Los Angeles Chargers

Los Angeles Chargers

Nov 3, 2024

Cleveland Browns

Cleveland Browns
  • Overview
  • Props

Nick Chubb Projections, Prop Bets & Odds

Nick Chubb projections and prop bets for Kansas City Chiefs at Cleveland Browns on Dec 15, 2024

Nick Chubb Player Prop Bet: Receiving Yards

Receiving Yards Prop Bet Odds:

  • Receiving Yards 3.5 over: -120
  • Receiving Yards 3.5 under: -110

Trends Favoring The Over Receiving Yards Prop Bet

This game's line indicates a passing game script for the Browns, who are -4-point underdogs.

Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Browns to pass on 61.3% of their chances: the 6th-highest clip among all teams this week.

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is projected by the projection model to have 141.1 plays on offense called: the highest number among all games this week.

The highest number of plays in the NFL have been called by the Browns this year (a whopping 62.8 per game on average).

Trends Favoring The Under Receiving Yards Prop Bet

The forecast calls for 18-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing efficiency.

The Browns O-line ranks as the 10th-worst in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative influence on all passing offense statistics across the board.

With a feeble 5.0 adjusted receiving yards per game (16th percentile) this year, Nick Chubb has been as one of the weakest pass-game RBs in the NFL.

Nick Chubb grades out as one of the least sure-handed receivers in the league among running backs, hauling in a mere 64.8% of passes thrown his way (adjusted for context) this year, ranking in the 8th percentile.

The Chiefs defense has allowed the fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in the league (just 20.0) versus RBs this year.

Projection For Nick Chubb Receiving Yards Prop Bet

Nick Chubb is projected to have 7.3 Receiving Yards in this weeks game.


Nick Chubb Player Prop Bet: Receptions

Receptions Prop Bet Odds:

  • Receptions 0.5 over: -250
  • Receptions 0.5 under: 200

Trends Favoring The Over Receptions Prop Bet

This game's line indicates a passing game script for the Browns, who are -4-point underdogs.

Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Browns to pass on 61.3% of their chances: the 6th-highest clip among all teams this week.

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is projected by the projection model to have 141.1 plays on offense called: the highest number among all games this week.

The highest number of plays in the NFL have been called by the Browns this year (a whopping 62.8 per game on average).

Trends Favoring The Under Receptions Prop Bet

The forecast calls for 18-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing efficiency.

The Browns O-line ranks as the 10th-worst in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative influence on all passing offense statistics across the board.

Nick Chubb is positioned as one of the worst pass-game running backs this year, averaging a lowly 0.7 adjusted receptions per game while ranking in the 14th percentile among running backs.

Nick Chubb grades out as one of the least sure-handed receivers in the league among running backs, hauling in a mere 64.8% of passes thrown his way (adjusted for context) this year, ranking in the 8th percentile.

This year, the strong Chiefs defense has yielded a measly 80.4% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing running backs: the 9th-lowest rate in the league.

Projection For Nick Chubb Receptions Prop Bet

Nick Chubb is projected to have 1.1 Receptions in this weeks game.


Nick Chubb Player Prop Bet: Carries

Carries Prop Bet Odds:

  • Carries 11.5 over: 105
  • Carries 11.5 under: -135

Trends Favoring The Over Carries Prop Bet

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is projected by the projection model to have 141.1 plays on offense called: the highest number among all games this week.

The highest number of plays in the NFL have been called by the Browns this year (a whopping 62.8 per game on average).

The forecast calls for 18-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing efficiency.

In this week's game, Nick Chubb is anticipated by our trusted projection set to secure a spot in the 82nd percentile when it comes to running backs with 15.2 rush attempts.

After comprising 41.8% of his team's rushing play calls last season, Nick Chubb has been more involved in the ground game this season, currently accounting for 59.6%.

Trends Favoring The Under Carries Prop Bet

This game's line indicates a passing game script for the Browns, who are -4-point underdogs.

The model projects the Cleveland Browns as the 6th-least run-centric offense among all teams this week with a 38.7% run rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

The Kansas City Chiefs safeties grade out as the 5th-best collection of safeties in the NFL this year when it comes to run defense.

Projection For Nick Chubb Carries Prop Bet

Nick Chubb is projected to have 14.6 Carries in this weeks game.


Nick Chubb Player Prop Bet: Rushing Yards

Rushing Yards Prop Bet Odds:

  • Rushing Yards 38.5 over: -110
  • Rushing Yards 38.5 under: -110

Trends Favoring The Over Rushing Yards Prop Bet

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is projected by the projection model to have 141.1 plays on offense called: the highest number among all games this week.

The highest number of plays in the NFL have been called by the Browns this year (a whopping 62.8 per game on average).

The forecast calls for 18-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing efficiency.

In this week's game, Nick Chubb is anticipated by our trusted projection set to secure a spot in the 82nd percentile when it comes to running backs with 15.2 rush attempts.

After comprising 41.8% of his team's rushing play calls last season, Nick Chubb has been more involved in the ground game this season, currently accounting for 59.6%.

Trends Favoring The Under Rushing Yards Prop Bet

This game's line indicates a passing game script for the Browns, who are -4-point underdogs.

The model projects the Cleveland Browns as the 6th-least run-centric offense among all teams this week with a 38.7% run rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

Nick Chubb's 3.1 adjusted yards per carry this year shows a meaningful decline in his running proficiency over last year's 5.9 figure.

This year, the stout Kansas City Chiefs run defense has conceded a mere 88.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground to opposing teams: the 3rd-best in football.

The Kansas City Chiefs safeties grade out as the 5th-best collection of safeties in the NFL this year when it comes to run defense.

Projection For Nick Chubb Rushing Yards Prop Bet

Nick Chubb is projected to have 57.7 Rushing Yards in this weeks game.


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Player Props

  • To Score 2+ Touchdowns
  • Longest Reception
  • To Score 3+ Touchdowns
  • Total Rushing Yards
  • To Score a Touchdown
  • Total Rushing & Receiving Yards
  • Total Receiving Yards
  • Total Receptions
  • Total Rushing Attempts
  • Longest Rush
  • To Score 2+ Touchdowns
  • Longest Reception
  • To Score 3+ Touchdowns
  • Total Rushing Yards
  • To Score a Touchdown
  • Total Rushing & Receiving Yards
  • Total Receiving Yards
  • Total Receptions
  • Total Rushing Attempts
  • Longest Rush
Open
Current
Book
Yes
Yes
Consensus
+731
+595
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
8
7
7
8
8
7
7
8
Consensus
-122
-108
-122
-117
-125
-108
-123
-111
-111
-109
-125
-123
-121
-109
-125
-113
-120
-110
-125
-110
-110
-110
-120
-110
Open
Current
Book
Yes
Yes
Consensus
+2433
+1100
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
53
52
55
49
50
54
51
48
57
56
13
12
14
61
50
49
52
53
55
54
48
51
56
57
13
14
12
61
53
52
55
49
50
54
51
48
57
56
13
12
14
61
50
49
52
53
55
54
48
51
56
57
13
14
12
61
Consensus
-113
-
-118
-116
-121
-109
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-107
-112
-
-114
-110
-110
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-112
-
-116
-116
-122
-113
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-108
-114
-
-112
-112
-119
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Consensus
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-113
-114
-114
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-111
-112
-106
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-114
-115
-108
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-113
-118
-104
-
Consensus
-
-
-
-
-
-
-130
-
-
-105
-
-
-
+100
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-105
-125
-
-
-
-
-130
-
-
-
-
-
-
-125
-
-
-125
-
-
-
+100
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
+100
-125
-
-
-
-
-130
-121
-129
-121
-119
-131
-117
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-106
-113
-104
-113
-113
-117
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-119
-131
-119
-121
-129
-119
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-104
-115
-106
-106
-115
-115
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-115
-120
-115
-
-115
-115
-125
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-115
-
-115
-110
-110
-115
-
-110
-
-
-
-
-
-
-115
-115
-120
-
-115
-115
-120
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-115
-
-115
-115
-110
-105
-
-110
-
-
-
-
-
-
-113
-
-110
-
-
-110
-
-
-114
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-113
-110
-110
-
-
-
-114
-
-
-
-
-114
-
-110
-
-
-113
-
-
-114
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-114
-110
-113
-
-
-
-114
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-120
-118
-110
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-113
-118
-104
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-120
-118
-114
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-111
-118
-105
-
-110
-
-115
-135
-110
-115
-115
-145
-
-110
-
-
-
-
-105
+100
-
-110
-115
-115
-120
-120
-120
-
-
-
-
-
-120
-
-115
-115
-125
-110
-135
-120
-
-110
-
-
-
-
-120
-115
-
-115
-115
-110
-110
+100
-120
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-130
-
-
-125
-
-
-
+100
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-105
-125
-
-
-
-
-130
-
-
-
-
-
-
-125
-
-
-115
-
-
-
+100
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-105
-115
-
-
-
-
-130
Open
Current
Book
No
Yes
No
Yes
Consensus
-
+550
-
+600
Consensus
-
+260
-
+260
Consensus
-
+490
-
+500
Consensus
-
+600
-
+650
Consensus
-167
+116
-156
+112
Consensus
-
+460
-
+470
Consensus
-
+280
-
+280
-
+600
-
+650
-
+250
-
+260
-
+480
-
+490
-
+600
-
+650
-
+115
-
+110
-
+500
-
+440
-
+280
-
+280
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
68
61
62
60
69
67
64
59
59
67
68
60
61
69
64
62
68
61
62
60
69
67
64
59
59
67
68
60
61
69
64
62
Consensus
-116
-116
-
-119
-114
-114
-116
-116
-116
-116
-116
-116
-116
-119
-116
-
-116
-116
-
-114
-114
-117
-116
-119
-114
-117
-116
-119
-116
-119
-116
-
-117
-117
-
-117
-117
-117
-117
-117
-117
-117
-117
-117
-117
-117
-117
-
-117
-117
-
-117
-117
-117
-117
-117
-117
-117
-117
-117
-117
-117
-117
-
-115
-115
-120
-115
-110
-115
-115
-115
-115
-110
-115
-120
-115
-120
-115
-110
-115
-110
-120
-115
-110
-120
-115
-120
-110
-120
-115
-115
-115
-120
-115
-110
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
9
11
7
8
10
7
11
8
10
9
9
11
7
8
10
7
11
8
10
9
Consensus
-119
-
-119
-105
-116
-108
-
-117
-119
-109
-118
-
-118
-107
-109
-108
-
-119
-112
-108
-120
-
-120
-110
-115
-110
-
-125
-110
-110
-120
-
-120
-105
-110
-110
-
-120
-115
-110
-113
-
-
-110
-
-
-
-110
-
-110
-110
-
-
-110
-
-
-
-110
-
-110
-120
-110
-120
-110
-115
-110
-120
-125
-110
-115
-115
-110
-120
-110
-120
-110
-120
-120
-120
-110
-
+100
-
-
-
-
-145
-
-
-
-
+105
-
-
-
-
-130
-
-
-
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
2
2
2
2
Consensus
-114
-114
-104
-110
-131
-115
+116
-117
+100
-155
+100
-120
-114
-114
-102
-128
+120
-120
+115
-105
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
12
14
13
15
13
15
14
12
12
14
13
15
13
15
14
12
Consensus
-
-110
-103
-114
-130
-114
-138
-
-
-110
-143
-114
-131
-114
-125
-
-
-110
-130
+115
+110
-150
-120
-
-
-115
-145
+115
+115
-150
-120
-
-
-108
-
-114
-
-114
-114
-
-
-114
-
-114
-
-114
-132
-
-155
+100
-135
-
+100
-
-135
+105
-135
+105
-105
-
-125
-
-125
+115
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
15
14
14
15
15
14
14
15
Consensus
-108
-123
-110
-123
-115
-125
-108
-128
-115
-120
-110
-115
-110
-120
-110
-120
-110
-115
-105
-130
-115
-120
-105
-120