Soccer
Arsenal vs Newcastle Prediction: Gunners Fire Their Way Back into Title Race
The market is shading Arsenal correctly on the moneyline, but it’s still light on the probability that this turns into a multi-goal home win. Newcastle arrive with Joelinton suspended, Gordon a major doubt, and an away npxG profile that says […]
Wolves vs Tottenham Prediction: Spurs Finally Stop the Rot
Tottenham led Brighton 2-1 until the 90th minute last weekend, put up 13 shots and six on target, and lost the draw to a Danso error in stoppage time. They showed a clear understanding of De Zerbi’s vision and looked […]
Liverpool vs Crystal Palace Prediction: Can Eagles Dominate Reds Again?
Liverpool host Crystal Palace at Anfield on Saturday needing another win to stay ahead in the race for the Champions League, while Glasner’s side arrive off the back of a Conference League semi-final qualification and four unbeaten in the league. […]
Burnley vs Manchester City Prediction: Haaland to Punish Sorry Clarets
City head to Turf Moor three points off top spot, riding the momentum of Sunday’s 2-1 win over Arsenal, and they face a Burnley side that’s won once in 23 league games and is all but mathematically down. The moneyline […]
Bournemouth vs Leeds Prediction: Expect Goals at the Vitality
Bournemouth are being priced as slight home favorites here, and the market has largely already accounted for the form gap. The Cherries have gone 13 matches unbeaten in the Premier League and haven’t lost at home in six league games, […]
Brighton vs Chelsea Prediction: Injury Hit Blues Struggle at the Amex
While brand power keeps the market anchored to Chelsea, Brighton are clearly on the right side of the number for Tuesday’s match at the Amex, with our model identifying a significant 7.7% edge on the Seagulls’ +148 moneyline. Chelsea arrive […]
Inter vs Cagliari Prediction: Inter Edge Closer to the Scudetto
The market has Inter at -550 and it’s not hard to see why: they lead Serie A by nine points, they’ve scored nine goals across their last two league games (5-2 vs Roma, 4-3 at Como), and they’re unbeaten in […]
Juventus vs Bologna Prediction: Juve Grind Out Another Win
The public is backing Juventus at -160, and the surface case is fair: they’re 4th in Serie A, have won four of their last five, and carry the best home xG average in Italy at 2.18 per 90. But the […]
Roma vs Atalanta Prediction: Visitors in a Value Spot
Roma are the favorites here and the market is pricing their home advantage heavily, but I think +207 on Atalanta represents one of the better underdog values on the Serie A slate this weekend. Assessing this match forms around one […]
Napoli vs Lazio Prediction: Sharp Money on Partenopei
Fading Lazio here feels straightforward once you dig past the headline odds. The Napoli vs Lazio prediction for April 18 is one of the cleaner value plays on the Serie A slate, and it’s not really close. Napoli sit second […]
Leeds vs Wolves Prediction: Leeds March On Away From the Drop
The stakes are high at Elland Road on Saturday, but the pressure sits very differently on these two sides. Leeds come into this match with momentum after a big win at Old Trafford, and they now have a real opportunity […]
