The Seattle Seahawks will fly south to face the Jacksonville Jaguars in Week 6 of the NFL season on Sunday. Seattle enters at 3–2, while Jacksonville is off to a strong 4–1 start. Jacksonville’s thrilling late win over Kansas City on Monday night has them brimming with confidence going into this game. But Seattle’s experience in tough road environments makes this a game where either side could come out on top. Here, I break down this inter-conference matchup and you can find my Seahawks vs Jaguars prediction below.
Our Seahawks vs Jaguars Pick
- Pick: Jaguars -1.5
- Confidence: 3/5
Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Seattle Seahawks @ Jacksonville Jaguars
- Date & Time: Sunday, October 12, 2025, 1:00 PM ET
- Venue: EverBank Stadium, Jacksonville, FL
- Broadcast: FOX
Seahawks vs Jaguars Odds
| Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|
| Jaguars –1.5 | Jaguars –120 / Seahawks +100 | 46.5 |
Key Storylines
Jacksonville Streaking: The Jaguars are 4–1 and Monday night’s 31–28 comeback win over Kansas City was huge for their confidence. Trevor Lawrence scrambled for the game-winning touchdown with 23 seconds left, converting on a clutch drive after Kansas City had reclaimed the lead. Jacksonville’s defense also provided a boost via a 99-yard pick-six by linebacker Devin Lloyd..
Seattle’s Road Success: Though the Seahawks dropped a 38–35 game at home to Tampa Bay last week, they have been better away from home. Seattle is 2–0 on the road this season and their coaching staff will likely lean on a mixture of running and short passing to keep control of the clock. Injuries in the secondary are a concern for Seattle, but they have been playing well for the most part.
Rest Advantage: Jacksonville will play on a short week after a Monday night game in Week 5. Seattle has had more time to prepare, which might help them in the end.
Quarterback Play
Trevor Lawrence has had an up-and-down season with six touchdown passes to five interceptions. He has shown an ability to escape pressure and create improvised plays with his legs, as showcased Monday night. The concern is whether Jacksonville’s offensive line holds up and provides him the clean pockets he needs to make good decisions with the ball.
Seattle’s Sam Darnold has helped his team to score over 30 points in three of their last four games. Darnold has nine touchdown passes to three interceptions and he will try to get Seattle back into the win column after last week’s loss.
Betting Trends
- Jacksonville is 4-1 against the spread this season. They are tied for the best ATS record in the NFL.
- Seattle is 3-2 against the spread going into Week 6.
- Both teams are 3-2 in over/unders for the year coming into this contest.
Seahawks vs Jaguars Model Projection
Score Projection: Seahawks 21 – Jaguars 24
Win Probability: Seahawks 46%, Jaguars 54%
Final Thoughts
This is going to be an incredibly tight game from Duval County. The Jags have been so good on defense, though, and I expect that to continue here. The Jags will force some bad decisions from Darnold and I think that Jacksonville will cover the spread as a favorite while moving to 5-1 on the year.
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