Updated February 20, 2026
The most storied rivalry in the Big Ten reaches a fever pitch this Friday as the Indiana Hoosiers travel to West Lafayette to take on the No. 7 Purdue Boilermakers. This matchup serves as a critical "revenge game" for Purdue, who fell to the Hoosiers 72-67 in Bloomington just a few weeks ago. While Indiana is fighting to solidify its seeding in the middle of the conference pack, Purdue is eyeing a regular-season title and a top seed in the Big Dance. With Mackey Arena expected to be at a "Black-Out" capacity, the environment will be as hostile as it gets for the visiting Hoosiers. Before tip-off in West Lafayette, continue reading to get my Indiana vs. Purdue prediction.
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Pick: Purdue -10.5 ATS PRO
Confidence: ★★★★☆
Purdue Boilermakers
Indiana Hoosiers
Statistic | Indiana | Purdue |
|---|---|---|
Points per game | 80.3 | 82.5 |
Points allowed per game | 71.3 | 69.5 |
Team Field Goal % | 44.5% | 49.7% |
Rebounds per game | 34.0 | 36.7 |
Assists per game | 17.3 | 19.5 |
Score Projection: Purdue 82 – Indiana 70 ATS PRO
Win Probability: Purdue 87%, Indiana 13% ATS PRO
I am backing the Boilermakers to cover the double-digit spread at home. While Indiana’s trio of Wilkerson, DeVries, and Dorn can be dangerous when they are hitting from deep, the environment at Mackey Arena is a different beast entirely. Purdue has been incredibly efficient at home, and Braden Smith is playing at an elite level that Indiana's guards will struggle to contain. Expect Purdue to dominate the glass and capitalize on second-chance opportunities to pull away in the second half. The Boilermakers’ motivation to avenge their previous loss, combined with Indiana's road woes, makes the home team the clear choice here.
Sports betting analyst with 9+ years of experience in the iGaming industry. Specializes in hockey (NHL, SHL) and soccer (EPL, Allsvenskan, Champions League). Has analyzed thousands of games and betting markets during his career.
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