Oregon Ducks vs Michigan State Spartans Prediction – 3/14/2025

The Big Ten Tournament heats up this Friday as the top-seeded Michigan State Spartans (26-5) face off against the eighth-seeded Oregon Ducks (24-8) at Gainbridge Fieldhouse in Indianapolis. Tipoff is scheduled for 12:00 p.m. ET, with both teams aiming to advance further in the tournament.

Oregon Ducks vs. Michigan State Spartans Game Preview

Michigan State enters the quarterfinals riding a seven-game winning streak, showcasing their dominance in the Big Ten with a 17-3 conference record. Their recent 79-62 victory over Michigan highlighted their offensive efficiency and defensive prowess. Junior guard Tre Holloman led the charge off the bench with 20 points, while Jase Richardson contributed 18 points, five rebounds, and three assists. The Spartans' balanced attack and depth make them a formidable opponent.

Oregon, on the other hand, has rebounded impressively from a mid-season slump. After a five-game losing streak, the Ducks have secured eight consecutive wins, including a 72-59 triumph over Indiana in the tournament's second round. Sophomore guard Jackson Shelstad led the team with 18 points, supported by senior center Nate Bittle's all-around performance of eight rebounds, six assists, three steals, and two blocks. The Ducks' resurgence has been fueled by improved defense and efficient scoring.

Betting Insights

As of now, the betting odds favor Michigan State by 5.5 points, with an over/under set at 143.5 points. The Spartans have been strong against the spread (ATS), boasting a 21-9-1 record this season. Conversely, the Ducks are 15-16-1 ATS. In their previous encounter on February 8, Michigan State secured an 86-74 victory, covering the spread as 10-point favorites. Notably, the total points in that game reached 160, surpassing the set over/under of 146.

Key betting trends to consider:

• Michigan State has covered the spread in six of their last seven games.
• Oregon has hit the under in six of their last eight games.
• The under is 7-1 in Michigan State's last eight games.

Oregon Ducks vs. Michigan State Spartans Prediction

Analyzing both teams' recent performances and statistical profiles, Michigan State appears to have the upper hand. Their balanced scoring, depth, and defensive capabilities position them well against Oregon. The Spartans' ability to control the tempo and dominate the boards, as evidenced by their 40-27 rebounding advantage in the previous matchup, could be pivotal.

While Oregon's recent surge is commendable, their earlier loss to Michigan State and the Spartans' current form suggest a challenging path to victory. The Ducks will need exceptional performances from Shelstad and Bittle to counter Michigan State's depth and experience.

Considering the betting line of Michigan State -5.5, the Spartans are likely to cover the spread. Additionally, given both teams' recent trends towards lower-scoring games, the under on the 143.5 total points appears favorable.

Final Prediction: Michigan State 74, Oregon 66

Betting Pick: Michigan State -5.5; Under 143.5 points