Kareem Hunt projections and prop bets for Kansas City Chiefs at Buffalo Bills on Nov 17, 2024
Kareem Hunt Player Prop Bet: Rushing Yards
Rushing Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Rushing Yards 62.5 over: -110
- Rushing Yards 62.5 under: -110
Trends Favoring The Over Rushing Yards Prop Bet
The Chiefs have run the 3rd-most plays in football this year, averaging a colossal 61.3 plays per game.
The model projects Kareem Hunt to earn 17.0 carries in this week's contest, on balance, placing him in the 91st percentile when it comes to RBs.
Kareem Hunt has been a much bigger part of his team's running game this year (71.4% Carry Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last year (33.2%).
Kareem Hunt's 76.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this season conveys a noteworthy boost in his rushing talent over last season's 29.0 mark.
As it relates to the defensive tackles' role in run defense, Buffalo's collection of DTs has been terrible this year, profiling as the 8th-worst in football. in football.
Trends Favoring The Under Rushing Yards Prop Bet
The predictive model expects the Kansas City Chiefs as the 5th-least run-focused offense on the slate this week with a 38.7% run rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is predicted by the projection model to have only 124.6 offensive plays called: the lowest number out of all the games this week.
With a lousy total of 3.63 adjusted yards per carry (8th percentile) this year, Kareem Hunt stands among the weakest pure runners in the NFL at the position.
Kareem Hunt has been one of the weakest RBs in the league at grinding out extra rushing yardage, averaging just 2.36 yards-after-contact this year while checking in at the 5th percentile.
Projection For Kareem Hunt Rushing Yards Prop Bet
Kareem Hunt is projected to have 61.7 Rushing Yards in this weeks game.