Louisville Cardinals

Louisville Cardinals

Mar 15, 2025

Duke Blue Devils

Duke Blue Devils
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

Louisville Cardinals vs Duke Blue Devils Prediction – 3/15/2025

The Louisville Cardinals and Duke Blue Devils are set to face off in the ACC Tournament Championship on Saturday, March 15, 2025, at 8:30 pm at the Spectrum Center in Charlotte, North Carolina. This highly anticipated game features two of the conference's top teams vying for the title.

Louisville Cardinals vs. Duke Blue Devils Game Preview

The Louisville Cardinals enter the championship game with a 27-6 record, including an 18-2 mark in ACC play. Under the leadership of first-year head coach Pat Kelsey, the Cardinals have orchestrated a remarkable turnaround from last season's struggles. They are currently riding an 11-game winning streak, with recent victories over Stanford (75-73) and Clemson (76-73) in the ACC Tournament. Guard Terrence Edwards Jr. has been instrumental, scoring 21 points in the semifinal win against Clemson. The Cardinals average 79.2 points per game, shooting 45.7% from the field and 33.3% from three-point range. Defensively, they allow 68.5 points per game, holding opponents to 42.4% shooting.

The Duke Blue Devils boast a 30-3 record, including a 19-1 conference record. Despite the absence of star forward Cooper Flagg due to an ankle injury, Duke has maintained its dominance, securing a 74-71 victory over North Carolina in the semifinals. Guard Kon Knueppel stepped up in Flagg's absence, leading the team with 17 points. The Blue Devils are averaging 83.5 points per game, shooting 49.1% from the field and 38.7% from beyond the arc. Their defense is formidable, allowing just 61.4 points per game and holding opponents to 38.2% shooting.

Betting Insights

As of March 15, 2025, the betting odds for the ACC Championship game are as follows:

  • Point Spread: Duke -6.5
  • Moneyline: Duke -285, Louisville +230
  • Over/Under: 140.5 points

These odds suggest that Duke is favored to win by approximately 6.5 points. The over/under indicates expectations for a moderately high-scoring game. Bettors should consider Duke's strong performance even without Flagg and Louisville's impressive winning streak when making their decisions.

Louisville Cardinals vs. Duke Blue Devils Prediction

This championship matchup presents a compelling contest between two high-performing teams. Duke's depth has been evident in their ability to secure victories without their leading scorer, Cooper Flagg. Players like Kon Knueppel have risen to the occasion, ensuring the team's continued success. Louisville's resurgence under Coach Kelsey has been remarkable, with the team demonstrating resilience and cohesion throughout their winning streak.

While Duke's offensive efficiency and defensive prowess make them formidable opponents, Louisville's momentum and balanced play cannot be overlooked. The Cardinals have shown they can compete with top-tier teams, and their recent performances suggest they are peaking at the right time.

Considering Duke's slight edge in overall performance metrics and their ability to adapt without Flagg, they are likely to secure the victory. However, given Louisville's current form and the competitive nature of championship games, the final score may be closer than the spread suggests. Bettors might find value in considering Louisville to cover the spread, while Duke remains the favorite to win outright.

Get daily NCAABB picks here.

Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

+6.5/-118
36% LOU
-6.5/-102
64% DUKE

Moneyline Pick Consensus

+210
6% LOU
-258
94% DUKE

Total Pick Consensus

148.5/-115
57% UN
148.5/-105
43% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats Per Game
  • Advanced Game Stats
  • Rushing
  • Special Teams

Offense/Defense

LOU
Team Stats Per Game
DUKE
79.09
PTS GM
61.91
59.21
FGA
57.58
.456
FG%
.386
.332
3PT%
.310
11.03
ORB
9.7
0.8
DRB
0.62
37.42
TRB
30.3
20.79
FTA
14.82
.748
FT%
.720
14.09
AST
11.48
2.88
BLK
3.15
11.45
TO
11.82
15.39
PF
16.39

Defense/Offense

LOU
Team Stats Per Game
DUKE
68.79
PTS GM
83
58.91
FGA
59.39
.424
FG%
.489
.336
3PT%
.377
9.88
ORB
11.3
0.71
DRB
0.83
33.27
TRB
38.73
15.48
FTA
18.82
.710
FT%
.784
11.64
AST
16.94
2.94
BLK
3.76
12.97
TO
9.58
18.76
PF
16

Offense/Defense

LOU
Advanced Game Stats
DUKE
69.2
Pace
66.7
113.9
Off.Rate
92.9
.351
FTr
.257
.483
3PAr
.378
.572
TS%
.479
52.9
TRB%
43.9
52.1
AST%
51.6
9.4
STL%
8.1
8.1
BLK%
9.7
.537
eFG%
.445
14.2
TOV%
15.5
32.0
ORB%
26.1
.263
TF/FGA
.185

Defense/Offense

LOU
Advanced Game Stats
DUKE
69.2
Pace
66.7
99.1
Off.Rate
124.5
.263
FTr
.317
.394
3PAr
.452
.519
TS%
.607
47.1
TRB%
56.1
46.5
AST%
58.3
9.3
STL%
10.5
9.6
BLK%
10.5
.490
eFG%
.574
16.4
TOV%
12.3
27.2
ORB%
35.4
.187
TF/FGA
.248

Odds

  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
LOU DUKE
LOU DUKE
Consensus
+6.5 (-109)
-6.5 (-110)
+6.0 (-109)
-6.0 (-113)
+6.5 (-118)
-6.5 (-110)
+6.5 (-118)
-6.5 (-102)
+6.5 (-102)
-6.5 (-110)
+5.5 (-102)
-5.5 (-120)
+5.5 (-108)
-5.5 (-117)
+6.0 (-108)
-6.0 (-113)
+5.5 (-115)
-5.5 (-110)
+6.0 (-115)
-6.0 (-105)
+5.5 (-115)
-5.5 (-115)
+6.5 (-115)
-6.5 (-105)
Open
Current
Book
LOU DUKE
LOU DUKE
Consensus
+225
-280
+218
-270
+230
-285
+210
-258
+220
-275
+198
-245
+210
-265
+225
-286
+210
-260
+192
-235
+200
-250
+220
-275
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
142.5 (-115)
142.5 (-105)
147.5 (-113)
147.5 (-109)
143.5 (-110)
143.5 (-110)
148.5 (-105)
148.5 (-115)
142.5 (-115)
142.5 (-105)
147.5 (-110)
147.5 (-110)
145.5 (-108)
145.5 (-117)
147.5 (-112)
147.5 (-109)
142.0 (-110)
142.0 (-110)
148.0 (-110)
148.0 (-110)
146.5 (-105)
146.5 (-115)
147.5 (-115)
147.5 (-105)

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