The Philadelphia Flyers make the trip to Tampa Bay on Monday to take on the Lightning in an NHL matchup. Tampa is playing well of late and will try to continue their winning ways, while the Flyers aim to continue a win streak of their own here. Before the action begins on the ice in Tampa, continue reading to get my Flyers vs Lightning prediction for Monday’s game.
Our Flyers vs Lightning Pick
- Pick: Lightning Moneyline
- Confidence: ★★★★☆
Get more NHL predictions before tonight’s games begins!
Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Philadelphia Flyers @ Tampa Bay Lightning
- Date & Time: Monday, November 24, 2025, at 7:00 PM ET
- Venue: Benchmark International Arena, Tampa, Florida
- Broadcast: ESPN+
Key Storylines
Recent form
Tampa Bay enters this game with positive momentum. The Lightning have won their last three games, and are 7–3 in their past 10 overall, averaging about 3.5 goals per game in that stretch. Meanwhile, Philadelphia is coming off a statement win: they exploded for three goals in just 26 seconds during a 6–3 home victory over New Jersey. Both teams are playing at a high level of late, but only one of them can get the win in this contest.
Goaltending
Tampa Bay will likely look to Andrei Vasilevskiy to steady them between the pipes. He has historically played well against Philadelphia, owning a 15–4–1 record with a .933 save rate in his career against the Flyers. Philadelphia’s Daniel Vladar has been getting time, currently posting a 2.42 goals-against average with a .912 save percentage.
Key skaters
- Tampa Bay
- Jake Guentzel: Leading the Bolts with 12 goals and 22 total points.
- Nikita Kucherov: Double-digits in both assists and goals (10 G, 12 A) but dealing with a day-to-day injury. Kucherov and Brayden Point both exited their most recent game with injury concerns.
- Philadelphia
- Trevor Zegras: A playmaker first, he leads the Flyers in assists (14) and has 21 total points.
- Tyson Foerster: Key in their recent offensive burst, scoring twice in that 26-second span.
Best Player Props
| Player | Stat |
|---|---|
| Jake Guentzel (TB) | Over 0.5 Points |
| Nikita Kucherov (TB) | Over 0.5 Assists |
| Trevor Zegras (PHI) | Over 0.5 Assists |
| Tyson Foerster (PHI) | Over 0.5 Goals |
Betting Trends & H2H
- This is the first of three games between these teams this season.
- The Flyers are 12-8 on the puckline so far this season.
- Philadelphia is 10-10 in the over/under market for the year.
- Tampa Bay is 8-13 on the puckline heading into this matchup.
- The Lightning have gone under the total in 11 of their first 21 games.
Flyers vs Lightning Model Projection
Score Projection: Lightning 4 – Flyers 2
Win Probability: Lightning 62%, Flyers 38%
Final Thoughts
Tampa Bay should be able to pick up a win on home ice in this contest. The Lightning have allowed a total of five goals over their last three games. Their defense should help them to get a victory in this contest against a Flyers team that has struggled to string together goals on a consistent basis.
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