Miami Dolphins

Miami Dolphins

Nov 3, 2024

Buffalo Bills

Buffalo Bills
  • Overview
  • Props

Josh Allen Projections, Prop Bets & Odds

Josh Allen projections and prop bets for Buffalo Bills at Kansas City Chiefs on Jan 26, 2025

Josh Allen Player Prop Bet: Carries

Carries Prop Bet Odds:

  • Carries 9.5 over: -140
  • Carries 9.5 under: 110

Trends Favoring The Over Carries Prop Bet

The predictive model expects this game to see the fewest plays run on the slate this week at 132.5 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

Josh Allen isn't afraid to take off running, comprising 22.1% of his offense's carries this year, ranking him in the 89th percentile among QBs.

Trends Favoring The Under Carries Prop Bet

Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Buffalo Bills to run on 45.3% of their chances: the 2nd-lowest rate on the slate this week.

The Buffalo Bills have called the fewest plays in the league this year, averaging a measly 55.4 plays per game.

The weather forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, and reduced ground volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.

In this week's contest, Josh Allen is expected by the projections to accumulate the 2nd-fewest rush attempts among all QBs with 7.8.

As it relates to the safeties' role in stopping the run, Kansas City's group of safeties has been tremendous this year, profiling as the 5th-best in the league.

Projection For Josh Allen Carries Prop Bet

Josh Allen is projected to have 7.5 Carries in this weeks game.


Josh Allen Player Prop Bet: Pass Attempts

Pass Attempts Prop Bet Odds:

  • Pass Attempts 30.5 over: -115
  • Pass Attempts 30.5 under: -115

Trends Favoring The Over Pass Attempts Prop Bet

The predictive model expects this game to see the fewest plays run on the slate this week at 132.5 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The weather forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, and reduced ground volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.

Trends Favoring The Under Pass Attempts Prop Bet

The Buffalo Bills have called the fewest plays in the league this year, averaging a measly 55.4 plays per game.

Projection For Josh Allen Pass Attempts Prop Bet

Josh Allen is projected to have 31.9 Pass Attempts in this weeks game.


Josh Allen Player Prop Bet: Interceptions

Interceptions Prop Bet Odds:

  • Interceptions 0.5 over: -110
  • Interceptions 0.5 under: -118

Trends Favoring The Over Interceptions Prop Bet

The predictive model expects this game to see the fewest plays run on the slate this week at 132.5 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The weather forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, and reduced ground volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.

The Buffalo O-line ranks as the 9th-best in football this year in pass protection, which has a strong impact on all passing game metrics across the board.

Trends Favoring The Under Interceptions Prop Bet

The Buffalo Bills have called the fewest plays in the league this year, averaging a measly 55.4 plays per game.

Josh Allen has logged a lowly 0.31 interceptions per game this year, grading out in the 85th percentile among QBs.

As it relates to linebackers in covering receivers, Kansas City's collection of LBs has been phenomenal this year, ranking as the 3rd-best in football.

Projection For Josh Allen Interceptions Prop Bet

Josh Allen is projected to have 0.6 Interceptions in this weeks game.


Josh Allen Player Prop Bet: Rushing Yards

Rushing Yards Prop Bet Odds:

  • Rushing Yards 46.5 over: -145
  • Rushing Yards 46.5 under: 110

Trends Favoring The Over Rushing Yards Prop Bet

The predictive model expects this game to see the fewest plays run on the slate this week at 132.5 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

Josh Allen isn't afraid to take off running, comprising 22.1% of his offense's carries this year, ranking him in the 89th percentile among QBs.

Josh Allen has picked up 33.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this year, one of the biggest marks in football among QBs (88th percentile).

With a fantastic total of 2.13 yards-after-contact (76th percentile), Josh Allen stands among the best rushing quarterbacks in football this year.

Trends Favoring The Under Rushing Yards Prop Bet

Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Buffalo Bills to run on 45.3% of their chances: the 2nd-lowest rate on the slate this week.

The Buffalo Bills have called the fewest plays in the league this year, averaging a measly 55.4 plays per game.

The weather forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, and reduced ground volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.

In this week's contest, Josh Allen is expected by the projections to accumulate the 2nd-fewest rush attempts among all QBs with 7.8.

The Kansas City Chiefs defense boasts the 6th-best efficiency against opposing ground games this year, giving up just 4.23 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC).

Projection For Josh Allen Rushing Yards Prop Bet

Josh Allen is projected to have 43 Rushing Yards in this weeks game.


Josh Allen Player Prop Bet: Passing Yards

Passing Yards Prop Bet Odds:

  • Passing Yards 232.5 over: -110
  • Passing Yards 232.5 under: -111

Trends Favoring The Over Passing Yards Prop Bet

The predictive model expects this game to see the fewest plays run on the slate this week at 132.5 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The weather forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, and reduced ground volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.

The Buffalo O-line ranks as the 9th-best in football this year in pass protection, which has a strong impact on all passing game metrics across the board.

Josh Allen grades out as one of the most effective passers in the league this year, averaging a remarkable 7.78 adjusted yards-per-target while grading out in the 79th percentile.

Trends Favoring The Under Passing Yards Prop Bet

The Buffalo Bills have called the fewest plays in the league this year, averaging a measly 55.4 plays per game.

Josh Allen has passed for substantially fewer adjusted yards per game (209.0) this year than he did last year (261.0).

This year, the fierce Kansas City Chiefs defense has conceded a meager 204.0 adjusted yards per game through the air to opposing QBs: the 10th-fewest in the NFL.

This year, the imposing Kansas City Chiefs defense has allowed the 8th-least adjusted yards-per-target in the NFL to the opposing side: a feeble 7.5 yards.

As it relates to linebackers in covering receivers, Kansas City's collection of LBs has been phenomenal this year, ranking as the 3rd-best in football.

Projection For Josh Allen Passing Yards Prop Bet

Josh Allen is projected to have 217.9 Passing Yards in this weeks game.


Josh Allen Player Prop Bet: Completions

Completions Prop Bet Odds:

  • Completions 21.5 over: -115
  • Completions 21.5 under: -115

Trends Favoring The Over Completions Prop Bet

The predictive model expects this game to see the fewest plays run on the slate this week at 132.5 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The weather forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, and reduced ground volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.

The Buffalo O-line ranks as the 9th-best in football this year in pass protection, which has a strong impact on all passing game metrics across the board.

Trends Favoring The Under Completions Prop Bet

The Buffalo Bills have called the fewest plays in the league this year, averaging a measly 55.4 plays per game.

As it relates to linebackers in covering receivers, Kansas City's collection of LBs has been phenomenal this year, ranking as the 3rd-best in football.

Projection For Josh Allen Completions Prop Bet

Josh Allen is projected to have 19.8 Completions in this weeks game.


Josh Allen Player Prop Bet: Touchdown Passes

Touchdown Passes Prop Bet Odds:

  • Touchdown Passes 1.5 over: 136
  • Touchdown Passes 1.5 under: -178

Trends Favoring The Over Touchdown Passes Prop Bet

The predictive model expects this game to see the fewest plays run on the slate this week at 132.5 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The weather forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, and reduced ground volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.

The Buffalo O-line ranks as the 9th-best in football this year in pass protection, which has a strong impact on all passing game metrics across the board.

With a terrific ratio of 1.67 per game (85th percentile), Josh Allen ranks among the leading TD passers in the NFL this year.

Trends Favoring The Under Touchdown Passes Prop Bet

Right now, the 4th-least pass-centric team in football near the goal line (48.8% in a neutral context) according to the projections is the Bills.

The Buffalo Bills have called the fewest plays in the league this year, averaging a measly 55.4 plays per game.

This year, the daunting Chiefs defense has yielded a paltry 1.33 touchdowns through the air per game to opposing quarterbacks: the 8th-best rate in the league.

As it relates to linebackers in covering receivers, Kansas City's collection of LBs has been phenomenal this year, ranking as the 3rd-best in football.

Projection For Josh Allen Touchdown Passes Prop Bet

Josh Allen is projected to have 1.4 Touchdown Passes in this weeks game.


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Player Props

  • To Score a Touchdown
  • Total Pass Completions
  • Total Rushing Attempts
  • Total Passing + Rushing Yards
  • Total Passing Yards
  • To Score 2+ Touchdowns
  • To Complete First Pass
  • Total Rushing Yards
  • Longest Pass
  • To Score 4+ Touchdowns
  • To Throw An Interception
  • Interceptions Thrown
  • Total Passing Attempts
  • To Score 3+ Touchdowns
  • Longest Rush
  • Total Passing Touchdowns
  • To Score a Touchdown
  • Total Pass Completions
  • Total Rushing Attempts
  • Total Passing + Rushing Yards
  • Total Passing Yards
  • To Score 2+ Touchdowns
  • To Complete First Pass
  • Total Rushing Yards
  • Longest Pass
  • To Score 4+ Touchdowns
  • To Throw An Interception
  • Interceptions Thrown
  • Total Passing Attempts
  • To Score 3+ Touchdowns
  • Longest Rush
  • Total Passing Touchdowns
Open
Current
Book
No
Yes
No
Yes
Consensus
-
+430
-
+490
Consensus
-
+410
-
+380
Consensus
-
+700
-
+550
Consensus
-
+250
-
+240
Consensus
-178
+109
-153
+105
Consensus
-
+600
-
+650
Consensus
-
+220
-
+270
-
+450
-
+480
-
+440
-
+420
-
+550
-
+650
-
+300
-
+240
-
-105
-
+100
-
+700
-
+600
-
+240
-
+260
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
22
23
21
22
23
21
22
23
21
22
23
21
Consensus
-120
+106
-
-109
-136
-
-117
+107
-
-113
-132
-
+102
-
-
-108
-
-
-127
-
-
-131
-
-
-115
+100
-
-110
-135
-
-125
+105
-
-115
-135
-
-
-
-128
-
-
-108
-
-
-120
-
-
-102
-125
+100
-
-130
-135
-
-125
+105
-
-105
-135
-
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
7
6
7
6
7
6
7
6
Consensus
-106
-
-110
-
-113
-
-115
-
-120
-
-115
-
-110
-
-110
-
+102
-
-128
-
-102
-
-132
-
-115
-150
-120
+110
-120
-150
-110
+110
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
59
60
273
275
277
271
281
270
274
276
280
269
278
279
272
268
283
59
60
276
278
279
277
280
274
275
270
269
281
268
271
272
273
283
59
60
273
275
277
271
281
270
274
276
280
269
278
279
272
268
283
59
60
276
278
279
277
280
274
275
270
269
281
268
271
272
273
283
Consensus
-113
-115
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-114
-114
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-114
-113
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-115
-113
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Consensus
-
-
-115
-115
-115
-
-115
-
-115
-115
-115
-
-115
-115
-115
-
-115
-
-
-117
-117
-117
-117
-117
-117
-117
-
-
-119
-
-
-116
-116
-119
-
-
-115
-115
-118
-
-115
-
-115
-115
-115
-
-115
-115
-115
-
-115
-
-
-116
-117
-119
-117
-117
-117
-117
-
-
-117
-
-
-116
-117
-119
-
-
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-
-115
-115
-115
-
-115
-115
-
-
-115
-
-
-119
-119
-119
-119
-119
-119
-119
-
-
-119
-
-119
-
-119
-119
-
-
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-
-115
-115
-115
-
-115
-115
-
-
-115
-
-
-119
-119
-119
-119
-119
-119
-119
-
-
-119
-
-119
-
-119
-119
-113
-114
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-113
-115
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-114
-115
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-113
-115
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-114
-
-114
-
-
-
-114
-
-
-113
-114
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-114
-114
-
-114
-114
-115
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-114
-
-114
-
-
-
-114
-
-
-113
-114
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-114
-114
-
-114
-114
-115
-
-
-
-
-115
-115
-115
-
-115
-
-115
-115
-110
-
-115
-115
-115
-
-
-
-
-115
-115
-115
-115
-120
-115
-115
-
-
-115
-
-
-115
-115
-
-
-
-115
-115
-115
-
-115
-
-115
-115
-115
-
-115
-115
-115
-
-
-
-
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-
-
-115
-
-
-115
-115
-
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
243
241
242
236
244
238
239
240
245
246
247
249
248
51
52
244
236
239
243
241
242
238
245
240
246
247
249
248
52
51
243
241
242
236
244
238
239
240
245
246
247
249
248
51
52
244
236
239
243
241
242
238
245
240
246
247
249
248
52
51
Consensus
-115
-114
-115
-
-112
-
-115
-114
-116
-115
-112
-
-
-
-
-112
-
-114
-112
-115
-113
-
-114
-114
-114
-118
-
-
-
-
-113
-114
-116
-
-114
-
-115
-114
-114
-115
-111
-
-
-
-
-114
-
-115
-114
-115
-115
-
-113
-115
-114
-116
-
-
-
-
Consensus
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-115
-108
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-115
-114
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-114
-108
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-114
-113
-117
-117
-117
-
-117
-
-117
-117
-117
-117
-
-
-
-
-
-117
-
-117
-117
-117
-117
-
-117
-117
-117
-
-
-
-
-
-117
-117
-117
-
-117
-
-117
-117
-117
-117
-
-
-
-
-
-117
-
-117
-117
-117
-117
-
-117
-117
-117
-
-
-
-
-
-115
-115
-115
-
-115
-
-115
-115
-115
-115
-110
-
-
-
-
-115
-
-115
-115
-115
-115
-
-115
-115
-115
-120
-
-
-
-
-115
-115
-115
-
-115
-
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-
-
-
-
-115
-
-115
-115
-115
-115
-
-115
-115
-115
-120
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-114
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-110
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-113
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-114
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-113
-108
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-112
-111
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-114
-113
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-110
-114
-115
-115
-115
-
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-
-
-115
-
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-120
-115
-115
-
-
-115
-115
-115
-
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-
-
-115
-
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-
-
-
-110
-
-115
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-115
-
-
-120
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-115
-
-115
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-115
-
-
-120
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Open
Current
Book
Yes
Yes
Consensus
+675
+700
Open
Current
Book
No
Yes
No
Yes
Consensus
+300
-450
+300
-450
+300
-450
+300
-450
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
4
26
29
30
31
32
28
4
26
29
30
31
28
32
4
26
29
30
31
32
28
4
26
29
30
31
28
32
Consensus
-111
-
-
-
-
-
-
-110
-
-
-
-
-
-
-120
-
-
-
-
-
-
-111
-
-
-
-
-
-
Consensus
-
-
-115
-120
-115
-113
-
-
-
-112
-114
-114
-
-117
-
-
-118
-120
-115
-113
-
-
-
-114
-114
-115
-
-117
-
-
-119
-119
-119
-119
-
-
-
-115
-115
-109
-
-115
-
-
-119
-125
-119
-119
-
-
-
-115
-115
-115
-
-115
-
-
-120
-115
-115
-
-
-
-
-110
-115
-115
-
-
-
-
-120
-115
-120
-
-
-
-
-110
-115
-115
-
-
-110
-
-
-
-
-
-
-105
-
-
-
-
-
-
-120
-
-
-
-
-
-
-106
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-113
-
-
-
-
-
-110
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-114
-
-
-
-
-
-113
-
-
-120
-120
-115
-110
-110
-120
-
-110
-110
-110
-115
-115
-120
-
-120
-120
-115
-110
-110
-120
-
-110
-115
-115
-120
-115
-120
-
-130
-
-
+100
-
-
-
-105
-
-
-140
-
-
-
-130
-
-
+100
-
-
-
+100
-
-
-130
-
-
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
37
38
36
37
38
36
37
38
36
37
38
36
Consensus
-120
-107
-
-115
-120
-
-116
-108
-
-112
-121
-
-121
-111
-
-121
-123
-
-123
-109
-
-113
-125
-
-
-
-114
-
-
-114
-
-
-114
-
-
-114
-115
-110
-
-110
-120
-
-110
-110
-
-120
-120
-
Open
Current
Book
Yes
Yes
Consensus
+18000
+18000
+16000
+18000
Open
Current
Book
No
Yes
No
Yes
Consensus
-120
-108
-120
-108
-120
-108
-120
-108
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
1
1
1
1
Consensus
+103
-137
-105
-135
-104
-131
-104
-131
-105
-135
-105
-135
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
33
32
32
33
33
32
32
33
Consensus
-102
-124
-105
-128
-105
-127
-105
-126
-103
-131
-103
-137
-103
-135
-101
-133
-105
-130
-105
-125
-105
-130
-105
-125
-
-114
-114
-
-
-114
-114
-
+100
-115
+100
-130
-105
-130
-120
-130
Open
Current
Book
Yes
Yes
Consensus
+2900
+3033
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
12
12
12
12
Consensus
-105
-123
-102
-123
+100
-125
-110
-120
+100
-122
+100
-122
-125
-115
-115
-115
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
2
2
2
2
Consensus
-126
-105
-124
-103
-123
+100
-137
-108
-125
-105
-125
-105
-115
-113
-115
-113
-130
+100
-130
+100
-115
-115
-115
-115

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