Oregon Ducks

Oregon Ducks

Mar 14, 2025

Michigan State Spartans

Michigan State Spartans
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

Oregon Ducks vs Michigan State Spartans Prediction – 3/14/2025

The Big Ten Tournament heats up this Friday as the top-seeded Michigan State Spartans (26-5) face off against the eighth-seeded Oregon Ducks (24-8) at Gainbridge Fieldhouse in Indianapolis. Tipoff is scheduled for 12:00 p.m. ET, with both teams aiming to advance further in the tournament.

Oregon Ducks vs. Michigan State Spartans Game Preview

Michigan State enters the quarterfinals riding a seven-game winning streak, showcasing their dominance in the Big Ten with a 17-3 conference record. Their recent 79-62 victory over Michigan highlighted their offensive efficiency and defensive prowess. Junior guard Tre Holloman led the charge off the bench with 20 points, while Jase Richardson contributed 18 points, five rebounds, and three assists. The Spartans' balanced attack and depth make them a formidable opponent.

Oregon, on the other hand, has rebounded impressively from a mid-season slump. After a five-game losing streak, the Ducks have secured eight consecutive wins, including a 72-59 triumph over Indiana in the tournament's second round. Sophomore guard Jackson Shelstad led the team with 18 points, supported by senior center Nate Bittle's all-around performance of eight rebounds, six assists, three steals, and two blocks. The Ducks' resurgence has been fueled by improved defense and efficient scoring.

Betting Insights

As of now, the betting odds favor Michigan State by 5.5 points, with an over/under set at 143.5 points. The Spartans have been strong against the spread (ATS), boasting a 21-9-1 record this season. Conversely, the Ducks are 15-16-1 ATS. In their previous encounter on February 8, Michigan State secured an 86-74 victory, covering the spread as 10-point favorites. Notably, the total points in that game reached 160, surpassing the set over/under of 146.

Key betting trends to consider:

  • Michigan State has covered the spread in six of their last seven games.
  • Oregon has hit the under in six of their last eight games.
  • The under is 7-1 in Michigan State's last eight games.

Oregon Ducks vs. Michigan State Spartans Prediction

Analyzing both teams' recent performances and statistical profiles, Michigan State appears to have the upper hand. Their balanced scoring, depth, and defensive capabilities position them well against Oregon. The Spartans' ability to control the tempo and dominate the boards, as evidenced by their 40-27 rebounding advantage in the previous matchup, could be pivotal.

While Oregon's recent surge is commendable, their earlier loss to Michigan State and the Spartans' current form suggest a challenging path to victory. The Ducks will need exceptional performances from Shelstad and Bittle to counter Michigan State's depth and experience.

Considering the betting line of Michigan State -5.5, the Spartans are likely to cover the spread. Additionally, given both teams' recent trends towards lower-scoring games, the under on the 143.5 total points appears favorable.

Final Prediction: Michigan State 74, Oregon 66

Betting Pick: Michigan State -5.5; Under 143.5 points

Get daily NCAABB picks here.

Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

+6.5/-115
58% ORE
-6.5/-105
42% MST

Moneyline Pick Consensus

+228
6% ORE
-284
94% MST

Total Pick Consensus

141.0/-110
13% UN
141.0/-110
87% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats Per Game
  • Advanced Game Stats
  • Rushing
  • Special Teams

Offense/Defense

ORE
Team Stats Per Game
MST
76.59
PTS GM
67.03
58.81
FGA
58.23
.456
FG%
.401
.343
3PT%
.280
10.34
ORB
9.35
0.79
DRB
0.69
35.75
TRB
30.74
19.75
FTA
19.03
.764
FT%
.719
14.72
AST
12.48
3.84
BLK
3.13
11.16
TO
11.45
16.25
PF
19.45

Defense/Offense

ORE
Team Stats Per Game
MST
70.84
PTS GM
78.42
60.25
FGA
59.45
.430
FG%
.463
.314
3PT%
.302
10.47
ORB
12
0.72
DRB
0.9
33.59
TRB
40.03
16.25
FTA
22.16
.729
FT%
.789
13.03
AST
17.1
3.25
BLK
4.74
12.25
TO
11.68
17.97
PF
17

Offense/Defense

ORE
Advanced Game Stats
MST
68.6
Pace
69.2
110.4
Off.Rate
96.4
.336
FTr
.327
.387
3PAr
.412
.562
TS%
.498
51.6
TRB%
43.4
54.8
AST%
53.5
10.4
STL%
8.9
10.2
BLK%
7.8
.523
eFG%
.458
14.1
TOV%
14.5
30.9
ORB%
25.0
.257
TF/FGA
.235

Defense/Offense

ORE
Advanced Game Stats
MST
68.6
Pace
69.2
102.1
Off.Rate
112.8
.270
FTr
.373
.377
3PAr
.329
.521
TS%
.560
48.4
TRB%
56.6
50.2
AST%
62.1
8.7
STL%
8.0
9.0
BLK%
13.8
.490
eFG%
.512
15.3
TOV%
14.3
29.2
ORB%
35.9
.197
TF/FGA
.294

Odds

  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
ORE MST
ORE MST
Consensus
+4.5 (-111)
-4.5 (-110)
+6.5 (-111)
-6.5 (-111)
+4.5 (-115)
-4.5 (-110)
+6.5 (-115)
-6.5 (-105)
+5.5 (-102)
-5.5 (-110)
+5.5 (-102)
-5.5 (-120)
+5.5 (-109)
-5.5 (-112)
+6.5 (-109)
-6.5 (-112)
+4.5 (-105)
-4.5 (-110)
+6.0 (-105)
-6.0 (-115)
+5.5 (-115)
-5.5 (-110)
+6.5 (-115)
-6.5 (-105)
Open
Current
Book
ORE MST
ORE MST
Consensus
+170
-205
+228
-284
+170
-205
+235
-290
+188
-230
+198
-245
+195
-245
+225
-286
+175
-210
+250
-320
+195
-235
+220
-275
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
143.0 (-110)
143.0 (-110)
141.0 (-113)
141.0 (-108)
143.5 (-110)
143.5 (-110)
141.5 (-110)
141.5 (-110)
143.5 (-110)
143.5 (-110)
141.5 (-115)
141.5 (-105)
143.5 (-112)
143.5 (-114)
141.0 (-113)
141.0 (-108)
143.0 (-110)
143.0 (-110)
142.0 (-110)
142.0 (-110)
143.5 (-110)
143.5 (-110)
142.5 (-105)
142.5 (-115)

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