Detroit Lions

Detroit Lions

Nov 3, 2024

Green Bay Packers

Green Bay Packers
  • Overview
  • Props

Josh Jacobs Projections, Prop Bets & Odds

Josh Jacobs projections and prop bets for Green Bay Packers at Seattle Seahawks on Dec 15, 2024

Josh Jacobs Player Prop Bet: Receptions

Receptions Prop Bet Odds:

  • Receptions 2.5 over: 115
  • Receptions 2.5 under: -145

Trends Favoring The Over Receptions Prop Bet

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is expected by the predictive model to have 131.0 total plays run: the 5th-most out of all the games this week.

Calm weather conditions (like the 3-mph wind being called for in this game) typically prompt increased passing efficiency, increased touchdown potential, increased pass volume, and lower ground volume.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 35.6 pass attempts per game against the Seattle Seahawks defense this year: 8th-most in the NFL.

The model projects Josh Jacobs to garner 3.1 targets in this game, on balance, putting him in the 76th percentile when it comes to RBs.

Josh Jacobs's receiving reliability have improved this season, with his Adjusted Completion Rate increasing from 69.0% to 85.2%.

Trends Favoring The Under Receptions Prop Bet

Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Green Bay Packers to pass on 55.3% of their opportunities: the 9th-lowest rate among all teams this week.

The 6th-fewest plays in football have been run by the Green Bay Packers this year (a lowly 55.2 per game on average).

Josh Jacobs's 13.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that calculates high-value offensive volume) has been substantially lower this year than it was last year at 20.5.

The Seahawks pass defense has surrendered the 6th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (78.9%) versus running backs this year (78.9%).

When it comes to safeties in defending receivers, Seattle's collection of safeties has been excellent this year, profiling as the 3rd-best in the NFL.

Projection For Josh Jacobs Receptions Prop Bet

Josh Jacobs is projected to have 2.3 Receptions in this weeks game.


Josh Jacobs Player Prop Bet: Rushing Yards

Rushing Yards Prop Bet Odds:

  • Rushing Yards 74.5 over: -120
  • Rushing Yards 74.5 under: 100

Trends Favoring The Over Rushing Yards Prop Bet

The predictive model expects the Green Bay Packers to be the 9th-most run-centric offense among all teams this week with a 44.7% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is expected by the predictive model to have 131.0 total plays run: the 5th-most out of all the games this week.

In this game, Josh Jacobs is anticipated by our trusted projection set to land in the 96th percentile when it comes to RBs with 21.7 carries.

Josh Jacobs has rushed for quite a few more adjusted yards per game (82.0) this season than he did last season (63.0).

This year, the tough Seahawks run defense has allowed a puny 4.89 adjusted yards-per-carry to the opposition's running game: the 27th-best rate in the NFL.

Trends Favoring The Under Rushing Yards Prop Bet

The 6th-fewest plays in football have been run by the Green Bay Packers this year (a lowly 55.2 per game on average).

Calm weather conditions (like the 3-mph wind being called for in this game) typically prompt increased passing efficiency, increased touchdown potential, increased pass volume, and lower ground volume.

After taking on 81.5% of his offense's rushing play calls last season, Josh Jacobs has had a smaller role in the run game this season, currently sitting at only 65.7%.

Projection For Josh Jacobs Rushing Yards Prop Bet

Josh Jacobs is projected to have 93.7 Rushing Yards in this weeks game.


Josh Jacobs Player Prop Bet: Receiving Yards

Receiving Yards Prop Bet Odds:

  • Receiving Yards 13.5 over: -110
  • Receiving Yards 13.5 under: -120

Trends Favoring The Over Receiving Yards Prop Bet

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is expected by the predictive model to have 131.0 total plays run: the 5th-most out of all the games this week.

Calm weather conditions (like the 3-mph wind being called for in this game) typically prompt increased passing efficiency, increased touchdown potential, increased pass volume, and lower ground volume.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 35.6 pass attempts per game against the Seattle Seahawks defense this year: 8th-most in the NFL.

The model projects Josh Jacobs to garner 3.1 targets in this game, on balance, putting him in the 76th percentile when it comes to RBs.

With a remarkable 19.0 adjusted yards per game through the air (78th percentile) this year, Josh Jacobs ranks among the best pass-catching running backs in football.

Trends Favoring The Under Receiving Yards Prop Bet

Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Green Bay Packers to pass on 55.3% of their opportunities: the 9th-lowest rate among all teams this week.

The 6th-fewest plays in football have been run by the Green Bay Packers this year (a lowly 55.2 per game on average).

Josh Jacobs has accumulated a meager -2.0 air yards per game this year: just 23rd percentile among RBs.

Josh Jacobs's 13.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that calculates high-value offensive volume) has been substantially lower this year than it was last year at 20.5.

The Seahawks pass defense has surrendered the 6th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (78.9%) versus running backs this year (78.9%).

Projection For Josh Jacobs Receiving Yards Prop Bet

Josh Jacobs is projected to have 18.4 Receiving Yards in this weeks game.


Josh Jacobs Player Prop Bet: Carries

Carries Prop Bet Odds:

  • Carries 18.5 over: -110
  • Carries 18.5 under: -118

Trends Favoring The Over Carries Prop Bet

The predictive model expects the Green Bay Packers to be the 9th-most run-centric offense among all teams this week with a 44.7% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is expected by the predictive model to have 131.0 total plays run: the 5th-most out of all the games this week.

In this game, Josh Jacobs is anticipated by our trusted projection set to land in the 96th percentile when it comes to RBs with 21.7 carries.

When it comes to the defensive tackles' role in stopping the run, Seattle's unit has been very bad this year, grading out as the 2nd-worst in the league. in the league.

Trends Favoring The Under Carries Prop Bet

The 6th-fewest plays in football have been run by the Green Bay Packers this year (a lowly 55.2 per game on average).

Calm weather conditions (like the 3-mph wind being called for in this game) typically prompt increased passing efficiency, increased touchdown potential, increased pass volume, and lower ground volume.

After taking on 81.5% of his offense's rushing play calls last season, Josh Jacobs has had a smaller role in the run game this season, currently sitting at only 65.7%.

Projection For Josh Jacobs Carries Prop Bet

Josh Jacobs is projected to have 19.4 Carries in this weeks game.


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Player Props

  • To Score 4+ Touchdowns
  • To Score a Touchdown
  • To Score 3+ Touchdowns
  • Total Rushing Attempts
  • Total Rushing & Receiving Yards
  • To Score 2+ Touchdowns
  • Longest Reception
  • Total Rushing Yards
  • Total Receiving Yards
  • Longest Rush
  • Total Receptions
  • To Score 4+ Touchdowns
  • To Score a Touchdown
  • To Score 3+ Touchdowns
  • Total Rushing Attempts
  • Total Rushing & Receiving Yards
  • To Score 2+ Touchdowns
  • Longest Reception
  • Total Rushing Yards
  • Total Receiving Yards
  • Longest Rush
  • Total Receptions
Open
Current
Book
Yes
Yes
Consensus
+17000
+14000
+14000
+18000
Open
Current
Book
No
Yes
No
Yes
Consensus
-
+410
-
+380
Consensus
-113
-125
+100
-127
Consensus
-
+330
-
+370
Consensus
-
+550
-
+550
Consensus
-
+490
-
+550
Consensus
-
+195
-
+200
Consensus
-
+200
-
+230
-
+380
-
+350
-
-115
-
-120
-
+360
-
+370
-
+500
-
+500
-
+490
-
+480
-
+195
-
+200
-
+230
-
+220
Open
Current
Book
Yes
Yes
Consensus
+2400
+2233
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
16
17
16
17
16
17
16
17
Consensus
-118
-
-111
-
-113
-
-117
-
-110
-
-120
-
-110
-
-120
-
-120
-
-114
-
-132
-
-128
-
-115
+105
-115
-140
-140
+100
-110
-135
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
82
83
81
79
84
80
84
82
83
79
80
81
82
83
81
79
84
80
84
82
83
79
80
81
Consensus
-116
-119
-114
-116
-114
-116
-110
-116
-114
-116
-116
-119
-119
-114
-116
-114
-120
-114
-119
-114
-119
-119
-119
-119
-117
-117
-117
-117
-117
-117
-117
-117
-117
-117
-117
-117
-117
-117
-117
-117
-117
-117
-117
-117
-117
-117
-117
-117
-115
-110
-115
-115
-110
-115
-115
-115
-110
-110
-115
-120
-115
-120
-110
-120
-115
-110
-115
-115
-110
-110
-120
-120
Open
Current
Book
Yes
Yes
Consensus
+523
+528
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
9
10
10
9
9
10
10
9
Consensus
-118
-115
-114
-109
-115
-112
-116
-111
-119
-119
-115
-115
-119
-119
-115
-115
-120
-115
-120
-110
-120
-115
-115
-110
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
17
19
66
67
65
71
64
17
19
65
66
64
67
71
17
19
66
67
65
71
64
17
19
65
66
64
67
71
Consensus
-112
-
-
-
-
-
-
-108
-
-
-
-
-
-
-106
-
-
-
-
-
-
-114
-
-
-
-
-
-
Consensus
-
-
-119
-113
-120
-
-116
-
-
-111
-113
-116
-115
-
-
-
-116
-115
-118
-
-115
-
-
-112
-110
-114
-114
-
-
-
-119
-119
-119
-
-119
-
-
-115
-115
-115
-115
-
-
-
-119
-119
-119
-
-119
-
-
-115
-115
-115
-115
-
-
-
-115
-115
-120
-
-115
-
-
-110
-110
-115
-115
-
-
-
-120
-115
-115
-
-115
-
-
-110
-110
-115
-115
-
-112
-106
-
-
-
-
-
-108
-114
-
-
-
-
-
-112
-106
-
-
-
-
-
-108
-114
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-113
-110
-
-
-
-
-
-
-113
-
-110
-
-
-
-113
-110
-
-
-
-
-
-
-113
-
-113
-
-
-
-115
-115
-115
-
-115
-
-
-115
-115
-110
-115
-
-
-
-120
-110
-110
-
-115
-
-
-120
-120
-115
-120
-
-
-
-125
-
-
-105
-
-
-
-
-110
-
-
-125
-
-
-125
-
-
-110
-
-
-
-
-110
-
-
-125
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
12
14
11
13
16
15
15
12
14
11
13
16
12
14
11
13
16
15
15
12
14
11
13
16
Consensus
-116
-117
-
-110
-
-110
-120
-114
-112
-
-119
-
-114
-117
-
-110
-
-112
-119
-112
-111
-
-119
-
-115
-115
-
-115
-
-115
-119
-119
-119
-
-119
-
-115
-115
-
-115
-
-115
-119
-119
-119
-
-119
-
-115
-115
-
-110
-
-110
-120
-115
-115
-
-120
-
-115
-120
-
-110
-
-110
-120
-115
-115
-
-120
-
-
-
-
-110
-
-
-
-
-
-
-110
-
-
-
-
-110
-
-
-
-
-
-
-110
-
-120
-115
-
-110
-
-110
-120
-110
-110
-
-120
-
-120
-120
-
-110
-
-110
-115
-120
-115
-
-120
-
-
-
-130
-
+100
-
-
-
-
+100
-
-130
-
-
-125
-
+100
-
-
-
-
+100
-
-130
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
15
15
15
15
Consensus
+100
-115
-120
-118
-115
-115
-110
-120
-120
-120
-105
-110
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
3
2
3
2
3
2
3
2
Consensus
+143
-
-191
-
+139
-
-145
-
+106
-199
-199
+143
+133
-199
-145
+143
+140
-200
-190
+150
+145
-200
-145
+150
+128
-
-168
-
+128
-
-168
-
+145
-200
-200
+150
+145
-200
-200
+150
+125
-
-170
-
+120
-
-175
-