Grambling State Tigers
Southern Jaguars
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Grambling State Tigers vs Southern Jaguars Prediction – 3/12/2025
The Southern Jaguars and Grambling State Tigers are set to face off in the SWAC tournament on Wednesday, March 12, 2025, at 2:00 PM Eastern Time at the Gateway Center Arena in College Park, Georgia. This matchup features the top-seeded Jaguars (20-11, 15-3 SWAC) against the eighth-seeded Tigers (11-21, 7-11 SWAC).
Grambling State Tigers vs Southern Jaguars Game Preview
Southern enters the tournament with a strong season record, boasting a 20-11 overall performance and a 15-3 mark in conference play. The Jaguars have demonstrated a balanced approach, averaging 75.2 points per game while allowing 68.4 points to opponents. Key player Michael Jacobs leads the team with an average of 11.3 points per game.
Grambling State, on the other hand, has faced challenges throughout the season, culminating in an 11-21 overall record and a 7-11 standing in the SWAC. The Tigers average 67.0 points per game and concede 68.0 points to their opponents. Kintavious Dozier stands out for Grambling State, averaging 12.1 points per game.
Betting Insights
- Point Spread: Southern is favored by 6.5 points.
- Moneyline: Southern -290, Grambling State +245.
- Total Points Over/Under: 127.5 points.
These odds suggest that Southern is the favorite, with a 75.6% implied probability of winning the game. The over/under line indicates expectations of a moderately scoring game.
Betting Trends
- Southern has a 13-14-0 record against the spread (ATS) this season.
- Grambling State has a 12-17-0 ATS record this season.
- When favored by 6.5 points or more, Southern has covered the spread in 6 out of 11 games (54.5%).
- As underdogs of 6.5 points or more, Grambling State has covered the spread in 6 out of 7 games (85.7%).
- Southern has a 9-1 record in their last 10 home games.
- Grambling State has a 4-6 record in their last 10 road games.
Grambling State Tigers vs Southern Jaguars Prediction
Considering the season performances and recent trends, Southern appears to have the upper hand in this matchup. Their balanced scoring and defensive capabilities, combined with a strong home record, position them as the likely victors. However, Grambling State's ability to cover the spread as underdogs suggests they could keep the game competitive.
Prediction: Southern to win, but Grambling State to cover the +6.5 point spread.
For bettors, this indicates potential value in backing Grambling State against the spread, while also considering the under on the total points, given both teams' defensive statistics.
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Grambling State Tigers
Southern Jaguars
