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats Per Game
  • Advanced Game Stats
  • Rushing
  • Special Teams

Offense/Defense

WISC
Team Stats Per Game
MST
80.61
PTS GM
66.94
58.88
FGA
58.06
.461
FG%
.403
.357
3PT%
.278
9.33
ORB
9.25
0.82
DRB
0.67
36.33
TRB
30.69
19.73
FTA
18.88
.828
FT%
.719
14.82
AST
12.41
2.21
BLK
3.09
9.91
TO
11.56
16.61
PF
19.5

Defense/Offense

WISC
Team Stats Per Game
MST
70.67
PTS GM
78.28
60.79
FGA
59.28
.417
FG%
.463
.332
3PT%
.306
10
ORB
11.94
0.72
DRB
0.87
33.7
TRB
39.91
16.94
FTA
22.38
.716
FT%
.781
12.33
AST
16.97
3.39
BLK
4.59
10.15
TO
11.69
18.48
PF
16.91

Offense/Defense

WISC
Advanced Game Stats
MST
68.6
Pace
69.2
117.0
Off.Rate
96.3
.335
FTr
.325
.477
3PAr
.410
.591
TS%
.499
51.9
TRB%
43.5
54.6
AST%
53.1
7.7
STL%
8.8
5.9
BLK%
7.8
.546
eFG%
.460
12.7
TOV%
14.7
28.3
ORB%
24.9
.277
TF/FGA
.234

Defense/Offense

WISC
Advanced Game Stats
MST
68.6
Pace
69.2
102.6
Off.Rate
112.6
.279
FTr
.377
.388
3PAr
.327
.513
TS%
.560
48.1
TRB%
56.5
48.6
AST%
61.8
7.1
STL%
8.1
11.0
BLK%
13.4
.482
eFG%
.513
12.9
TOV%
14.3
27.0
ORB%
35.8
.199
TF/FGA
.295

Odds

  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
WISC MST
WISC MST
Consensus
+1.5 (-114)
-1.5 (-106)
+2.5 (-114)
-2.5 (-106)
+1.5 (-105)
-1.5 (-112)
+1.5 (-105)
-1.5 (-115)
+1.5 (-122)
-1.5 (-106)
+2.5 (-122)
-2.5 (+100)
+2.5 (-114)
-2.5 (-107)
+2.5 (-114)
-2.5 (-106)
+1.5 (-110)
-1.5 (-110)
+2.5 (-110)
-2.5 (-110)
+1.5 (-105)
-1.5 (-110)
+1.5 (-105)
-1.5 (-115)
Open
Current
Book
WISC MST
WISC MST
Consensus
+100
-120
+118
-143
+110
-130
+120
-142
+100
-120
+106
-128
+120
-148
+120
-148
+115
-135
+130
-155
+110
-135
+115
-140
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
143.5 (-115)
143.5 (-105)
145.5 (-110)
145.5 (-110)
144.5 (-112)
144.5 (-108)
145.5 (-108)
145.5 (-112)
143.5 (-115)
143.5 (-105)
145.5 (-110)
145.5 (-110)
144.5 (-109)
144.5 (-117)
146.0 (-109)
146.0 (-112)
144.5 (-110)
144.5 (-110)
146.5 (-110)
146.5 (-110)
144.5 (-110)
144.5 (-110)
145.5 (-110)
145.5 (-110)

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