Jay Sanin on January 9, 2025
Pat Freiermuth projections and prop bets for Pittsburgh Steelers at Baltimore Ravens on Jan 11, 2025
Receptions Prop Bet Odds:
At a -9.5-point disadvantage, the Steelers are big underdogs in this game, suggesting much more of a reliance on moving the ball through the air than their typical approach.
The Steelers have run the 6th-most plays in football this year, totaling a monstrous 59.6 plays per game.
The Baltimore Ravens defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, enticing opposing QBs to attempt the 2nd-most passes in the league (37.4 per game) this year.
In this week's game, Pat Freiermuth is expected by the projections to find himself in the 86th percentile when it comes to tight ends with 5.4 targets.
Pat Freiermuth's receiving talent has been refined this season, notching 3.9 adjusted catches compared to a mere 2.9 last season.
Right now, the 6th-least pass-centric offense in the NFL (57.4% in a neutral context) according to the model is the Steelers.
Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Pittsburgh Steelers are anticipated by the projections to run only 64.6 total plays in this game: the 4th-fewest on the slate this week.
When it comes to safeties in covering receivers, Baltimore's unit has been phenomenal this year, ranking as the 5th-best in football.
Pat Freiermuth is projected to have 3.5 Receptions in this weeks game.
Receiving Yards Prop Bet Odds:
At a -9.5-point disadvantage, the Steelers are big underdogs in this game, suggesting much more of a reliance on moving the ball through the air than their typical approach.
The Steelers have run the 6th-most plays in football this year, totaling a monstrous 59.6 plays per game.
The Baltimore Ravens defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, enticing opposing QBs to attempt the 2nd-most passes in the league (37.4 per game) this year.
In this week's game, Pat Freiermuth is expected by the projections to find himself in the 86th percentile when it comes to tight ends with 5.4 targets.
Pat Freiermuth's 41.0 adjusted yards per game through the air this year illustrates a remarkable boost in his receiving skills over last year's 29.0 rate.
Right now, the 6th-least pass-centric offense in the NFL (57.4% in a neutral context) according to the model is the Steelers.
Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Pittsburgh Steelers are anticipated by the projections to run only 64.6 total plays in this game: the 4th-fewest on the slate this week.
The Baltimore Ravens pass defense has been quite strong when opposing TEs have gotten into space, yielding an average of 4.33 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 7th-fewest in the NFL.
When it comes to safeties in covering receivers, Baltimore's unit has been phenomenal this year, ranking as the 5th-best in football.
Pat Freiermuth is projected to have 38 Receiving Yards in this weeks game.
