Travis Kelce projections and prop bets for Kansas City Chiefs at Buffalo Bills on Nov 17, 2024
Travis Kelce Player Prop Bet: Receptions
Receptions Prop Bet Odds:
- Receptions 6.5 over: -130
- Receptions 6.5 under: -100
Trends Favoring The Over Receptions Prop Bet
Our trusted projections expect the Kansas City Chiefs as the 5th-most pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 61.3% pass rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
The Chiefs have run the 3rd-most plays in football this year, averaging a colossal 61.3 plays per game.
Opposing offenses have averaged 35.3 pass attempts per game against the Buffalo Bills defense this year: 9th-most in football.
In this week's game, Travis Kelce is forecasted by the projection model to land in the 100th percentile among tight ends with 8.8 targets.
Travis Kelce has been one of the top pass-catching TEs this year, averaging a terrific 6.6 adjusted receptions per game while checking in at the 100th percentile.
Trends Favoring The Under Receptions Prop Bet
Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is predicted by the projection model to have only 124.6 offensive plays called: the lowest number out of all the games this week.
This year, the stout Bills defense has conceded a meager 73.6% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing TEs: the 10th-smallest rate in the league.
Projection For Travis Kelce Receptions Prop Bet
Travis Kelce is projected to have 5.9 Receptions in this weeks game.
Travis Kelce Player Prop Bet: Receiving Yards
Receiving Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Receiving Yards 66.5 over: -115
- Receiving Yards 66.5 under: -110
Trends Favoring The Over Receiving Yards Prop Bet
Our trusted projections expect the Kansas City Chiefs as the 5th-most pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 61.3% pass rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
The Chiefs have run the 3rd-most plays in football this year, averaging a colossal 61.3 plays per game.
Opposing offenses have averaged 35.3 pass attempts per game against the Buffalo Bills defense this year: 9th-most in football.
In this week's game, Travis Kelce is forecasted by the projection model to land in the 100th percentile among tight ends with 8.8 targets.
When talking about air yards, Travis Kelce ranks in the towering 99th percentile among TEs this year, accruing a striking 60.0 per game.
Trends Favoring The Under Receiving Yards Prop Bet
Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is predicted by the projection model to have only 124.6 offensive plays called: the lowest number out of all the games this week.
Travis Kelce's 57.0 adjusted receiving yards per game this season illustrates a noteworthy diminishment in his pass-catching ability over last season's 68.0 figure.
Travis Kelce's pass-catching effectiveness has diminished this season, accumulating just 6.76 adjusted yards-per-target vs a 8.71 rate last season.
Travis Kelce's 3.30 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this season illustrates a noteable diminishment in his effectiveness in the open field over last season's 4.8% rate.
The Bills pass defense has displayed strong efficiency vs. TEs this year, allowing 6.36 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 6th-fewest in the league.
Projection For Travis Kelce Receiving Yards Prop Bet
Travis Kelce is projected to have 60.8 Receiving Yards in this weeks game.
