Boise State Broncos vs New Mexico Lobos Pick – 3/14/2025

The Mountain West Conference semifinals are set to feature an exciting contest between the top-seeded New Mexico Lobos and the fifth-seeded Boise State Broncos. Both teams are coming off impressive quarterfinal victories and are eager to secure a spot in the championship game. This matchup is scheduled for March 14, 2025, at 9:30 PM Eastern Time at the Thomas & Mack Center in Las Vegas.

Boise State Broncos vs. New Mexico Lobos Game Preview

The New Mexico Lobos (26-6, 17-3 MWC) have been a dominant force this season, finishing atop the Mountain West standings. They are currently on a four-game winning streak, with their latest victory being a 63-52 win over the San Jose State Spartans in the quarterfinals. Junior guard Donovan Dent led the charge with 25 points, five assists, and two blocks. The Lobos' offense averages 82.2 points per game, shooting 46.3% from the field and 34.8% from beyond the arc. Defensively, they allow 71.3 points per game, with opponents shooting 42.9% from the field and 34.4% from three-point range.

The Boise State Broncos (23-9, 14-6 MWC) have also had a strong season, securing the fifth seed in the conference tournament. They advanced to the semifinals after a 62-52 victory over the San Diego State Aztecs. Senior guard Alvaro Cardenas was instrumental in the win, contributing 16 points and four assists. The Broncos' offense averages 76.0 points per game, with a shooting percentage of 46.5% from the field and 31.5% from three-point range. Their defense is robust, allowing only 66.3 points per game, with opponents shooting 43.7% from the field and 33.6% from beyond the arc.

Betting Insights

As of the latest odds, the New Mexico Lobos are favored by 1.5 points, with a moneyline of -127, while the Boise State Broncos have a moneyline of +106. The over/under for the game is set at 148.5 points. Historically, Boise State has had the upper hand in recent matchups, winning seven of the last ten encounters against New Mexico. However, the Lobos have been formidable this season, especially with Donovan Dent's exceptional performance, averaging 20.4 points and 6.5 assists per game. On the other hand, Boise State's Tyson Degenhart has been a consistent performer, averaging 17.8 points and 6.1 rebounds per game.

Boise State Broncos vs. New Mexico Lobos Prediction

Considering the current form and statistics, this game is expected to be closely contested. New Mexico's high-scoring offense, led by Donovan Dent, will challenge Boise State's strong defense. However, the Broncos have demonstrated resilience and the ability to perform under pressure, as evidenced by their recent victory over San Diego State. Given the narrow point spread and the teams' recent performances, betting on Boise State to cover the spread or even secure an outright win could be a prudent choice. Additionally, with both teams having solid defenses, the total points may lean towards the under 148.5 mark. As always, it's essential to consider all factors and bet responsibly.