Indianapolis Colts

Indianapolis Colts

Nov 3, 2024

Minnesota Vikings

Minnesota Vikings
  • Overview
  • Props

Sam Darnold Projections, Prop Bets & Odds

Sam Darnold projections and prop bets for Minnesota Vikings at Seattle Seahawks on Dec 22, 2024

Sam Darnold Player Prop Bet: Interceptions

Interceptions Prop Bet Odds:

  • Interceptions 0.5 over: -129
  • Interceptions 0.5 under: -106

Trends Favoring The Over Interceptions Prop Bet

The model projects the Minnesota Vikings to be the 3rd-most pass-focused team in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 63.8% pass rate.

Trends Favoring The Under Interceptions Prop Bet

A rushing game script is indicated by the Vikings being a 3-point favorite this week.

The projections expect the Vikings offense to be the 10th-most sluggish paced team in football (adjusted for context) right now, averaging 28.53 seconds per snap.

As it relates to safeties in covering pass-catchers, Seattle's collection of safeties has been one of the most skilled this year, profiling as the 5th-best in the league.

Projection For Sam Darnold Interceptions Prop Bet

Sam Darnold is projected to have 0.4 Interceptions in this weeks game.


Sam Darnold Player Prop Bet: Touchdown Passes

Touchdown Passes Prop Bet Odds:

  • Touchdown Passes 1.5 over: -130
  • Touchdown Passes 1.5 under: 100

Trends Favoring The Over Touchdown Passes Prop Bet

The model projects the Minnesota Vikings to be the 3rd-most pass-focused team in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 63.8% pass rate.

With a fantastic ratio of 2.07 per game (89th percentile), Sam Darnold rates among the best TD passers in football this year.

Trends Favoring The Under Touchdown Passes Prop Bet

A rushing game script is indicated by the Vikings being a 3-point favorite this week.

The projections expect the Vikings offense to be the 10th-most sluggish paced team in football (adjusted for context) right now, averaging 28.53 seconds per snap.

As it relates to safeties in covering pass-catchers, Seattle's collection of safeties has been one of the most skilled this year, profiling as the 5th-best in the league.

Projection For Sam Darnold Touchdown Passes Prop Bet

Sam Darnold is projected to have 1.6 Touchdown Passes in this weeks game.


Sam Darnold Player Prop Bet: Rushing Yards

Rushing Yards Prop Bet Odds:

  • Rushing Yards 10.5 over: -105
  • Rushing Yards 10.5 under: -115

Trends Favoring The Over Rushing Yards Prop Bet

A rushing game script is indicated by the Vikings being a 3-point favorite this week.

Sam Darnold has been a much bigger part of his offense's ground game this year (11.9% Carry Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last year (0.0%).

Sam Darnold has rushed for a lot more yards per game (15.0) this season than he did last season (3.0).

The Seattle Seahawks defense has produced the 6th-worst efficiency against opposing rushing attacks this year, conceding 4.82 adjusted yards-per-carry.

The Seahawks defensive tackles profile as the 2nd-worst group of DTs in the league this year when it comes to defending the run.

Trends Favoring The Under Rushing Yards Prop Bet

The model projects the Minnesota Vikings to be the 3rd-least run-oriented team in football (context-neutralized) right now with a 36.2% run rate.

The projections expect the Vikings offense to be the 10th-most sluggish paced team in football (adjusted for context) right now, averaging 28.53 seconds per snap.

Projection For Sam Darnold Rushing Yards Prop Bet

Sam Darnold is projected to have 17.3 Rushing Yards in this weeks game.


Sam Darnold Player Prop Bet: Passing Yards

Passing Yards Prop Bet Odds:

  • Passing Yards 252.5 over: -110
  • Passing Yards 252.5 under: -110

Trends Favoring The Over Passing Yards Prop Bet

The model projects the Minnesota Vikings to be the 3rd-most pass-focused team in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 63.8% pass rate.

Sam Darnold has passed for significantly more adjusted yards per game (252.0) this season than he did last season (33.0).

Sam Darnold's 8.28 adjusted yards-per-target this year signifies an impressive boost in his throwing efficiency over last year's 7.2% mark.

Trends Favoring The Under Passing Yards Prop Bet

A rushing game script is indicated by the Vikings being a 3-point favorite this week.

The projections expect the Vikings offense to be the 10th-most sluggish paced team in football (adjusted for context) right now, averaging 28.53 seconds per snap.

Opposing quarterbacks have passed for the 7th-fewest yards in the NFL (just 219.0 adjusted yards per game) versus the Seattle Seahawks defense this year.

This year, the formidable Seahawks defense has allowed the 5th-least adjusted yards-per-target in football to opposing offenses: a mere 7.4 yards.

As it relates to safeties in covering pass-catchers, Seattle's collection of safeties has been one of the most skilled this year, profiling as the 5th-best in the league.

Projection For Sam Darnold Passing Yards Prop Bet

Sam Darnold is projected to have 259.6 Passing Yards in this weeks game.


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Player Props

  • Total Pass Completions
  • Interceptions Thrown
  • Total Passing Touchdowns
  • To Throw For 300+ Passing Yards
  • Total Passing + Rushing Yards
  • To Score a Touchdown
  • To Complete First Pass
  • Total Rushing Yards
  • To Throw An Interception
  • To Score 3+ Touchdowns
  • To Score 2+ Touchdowns
  • Total Rushing Attempts
  • Longest Pass
  • Total Passing Attempts
  • To Have 2+ Passing TDs And Player's Team To Win
  • Longest Rush
  • Total Passing Yards
  • Total Pass Completions
  • Interceptions Thrown
  • Total Passing Touchdowns
  • To Throw For 300+ Passing Yards
  • Total Passing + Rushing Yards
  • To Score a Touchdown
  • To Complete First Pass
  • Total Rushing Yards
  • To Throw An Interception
  • To Score 3+ Touchdowns
  • To Score 2+ Touchdowns
  • Total Rushing Attempts
  • Longest Pass
  • Total Passing Attempts
  • To Have 2+ Passing TDs And Player's Team To Win
  • Longest Rush
  • Total Passing Yards
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
22
21
22
21
22
21
22
21
Consensus
-114
-
-107
-
-115
-
-101
-
-119
-
-115
-
-119
-
-115
-
-120
-
-105
-
-115
-
-115
-
-
-120
-
-108
-
-132
-
+102
-130
-
-110
-
-125
-
-110
-
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
1
1
1
1
Consensus
-102
-128
-102
-130
-101
-135
-101
-135
-105
-130
+105
-125
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
2
2
2
2
Consensus
-135
+102
-132
-101
-137
+100
-137
+100
-130
+100
-135
+100
-135
+108
-140
+104
-130
+100
-140
+105
-140
+100
-130
+105
Open
Current
Book
No
Yes
No
Yes
Consensus
-365
+300
-365
+300
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
269
271
273
274
270
275
272
268
59
60
58
271
269
273
272
275
270
274
268
58
60
59
269
271
273
274
270
275
272
268
59
60
58
271
269
273
272
275
270
274
268
58
60
59
Consensus
-116
-116
-116
-116
-116
-117
-116
-116
-
-
-
-116
-116
-116
-116
-117
-116
-116
-116
-
-
-
-116
-116
-116
-117
-116
-116
-116
-116
-
-
-
-116
-116
-116
-116
-116
-116
-117
-116
-
-
-
Consensus
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-115
-114
-114
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-114
-114
-113
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-114
-114
-114
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-114
-114
-114
-117
-117
-117
-117
-117
-117
-117
-117
-
-
-
-117
-117
-117
-117
-117
-117
-117
-117
-
-
-
-117
-117
-117
-117
-117
-117
-117
-117
-
-
-
-117
-117
-117
-117
-117
-117
-117
-117
-
-
-
-
-114
-114
-
-
-
-114
-
-
-
-
-114
-
-114
-114
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-114
-114
-
-
-
-114
-
-
-
-
-114
-
-114
-114
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-114
-114
-114
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-114
-114
-114
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-115
-114
-114
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-114
-114
-113
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-
-
-
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-
-
-
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-
-
-
-115
-115
-115
-120
-115
-115
-115
-115
-
-
-
Open
Current
Book
No
Yes
No
Yes
Consensus
-
+1200
-
+1000
Consensus
-
+1900
-
+2100
Consensus
-
+900
-
+850
Consensus
-
+1300
-
+1100
Consensus
-
+1700
-
+1600
Consensus
-732
+460
-814
+456
Consensus
-
+750
-
+700
-
+1100
-
+1000
-
+2100
-
+2200
-
+900
-
+700
-
+1300
-
+1200
-
+1600
-
+1500
-
+420
-
+390
-
+700
-
+750
Open
Current
Book
No
Yes
No
Yes
Consensus
+220
-300
+220
-300
+220
-300
+220
-300
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
1
16
15
17
1
15
16
17
1
16
15
17
1
15
16
17
Consensus
+118
-
-
-
-138
-
-
-
+108
-
-
-
-144
-
-
-
Consensus
-
-112
-119
-111
-
-110
-110
-119
-
-110
-118
-111
-
-114
-119
-119
-
-123
-121
-111
-
-113
-113
-123
-
-111
-121
-111
-
-113
-111
-123
-
-110
-120
-110
-
-110
-120
-120
-
-110
-120
-110
-
-110
-120
-120
+108
-
-
-
-142
-
-
-
+118
-
-
-
-144
-
-
-
-
-110
-110
-
-
-110
-110
-
-
-110
-110
-
-
-110
-110
-
-
-110
-120
-110
-
-110
-115
-120
-
-120
-120
-110
-
-110
-120
-120
-
-115
-
-
-
-
-115
-
-
-110
-
-
-
-
-115
-
Open
Current
Book
No
Yes
No
Yes
Consensus
-115
-112
-112
-114
-114
-114
-114
-114
Open
Current
Book
Yes
Yes
Consensus
+5000
+5000
Open
Current
Book
Yes
Yes
Consensus
+4025
+4325
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
4
5
4
5
4
5
4
5
Consensus
-163
+117
+120
-148
-165
+112
+122
-153
-155
+105
+120
-145
-165
+110
+125
-135
-160
+125
+115
-160
-160
+125
+125
-160
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
37
38
36
37
38
36
37
38
36
37
38
36
Consensus
-118
-109
-
-112
-119
-
-120
-109
-
-108
-118
-
-123
-111
-
-111
-123
-
-123
-111
-
-113
-123
-
-
-
-114
-
-
-114
-
-
-114
-
-
-114
-120
-110
-
-110
-120
-
-120
-110
-
-110
-120
-
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
32
33
32
33
32
33
32
33
Consensus
-126
-103
-108
-127
-122
+101
-104
-125
-123
-106
-104
-129
-133
-106
-104
-129
-130
-105
+100
-125
-130
-105
-105
-125
+102
-
-132
-
-108
-
-120
-
-130
+100
+100
-130
-130
-105
+100
-130
Open
Current
Book
No
Yes
No
Yes
Consensus
-130
+110
-130
+110
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
10
10
10
10
Consensus
-110
-123
-113
-110
-120
-115
-110
-110
-105
-120
-110
-120
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
252
251
250
253
255
254
246
249
248
256
56
54
55
249
250
252
253
251
255
256
254
248
246
56
54
55
252
251
250
253
255
254
246
249
248
256
56
54
55
249
250
252
253
251
255
256
254
248
246
56
54
55
Consensus
-116
-115
-114
-122
-114
-114
-
-
-113
-114
-
-
-
-
-113
-109
-115
-108
-114
-113
-113
-112
-
-
-
-
-116
-114
-113
-112
-116
-114
-
-
-113
-114
-
-
-
-
-115
-111
-109
-108
-112
-113
-113
-112
-
-
-
-
Consensus
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-110
-110
-110
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-110
-110
-110
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-110
-110
-110
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-110
-110
-110
-119
-129
-123
-119
-119
-119
-
-
-
-119
-
-
-
-
-115
-111
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-
-
-
-
-
-123
-119
-119
-119
-119
-119
-
-
-
-119
-
-
-
-
-111
-111
-115
-111
-115
-115
-115
-
-
-
-
-
-115
-115
-120
-115
-115
-115
-
-120
-
-
-
-
-
-110
-110
-110
-115
-115
-115
-
-115
-
-
-
-
-
-115
-115
-120
-115
-115
-115
-
-120
-
-
-
-
-
-110
-110
-115
-110
-110
-115
-
-115
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-113
-
-
-110
-
-
-114
-
-
-
-
-
-114
-
-
-
-
-
-110
-114
-
-
-
-
-
-
-114
-
-
-113
-
-
-114
-
-
-
-
-
-113
-
-
-
-
-
-113
-114
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-110
-110
-110
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-110
-110
-110
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-110
-110
-110
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-110
-110
-110
-115
-115
-115
-115
-120
-115
-
-115
-115
-
-
-
-
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-110
-
-115
-115
-
-
-
-
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-
-115
-115
-
-
-
-
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-
-115
-115
-
-
-
-
-
-115
-
-
-
-
-115
-
-
-110
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-115
-
-120
-
-
-115
-
-
-
-
-115
-
-
-
-
-115
-
-
-110
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-110
-
-120
-
-
-115
-
-
-