Carlos Alcaraz to win Wimbledon (+225)
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- Alcaraz won Wimbledon last year when he was not quite at his best physically and should be in an even better spot to do so this year.
- Novak Djokovic is not at his best from a physical standpoint this year, which will pave the way for Sinner or Alcaraz to get the job done.
The most popular fortnight in tennis is set to begin on Monday, as Wimbledon is set to get going from the All England Club. There are three clear favorites to win this tournament, while the rest of the field will look to claim the title for themselves by navigating past Novak Djokovic, Carlos Alcaraz, Jannik Sinner, and the rest of the competition. Here, we make our tennis betting picks for Wimbledon in the outright betting markets before the fun begins.
2024 Wimbledon Odds
Gentlemen’s singles odds as of June 26
| Player | DraftKings | BetMGM | Caesars | bet365 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jannik Sinner | +175 | +160 | +170 | +175 |
| Carlos Alcaraz | +175 | +175 | +160 | +175 |
| Novak Djokovic | +400 | +400 | +300 | +400 |
| Alexander Zverev | +1400 | +1000 | +1400 | +1400 |
| Hubert Hurkacz | +1600 | +1100 | +1800 | +1600 |
| Jack Draper | +2000 | +1600 | +2500 | +2000 |
| Daniil Medvedev | +2000 | +1200 | +2000 | +1600 |
| Matteo Berrettini | +2200 | +1600 | +2000 | +2000 |
| Alex De Minaur | +2200 | +2000 | +2500 | +2000 |
| Taylor Fritz | +2800 | +2800 | +3500 | +3300 |
Wimbledon Ladies’ singles odds as of June 26
| Player | DraftKings | BetMGM | Caesars | bet365 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aryna Sabalenka | +320 | +300 | +300 | +275 |
| Iga Swiatek | +350 | +275 | +325 | +350 |
| Elena Rybakina | +450 | +450 | +450 | +450 |
| Coco Gauff | +650 | +700 | +700 | +600 |
| Naomi Osaka | +1300 | +800 | +1200 | +1200 |
| Ons Jabeur | +1600 | +1000 | +1200 | +1600 |
| Jessica Pegula | +2200 | +2000 | +2000 | +2000 |
| Marketa Vondrousova | +2500 | +1400 | +1600 | +1400 |
| Mirra Andreeva | +2500 | +1200 | +2000 | +2000 |
| Madison Keys | +2500 | +1600 | +3000 | +2500 |
2024 Wimbledon Gentlemen’s Draw Preview
The Wimbledon gentlemen’s draw is interesting this year, as the three favorites to win this tournament are scattered throughout the bracket. That means that as long as Jannik Sinner, Carlos Alcaraz, and Novak Djokovic can take care of business against the rest of their opponents, none of them will meet until the semifinals and the final. But before we reach that point, let’s take a look at each quarter of the draw and what we could expect from this tournament before we reach the semifinals.
First Quarter: Can Anyone Challenge Jannik Sinner?
Key Players in this Quarter: Jannik Sinner, Daniil Medvedev, Grigor Dimitrov, Ben Shelton, Matteo Berrettini
The first quarter of the Wimbledon gentlemen’s draw should go the way of Jannik Sinner, who is favored to win the tournament as a whole. The Italian comes into this event ranked number one in the world and has shown the ability to win big matches on grass in the past. But there are a couple of names who could make life tough on the Italian as he looks to set up a semifinal matchup with Alcaraz late in the fortnight.
Daniil Medvedev is much better suited for hardcourt tennis than he is grass or clay court action. But Medvedev is never an easy out in any match and he is better on grass than he is on clay. While it is a shame that Matteo Berrettini isn’t healthy enough to be a true threat to the big guns at this event, Medvedev is someone who could shock Sinner on his best day.
Second Quarter: Alcaraz Eyes All England Repeat
Key Players in this Quarter: Carlos Alcaraz, Frances Tiafoe, Tommy Paul, Ugo Humbert, Alexander Bublik, Casper Ruud
Carlos Alcaraz doesn’t need much help to get into the final rounds of major tournaments. But his Wimbledon draw will provide him with that help anyway, as it is incredibly favorable in his quarter. Tommy Paul isn’t an easy out and Alexander Bublik’s serve and big hitting are dangerous when he chooses to try. But Alcaraz should be able to blow everyone away here, especially with the other top seed in this quarter being a clay court merchant in Casper Ruud.
Another storyline to look forward to in this quarter is that of Mariano Navone of Argentina. He has played a total of two tour-level matches on grass in his career, both of which came this year and both of which were losses in straight sets. Yet because of his performances on clay, he is seeded 31st at this tournament. His stay in London should be short, but interesting nonetheless.
Third Quarter: Chaos Will Reign
Key Players in this Quarter: Alexander Zverev, Andrey Rublev, Stefanos Tsitsipas, Taylor Fritz, Jack Draper, Cameron Norrie, Lorenzo Musetti
There are so many quality players in the third quarter of the Wimbledon gentlemen’s draw, but good luck picking which one is going to make it out of this quarter. Men like Andrey Rublev and Stefanos Tsitsipas have had high-profile losses in early rounds of this event in the past, while we don’t know what to expect from Sascha Zverev after he lost to Carlos Alcaraz in the French Open final.
Someone who could be worth looking at in this quarter is Jack Draper. The Brit is the best player from England with a chance to win this tournament now that Andy Murray is well past his prime. Crowds will certainly be backing Draper to win every match he is in and he could be someone who gets through his quarter at a nice plus price.
Fourth Quarter: Can Djokovic Hold Up Physically?
Key Players in this Quarter: Novak Djokovic, Hubert Hurkacz, Alex De Minaur, Holger Rune, Andy Murray, Felix Auger-Aliassime, Karen Khachanov
The last time we saw Novak Djokovic play tennis was at the French Open. There, he suffered a knee injury in a match against Francisco Cerundolo and was forced to withdraw from his next match against Casper Ruud. Djokovic is set to make his return here at Wimbledon, where he is the third-favorite to win the tournament. But the question will be whether Djokovic is ready physically to come back and win at this venue where he has had so much success.
If Djokovic is not where he needs to be physically, Alex De Minaur is an interesting name to come through this quarter at Wimbledon. The Australian is so hard to hit through, even on a quick surface like grass. While he lacks power, his defending should be maddening for players in this year’s tournament and he could be the one to get to the semifinals if Djokovic can’t.
Wimbledon Gentlemen’s Singles Prediction: Carlos Alcaraz (+225)
Our pick to win Wimbledon’s gentlemen’s singles is Carlos Alcaraz in 2024. The health concerns with Djokovic have us worried about his ability to get the job done, while Alcaraz has proven just recently that he can overcome adversity to win big matches against players like Sinner and Zverev. Look for the Spaniard to get his second straight title at this tournament and his second straight major of 2024 as well.
