Patrick Mahomes Projections, Prop Bets & Odds

Patrick Mahomes projections and prop bets for Kansas City Chiefs at Pittsburgh Steelers on Dec 25, 2024

Patrick Mahomes Player Prop Bet: Pass Attempts

Pass Attempts Prop Bet Odds:

• Pass Attempts 36.5 over: 100
• Pass Attempts 36.5 under: -130

Trends Favoring The Over Pass Attempts Prop Bet

The leading projections forecast the Kansas City Chiefs as the 4th-most pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 62.8% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is anticipated by the projections to see 134.4 offensive plays called: the 2nd-most on the slate this week.

The 2nd-most plays in football have been run by the Chiefs this year (a massive 61.4 per game on average).

The passing offenses of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the calm weather conditions (3-mph wind) being projected in this game, while run volume may suffer.

The predictive model expects Patrick Mahomes to attempt 39.1 passes in this contest, on average: the 3rd-most out of all QBs.

Trends Favoring The Under Pass Attempts Prop Bet

Projection For Patrick Mahomes Pass Attempts Prop Bet

Patrick Mahomes is projected to have 37.4 Pass Attempts in this weeks game.

Patrick Mahomes Player Prop Bet: Completions

Completions Prop Bet Odds:

• Completions 24.5 over: -135
• Completions 24.5 under: 100

Trends Favoring The Over Completions Prop Bet

The leading projections forecast the Kansas City Chiefs as the 4th-most pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 62.8% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is anticipated by the projections to see 134.4 offensive plays called: the 2nd-most on the slate this week.

The 2nd-most plays in football have been run by the Chiefs this year (a massive 61.4 per game on average).

The passing offenses of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the calm weather conditions (3-mph wind) being projected in this game, while run volume may suffer.

The predictive model expects Patrick Mahomes to attempt 39.1 passes in this contest, on average: the 3rd-most out of all QBs.

Trends Favoring The Under Completions Prop Bet

Projection For Patrick Mahomes Completions Prop Bet

Patrick Mahomes is projected to have 22.5 Completions in this weeks game.

Patrick Mahomes Player Prop Bet: Interceptions

Interceptions Prop Bet Odds:

• Interceptions 0.5 over: -113
• Interceptions 0.5 under: -115

Trends Favoring The Over Interceptions Prop Bet

The leading projections forecast the Kansas City Chiefs as the 4th-most pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 62.8% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is anticipated by the projections to see 134.4 offensive plays called: the 2nd-most on the slate this week.

The 2nd-most plays in football have been run by the Chiefs this year (a massive 61.4 per game on average).

The passing offenses of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the calm weather conditions (3-mph wind) being projected in this game, while run volume may suffer.

The predictive model expects Patrick Mahomes to attempt 39.1 passes in this contest, on average: the 3rd-most out of all QBs.

Trends Favoring The Under Interceptions Prop Bet

The Steelers have intercepted 1.02 balls per game this year, grading out as the 3rd-best defense in the league by this stat.

Projection For Patrick Mahomes Interceptions Prop Bet

Patrick Mahomes is projected to have 0.8 Interceptions in this weeks game.

Patrick Mahomes Player Prop Bet: Rushing Yards

Rushing Yards Prop Bet Odds:

• Rushing Yards 16.5 over: -110
• Rushing Yards 16.5 under: -110

Trends Favoring The Over Rushing Yards Prop Bet

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is anticipated by the projections to see 134.4 offensive plays called: the 2nd-most on the slate this week.

The 2nd-most plays in football have been run by the Chiefs this year (a massive 61.4 per game on average).

Patrick Mahomes's 7.92 adjusted yards per carry (YPC) this year conveys a meaningful improvement in his running talent over last year's 7.12 figure.

Trends Favoring The Under Rushing Yards Prop Bet

The predictive model expects the Chiefs to be the 4th-least run-centric offense among all teams this week with a 37.2% run rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

The passing offenses of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the calm weather conditions (3-mph wind) being projected in this game, while run volume may suffer.

The model projects Patrick Mahomes to total 2.8 rush attempts in this game, on balance: the 8th-fewest out of all quarterbacks.

After taking on 15.6% of his offense's rush attempts last year, Patrick Mahomes has been called on less the running game this year, currently taking on just 9.3%.

The opposing side have run for the 4th-fewest adjusted yards in football (just 95.0 per game) against the Pittsburgh Steelers defense this year.

Projection For Patrick Mahomes Rushing Yards Prop Bet

Patrick Mahomes is projected to have 15.7 Rushing Yards in this weeks game.

Patrick Mahomes Player Prop Bet: Carries

Carries Prop Bet Odds:

• Carries 3.5 over: -105
• Carries 3.5 under: -124

Trends Favoring The Over Carries Prop Bet

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is anticipated by the projections to see 134.4 offensive plays called: the 2nd-most on the slate this week.

The 2nd-most plays in football have been run by the Chiefs this year (a massive 61.4 per game on average).

Trends Favoring The Under Carries Prop Bet

The predictive model expects the Chiefs to be the 4th-least run-centric offense among all teams this week with a 37.2% run rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

The passing offenses of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the calm weather conditions (3-mph wind) being projected in this game, while run volume may suffer.

The model projects Patrick Mahomes to total 2.8 rush attempts in this game, on balance: the 8th-fewest out of all quarterbacks.

After taking on 15.6% of his offense's rush attempts last year, Patrick Mahomes has been called on less the running game this year, currently taking on just 9.3%.

The Pittsburgh Steelers safeties profile as the 2nd-best collection of safeties in the league this year in regard to stopping the run.

Projection For Patrick Mahomes Carries Prop Bet

Patrick Mahomes is projected to have 2.7 Carries in this weeks game.

Patrick Mahomes Player Prop Bet: Passing Yards

Passing Yards Prop Bet Odds:

• Passing Yards 249.5 over: -140
• Passing Yards 249.5 under: 110

Trends Favoring The Over Passing Yards Prop Bet

The leading projections forecast the Kansas City Chiefs as the 4th-most pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 62.8% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is anticipated by the projections to see 134.4 offensive plays called: the 2nd-most on the slate this week.

The 2nd-most plays in football have been run by the Chiefs this year (a massive 61.4 per game on average).

The passing offenses of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the calm weather conditions (3-mph wind) being projected in this game, while run volume may suffer.

With a remarkable total of 259.0 adjusted passing yards per game (87th percentile), Patrick Mahomes places among the top passers in the NFL this year.

Trends Favoring The Under Passing Yards Prop Bet

Projection For Patrick Mahomes Passing Yards Prop Bet

Patrick Mahomes is projected to have 247.5 Passing Yards in this weeks game.

Patrick Mahomes Player Prop Bet: Touchdown Passes

Touchdown Passes Prop Bet Odds:

• Touchdown Passes 1.5 over: -120
• Touchdown Passes 1.5 under: -108

Trends Favoring The Over Touchdown Passes Prop Bet

The leading projections forecast the Kansas City Chiefs as the 4th-most pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 62.8% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

Right now, the 3rd-most pass-centric offense in football near the goal line (62.7% in a neutral context) according to the predictive model is the Chiefs.

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is anticipated by the projections to see 134.4 offensive plays called: the 2nd-most on the slate this week.

The 2nd-most plays in football have been run by the Chiefs this year (a massive 61.4 per game on average).

The passing offenses of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the calm weather conditions (3-mph wind) being projected in this game, while run volume may suffer.

Trends Favoring The Under Touchdown Passes Prop Bet

This year, the strong Steelers defense has yielded a mere 1.14 passing touchdowns per game to opposing offenses: the 6th-best rate in football.

Projection For Patrick Mahomes Touchdown Passes Prop Bet

Patrick Mahomes is projected to have 1.7 Touchdown Passes in this weeks game.