Sam Darnold projections and prop bets for Minnesota Vikings at Chicago Bears on Nov 24, 2024
Sam Darnold Player Prop Bet: Completions
Completions Prop Bet Odds:
- Completions 20.5 over: 106
- Completions 20.5 under: -138
Trends Favoring The Over Completions Prop Bet
The projections expect the Minnesota Vikings to be the 7th-most pass-oriented offense in the league (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 62.5% pass rate.
Trends Favoring The Under Completions Prop Bet
This week's spread implies a running game script for the Vikings, who are favored by 3.5 points.
Accounting for their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Vikings are anticipated by the predictive model to call only 63.0 total plays in this game: the 4th-lowest number among all teams this week.
The Minnesota Vikings have called the 9th-fewest plays in the league this year, averaging just 56.1 plays per game.
Opposing offenses have averaged 31.9 pass attempts per game versus the Bears defense this year: 9th-fewest in the league.
When it comes to safeties in defending receivers, Chicago's safety corps has been terrific this year, grading out as the 3rd-best in football.
Projection For Sam Darnold Completions Prop Bet
Sam Darnold is projected to have 20.3 Completions in this weeks game.
Sam Darnold Player Prop Bet: Touchdown Passes
Touchdown Passes Prop Bet Odds:
- Touchdown Passes 1.5 over: 116
- Touchdown Passes 1.5 under: -152
Trends Favoring The Over Touchdown Passes Prop Bet
The projections expect the Minnesota Vikings to be the 7th-most pass-oriented offense in the league (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 62.5% pass rate.
Sam Darnold has been one of the best TD throwers in the league this year, averaging an exceptional 1.90 per game while checking in at the 88th percentile.
Trends Favoring The Under Touchdown Passes Prop Bet
This week's spread implies a running game script for the Vikings, who are favored by 3.5 points.
Accounting for their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Vikings are anticipated by the predictive model to call only 63.0 total plays in this game: the 4th-lowest number among all teams this week.
The Minnesota Vikings have called the 9th-fewest plays in the league this year, averaging just 56.1 plays per game.
Opposing offenses have averaged 31.9 pass attempts per game versus the Bears defense this year: 9th-fewest in the league.
This year, the fierce Chicago Bears defense has conceded a puny 0.70 touchdowns through the air per game to opposing quarterbacks: the best rate in the NFL.
Projection For Sam Darnold Touchdown Passes Prop Bet
Sam Darnold is projected to have 1.3 Touchdown Passes in this weeks game.
Sam Darnold Player Prop Bet: Rushing Yards
Rushing Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Rushing Yards 14.5 over: -110
- Rushing Yards 14.5 under: -110
Trends Favoring The Over Rushing Yards Prop Bet
This week's spread implies a running game script for the Vikings, who are favored by 3.5 points.
After comprising 0.0% of his team's run game usage last season, Sam Darnold has played a bigger part in the ground game this season, currently taking on 12.4%.
Sam Darnold's 17.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this season signifies a remarkable improvement in his running skills over last season's 3.0 mark.
The Bears defense has had the 6th-worst efficiency against opposing running games this year, conceding 5.00 adjusted yards-per-carry.
Trends Favoring The Under Rushing Yards Prop Bet
Right now, the 6th-least run-focused team in football (37.5% in a neutral context) according to the projections is the Minnesota Vikings.
Accounting for their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Vikings are anticipated by the predictive model to call only 63.0 total plays in this game: the 4th-lowest number among all teams this week.
The Minnesota Vikings have called the 9th-fewest plays in the league this year, averaging just 56.1 plays per game.
Sam Darnold checks in as one of the worst QBs in the league at picking up extra rushing yardage, averaging a mere 1.35 yards-after-contact this year while ranking in the 24th percentile.
The Bears safeties grade out as the 4th-best collection of safeties in the NFL this year in regard to defending the run.
Projection For Sam Darnold Rushing Yards Prop Bet
Sam Darnold is projected to have 17.3 Rushing Yards in this weeks game.
Sam Darnold Player Prop Bet: Pass Attempts
Pass Attempts Prop Bet Odds:
- Pass Attempts 29.5 over: 108
- Pass Attempts 29.5 under: -140
Trends Favoring The Over Pass Attempts Prop Bet
The projections expect the Minnesota Vikings to be the 7th-most pass-oriented offense in the league (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 62.5% pass rate.
Trends Favoring The Under Pass Attempts Prop Bet
This week's spread implies a running game script for the Vikings, who are favored by 3.5 points.
Accounting for their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Vikings are anticipated by the predictive model to call only 63.0 total plays in this game: the 4th-lowest number among all teams this week.
The Minnesota Vikings have called the 9th-fewest plays in the league this year, averaging just 56.1 plays per game.
Opposing offenses have averaged 31.9 pass attempts per game versus the Bears defense this year: 9th-fewest in the league.
Projection For Sam Darnold Pass Attempts Prop Bet
Sam Darnold is projected to have 30.9 Pass Attempts in this weeks game.
Sam Darnold Player Prop Bet: Interceptions
Interceptions Prop Bet Odds:
- Interceptions 0.5 over: -112
- Interceptions 0.5 under: -117
Trends Favoring The Over Interceptions Prop Bet
The projections expect the Minnesota Vikings to be the 7th-most pass-oriented offense in the league (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 62.5% pass rate.
Sam Darnold has totaled 1.10 interceptions per game this year, ranking in the 12th percentile among QBs.
Trends Favoring The Under Interceptions Prop Bet
This week's spread implies a running game script for the Vikings, who are favored by 3.5 points.
Accounting for their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Vikings are anticipated by the predictive model to call only 63.0 total plays in this game: the 4th-lowest number among all teams this week.
The Minnesota Vikings have called the 9th-fewest plays in the league this year, averaging just 56.1 plays per game.
Opposing offenses have averaged 31.9 pass attempts per game versus the Bears defense this year: 9th-fewest in the league.
When it comes to safeties in defending receivers, Chicago's safety corps has been terrific this year, grading out as the 3rd-best in football.
Projection For Sam Darnold Interceptions Prop Bet
Sam Darnold is projected to have 0.5 Interceptions in this weeks game.
Sam Darnold Player Prop Bet: Passing Yards
Passing Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Passing Yards 234.5 over: -110
- Passing Yards 234.5 under: -110
Trends Favoring The Over Passing Yards Prop Bet
The projections expect the Minnesota Vikings to be the 7th-most pass-oriented offense in the league (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 62.5% pass rate.
Sam Darnold's 242.0 adjusted passing yards per game this year indicates a noteable boost in his throwing proficiency over last year's 33.0 mark.
Sam Darnold's passing effectiveness has been refined this year, compiling 8.26 adjusted yards-per-target compared to a mere 7.18 mark last year.
This year, the shaky Bears defense has been gouged for the 3rd-most yards-after-the-catch in football to opposing offenses: a monstrous 5.43 YAC.
Trends Favoring The Under Passing Yards Prop Bet
This week's spread implies a running game script for the Vikings, who are favored by 3.5 points.
Accounting for their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Vikings are anticipated by the predictive model to call only 63.0 total plays in this game: the 4th-lowest number among all teams this week.
The Minnesota Vikings have called the 9th-fewest plays in the league this year, averaging just 56.1 plays per game.
Opposing offenses have averaged 31.9 pass attempts per game versus the Bears defense this year: 9th-fewest in the league.
Opposing offenses have passed for the 5th-fewest yards in football (just 207.0 adjusted yards per game) vs. the Bears defense this year.
Projection For Sam Darnold Passing Yards Prop Bet
Sam Darnold is projected to have 243.8 Passing Yards in this weeks game.
