Saint Francis U Red Flash vs Alabama State Hornets Pick – 3/18/2025

The NCAA Tournament's First Four round features an intriguing contest between the Saint Francis (PA) Red Flash and the Alabama State Hornets. Both teams have demonstrated resilience and determination to reach this stage, setting the stage for a compelling showdown.

Saint Francis (PA) Red Flash vs. Alabama State Hornets Game Preview

Saint Francis (PA) enters the tournament with a 16-17 record, having secured the Northeast Conference (NEC) championship. The Red Flash have been on a remarkable six-game winning streak, including a narrow 46-43 victory over Central Connecticut in the NEC title game. Their offense averages 68.0 points per game, shooting 44.6% from the field and 33.4% from beyond the arc. Defensively, they allow 71.6 points per game, with opponents shooting 43.2% from the field. Key player Riley Parker leads the team with 13.4 points and 3.4 assists per game, while forward Valentino Pinedo contributes 10.0 points and 6.5 rebounds per game.

Alabama State boasts a 19-15 record and clinched the Southwestern Athletic Conference (SWAC) championship. The Hornets have won 10 of their last 11 games, including a 60-56 victory over Jackson State in the SWAC title game. They average 73.4 points per game, shooting 40.5% from the field and 33.0% from three-point range. Defensively, they allow 72.2 points per game, with opponents shooting 43.5% from the field. Guard CJ Hines leads the team with 14.4 points per game, while TJ Madlock adds 12.6 points and 7.2 rebounds per game.

Betting Insights

• Point Spread: Alabama State favored by 3.5 points.
• Moneyline: Alabama State -166, Saint Francis (PA) +138.
• Over/Under: 141.5 points.

Both teams have been strong against the spread recently. Saint Francis (PA) has covered in their last four games, while Alabama State has a 4-1 record against the spread in their last five games. The Red Flash have been involved in higher-scoring games, with the total going over in three of their last five contests. Conversely, the Hornets have seen the total go under in four of their last five games.

Saint Francis (PA) Red Flash vs. Alabama State Hornets Prediction

This matchup presents a clash between Saint Francis (PA)'s efficient offense and Alabama State's tenacious defense. The Red Flash's recent surge, highlighted by their NEC championship run, showcases their ability to perform under pressure. However, their season-long inconsistency raises questions about their sustainability at this level.

Alabama State's balanced attack, led by the dynamic backcourt duo of Hines and Madlock, provides them with multiple scoring options. Their recent success in the SWAC tournament indicates a team peaking at the right time. Additionally, their superior turnover rate, ranking fifth nationally in offensive turnovers, suggests a disciplined approach that could exploit any lapses by Saint Francis (PA).

Considering these factors, Alabama State's consistency and defensive prowess give them a slight edge in this contest. While Saint Francis (PA) has the potential to keep the game close, the Hornets' ability to control the tempo and capitalize on turnovers should lead them to a narrow victory.

Prediction: Alabama State Hornets 73, Saint Francis (PA) Red Flash 70.