Jay Sanin on February 6, 2025
Kareem Hunt projections and prop bets for Kansas City Chiefs at Philadelphia Eagles on Feb 9, 2025
Rushing Yards Prop Bet Odds:
The predictive model expects the Chiefs offense to be the 7th-fastest paced team in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the moment, averaging 27.02 seconds per play.
In this week's game, Kareem Hunt is forecasted by the projections to rank in the 80th percentile when it comes to running backs with 12.6 carries.
Kareem Hunt has been much more involved in his offense's running game this season (58.9% Carry Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (32.0%).
Kareem Hunt's 57.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this season conveys a material growth in his running skills over last season's 29.0 figure.
Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Chiefs to run on 35.4% of their chances: the lowest rate on the slate this week.
This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
Kareem Hunt's ground efficiency (3.78 adjusted yards per carry) has been some of the worst in the NFL this year (17th percentile when it comes to RBs).
With a very bad total of 2.62 yards after contact (14th percentile) this year, Kareem Hunt rates as one of the worst running backs in the NFL.
Opposing squads have run for the 4th-fewest adjusted yards in football (just 102.0 per game) against the Eagles defense this year.
Kareem Hunt is projected to have 49.1 Rushing Yards in this weeks game.
Receiving Yards Prop Bet Odds:
The predictive model expects the Kansas City Chiefs to be the 2nd-most pass-focused team in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 68.3% pass rate.
The predictive model expects the Chiefs offense to be the 7th-fastest paced team in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the moment, averaging 27.02 seconds per play.
This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
Kareem Hunt has been used more as a potential pass-catcher this season (38.1% Route% in games he has played) than he did last season (22.4%).
Kareem Hunt has totaled many more adjusted receiving yards per game (14.0) this season than he did last season (6.0).
Opposing teams have averaged 26.4 pass attempts per game versus the Eagles defense this year: fewest in the league.
When talking about air yards, Kareem Hunt grades out in the paltry 9th percentile among running backs this year, accruing just -3.0 per game.
This year, the imposing Philadelphia Eagles defense has allowed a mere 23.0 adjusted receiving yards per game vs. opposing RBs: the 4th-best in football.
The Eagles pass defense has displayed good efficiency against running backs this year, surrendering 5.39 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 4th-fewest in the league.
The Eagles linebackers rank as the 2nd-best group of LBs in football this year in pass coverage.
Kareem Hunt is projected to have 9.8 Receiving Yards in this weeks game.
Carries Prop Bet Odds:
The predictive model expects the Chiefs offense to be the 7th-fastest paced team in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the moment, averaging 27.02 seconds per play.
In this week's game, Kareem Hunt is forecasted by the projections to rank in the 80th percentile when it comes to running backs with 12.6 carries.
Kareem Hunt has been much more involved in his offense's running game this season (58.9% Carry Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (32.0%).
Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Chiefs to run on 35.4% of their chances: the lowest rate on the slate this week.
This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
When it comes to the linebackers' role in defending against the run, Philadelphia's group of LBs has been great this year, projecting as the 5th-best in football.
Kareem Hunt is projected to have 12.3 Carries in this weeks game.
Receptions Prop Bet Odds:
The predictive model expects the Kansas City Chiefs to be the 2nd-most pass-focused team in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 68.3% pass rate.
The predictive model expects the Chiefs offense to be the 7th-fastest paced team in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the moment, averaging 27.02 seconds per play.
This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
Kareem Hunt has been used more as a potential pass-catcher this season (38.1% Route% in games he has played) than he did last season (22.4%).
Kareem Hunt's receiving reliability have gotten better this year, with his Adjusted Catch% increasing from 70.9% to 86.4%.
Opposing teams have averaged 26.4 pass attempts per game versus the Eagles defense this year: fewest in the league.
The Eagles linebackers rank as the 2nd-best group of LBs in football this year in pass coverage.
Kareem Hunt is projected to have 1.4 Receptions in this weeks game.
