George Washington Revolutionaries vs George Mason Patriots Prediction – 3/14/2025

The Atlantic 10 Conference tournament heats up this Friday, March 14, 2025, as the George Washington Revolutionaries face off against the George Mason Patriots in a quarterfinal matchup at Capital One Arena in Washington, D.C. Tip-off is scheduled for 5:00 p.m. ET, with the game broadcast on USA Network.

George Washington Revolutionaries vs. George Mason Patriots Game Preview

This season, George Mason has been a force in the Atlantic 10, boasting a 24-7 overall record and a 15-3 mark in conference play, earning them the No. 2 seed in the tournament. The Patriots concluded their regular season with a 64-60 victory over the Richmond Spiders, showcasing their resilience in tight contests. Notably, George Mason has secured 14 wins in their last 16 games, reflecting their strong form heading into the postseason.

George Washington, the No. 7 seed, holds a 21-11 overall record with a 9-9 conference tally. The Revolutionaries advanced to the quarterfinals by defeating Fordham 88-81 in the second round. In that game, they displayed offensive prowess, shooting 51.8% from the field and 37.0% from beyond the arc. Guard Trey Autry led the charge with 23 points, while forward Rafael Castro contributed 17 points and eight rebounds.

The season series between these teams has been tightly contested. George Mason edged out George Washington in both regular-season encounters, first with an 80-77 double-overtime thriller on January 18, and later with a 53-50 defensive battle on February 5. The Patriots have won the last three meetings against the Revolutionaries, holding a 14-11 advantage since joining the Atlantic 10 in the 2013-14 season.

Betting Insights

As of the latest odds, George Mason is favored by 2.5 points, with the over/under set at 128.5 points. The moneyline positions the Patriots at -144 and the Revolutionaries at +120.

• Against the Spread (ATS):
• George Mason has covered the spread in 13 of 30 games this season.
• George Washington has a 17-14 ATS record.
• As favorites of 2.5 points or more, the Patriots have covered 38.1% of the time (8-13), while the Revolutionaries have covered 60% of the time (6-4) as underdogs of 2.5 points or more.

• Moneyline Performance:
• George Mason has been favored in 23 games, winning 20 (87%) of those matchups.
• As favorites of -142 or better, the Patriots have a 17-2 record.
• George Washington has been the underdog in 12 games, winning five (41.7%) of those contests.

• Head-to-Head Trends:
• George Mason has won seven of the last 10 meetings against George Washington.
• The Patriots have a three-game winning streak in the series.

George Washington Revolutionaries vs. George Mason Patriots Prediction

Analyzing the matchup, George Mason's defensive strength stands out. The Patriots allow an average of 63.1 points per game, ranking 12th nationally, and hold opponents to 37.9% shooting from the field, the second-best mark in the country. Their methodical offensive approach complements their defensive tenacity, making them a formidable opponent.

George Washington's offense, led by Castro and Autry, has been effective, averaging 73.5 points per game. However, their defensive vulnerabilities were evident in their recent game against Fordham, where they allowed 81 points and a 44.8% shooting percentage. Additionally, their tendency to commit fouls resulted in Fordham attempting 22 free throws, a potential concern against a disciplined team like George Mason.

The Patriots' balanced attack features Darius Maddox and Jalen Haynes, both averaging over 13 points per game. Haynes' efficiency, shooting 56.9%, combined with his 7.2 rebounds per game, provides an inside presence that could exploit George Washington's defensive lapses.

Considering George Mason's recent form, defensive prowess, and success in close games, they have the edge in this matchup. The Patriots' ability to control the game's tempo and their experience in tight contests position them well to advance in the tournament.

Prediction: George Mason Patriots to win and cover the spread.

For more on today's game check out the comprehensive statistics, betting odds, and trends below. Be sure to check out all our free NCAABB picks here.