Fresno State Bulldogs vs Nevada Wolf Pack Pick – 3/12/2025

The Mountain West Conference Championship kicks off with an intriguing first-round game between the 10th-seeded Fresno State Bulldogs and the seventh-seeded Nevada Wolf Pack. The game is scheduled for March 12, 2025, at 4:30 PM Eastern Time at the Thomas & Mack Center. The winner will advance to face the second-seeded Colorado State Rams in the quarterfinals, while the loser's season will come to an end.

Fresno State Bulldogs vs. Nevada Wolf Pack Game Preview

Fresno State enters the tournament with a 6-25 overall record and a 2-18 mark in Mountain West play. The Bulldogs are looking to rebound from a 92-68 road loss to the San Jose State Spartans. In that game, junior guard Jasir Tremble led the team with 22 points off the bench. The Bulldogs' offense averages 70.7 points per game, shooting 40.6% from the field and 31.1% from three-point range. Defensively, they allow 80.5 points per game, with opponents shooting 46.6% overall and 34.4% from beyond the arc.

Nevada comes into the tournament with a 16-15 overall record and an 8-12 conference record. The Wolf Pack are on a three-game losing streak, most recently falling 80-61 to the San Diego State Aztecs. Sophomore guard Tyler Rolison led Nevada with 19 points and eight rebounds in that game. The Wolf Pack's offense averages 72.3 points per game, shooting 47.7% from the field and 35.1% from three-point range. Their defense allows 68.1 points per game, with opponents shooting 43.4% overall and 35.7% from distance.

Betting Insights

As of the latest available information, Nevada is favored by 12.5 points, with an over/under set at 137.5 points. The moneyline odds are -747 for Nevada and +524 for Fresno State. Bettors should monitor these lines for any updates leading up to the game.

Betting Trends

• Fresno State is 3-2 against the spread (ATS) in their last five games.
• Nevada is 1-4 ATS in their previous five games.
• In their last three meetings, Fresno State is 2-1 ATS against Nevada.
• Both teams have struggled with three-point shooting recently, with Fresno State at 26.7% and Nevada at 25.5% over their last five games.

Fresno State Bulldogs vs. Nevada Wolf Pack Prediction

Considering the current form and statistical analysis, Nevada holds the advantage in this game. Their more efficient offense and stronger defense position them well against a struggling Fresno State team. While the Bulldogs have shown resilience, the Wolf Pack's overall performance suggests they will secure the win. However, given Fresno State's recent ATS performance and the sizable spread, they may cover the 12.5-point line. The prediction is a Nevada victory, with Fresno State covering the spread, and the total points staying under 137.5.