Josh Allen Projections, Prop Bets & Odds

Josh Allen projections and prop bets for New York Jets at Buffalo Bills on Dec 29, 2024

Josh Allen Player Prop Bet: Completions

Completions Prop Bet Odds:

• Completions 19.5 over: -108
• Completions 19.5 under: -120

Trends Favoring The Over Completions Prop Bet

The Buffalo Bills O-line profiles as the 7th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a strong effect on all passing attack stats across the board.

When it comes to defensive ends rushing the passer, New York's collection of DEs has been atrocious this year, profiling as the 5th-worst in the NFL.

Trends Favoring The Under Completions Prop Bet

With a 9.5-point advantage, the Bills are a heavy favorite in this week's game, indicating much more of a focus on running than their standard approach.

The predictive model expects the Buffalo Bills to be the 6th-least pass-focused offense among all teams this week with a 53.1% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

The model projects this game to see the 2nd-smallest number of plays run out of all the games this week at 126.6 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The 3rd-lowest number of plays in the NFL have been called by the Bills this year (a mere 54.3 per game on average).

Opposing teams have completed passes at the 7th-lowest clip in the NFL versus the New York Jets defense this year (68.7% Adjusted Completion%).

Projection For Josh Allen Completions Prop Bet

Josh Allen is projected to have 18.4 Completions in this weeks game.

Josh Allen Player Prop Bet: Carries

Carries Prop Bet Odds:

• Carries 6.5 over: -114
• Carries 6.5 under: -114

Trends Favoring The Over Carries Prop Bet

With a 9.5-point advantage, the Bills are a heavy favorite in this week's game, indicating much more of a focus on running than their standard approach.

The model projects the Bills to be the 6th-most run-heavy team on the slate this week with a 46.9% run rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

The predictive model expects Josh Allen to accrue 9.2 rush attempts this week, on balance: the 2nd-most among all quarterbacks.

While Josh Allen has earned 24.4% of his team's carries in games he has played this year, our trusted projections expect him to be much more involved in Buffalo's run game in this week's game at 30.7%.

Trends Favoring The Under Carries Prop Bet

The model projects this game to see the 2nd-smallest number of plays run out of all the games this week at 126.6 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The 3rd-lowest number of plays in the NFL have been called by the Bills this year (a mere 54.3 per game on average).

As it relates to the linebackers' role in stopping the run, New York's unit has been phenomenal this year, grading out as the 3rd-best in the league.

Projection For Josh Allen Carries Prop Bet

Josh Allen is projected to have 9 Carries in this weeks game.

Josh Allen Player Prop Bet: Rushing Yards

Rushing Yards Prop Bet Odds:

• Rushing Yards 30.5 over: -125
• Rushing Yards 30.5 under: -104

Trends Favoring The Over Rushing Yards Prop Bet

With a 9.5-point advantage, the Bills are a heavy favorite in this week's game, indicating much more of a focus on running than their standard approach.

The model projects the Bills to be the 6th-most run-heavy team on the slate this week with a 46.9% run rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

The predictive model expects Josh Allen to accrue 9.2 rush attempts this week, on balance: the 2nd-most among all quarterbacks.

While Josh Allen has earned 24.4% of his team's carries in games he has played this year, our trusted projections expect him to be much more involved in Buffalo's run game in this week's game at 30.7%.

With a fantastic record of 35.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground (84th percentile), Josh Allen ranks among the leading rushing QBs in football this year.

Trends Favoring The Under Rushing Yards Prop Bet

The model projects this game to see the 2nd-smallest number of plays run out of all the games this week at 126.6 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The 3rd-lowest number of plays in the NFL have been called by the Bills this year (a mere 54.3 per game on average).

This year, the porous New York Jets run defense has surrendered a whopping 4.39 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC) to the opposition's rushing attack: the 23rd-largest rate in football.

As it relates to the linebackers' role in stopping the run, New York's unit has been phenomenal this year, grading out as the 3rd-best in the league.

Projection For Josh Allen Rushing Yards Prop Bet

Josh Allen is projected to have 47.8 Rushing Yards in this weeks game.

Josh Allen Player Prop Bet: Pass Attempts

Pass Attempts Prop Bet Odds:

• Pass Attempts 30.5 over: -125
• Pass Attempts 30.5 under: -104

Trends Favoring The Over Pass Attempts Prop Bet

Trends Favoring The Under Pass Attempts Prop Bet

With a 9.5-point advantage, the Bills are a heavy favorite in this week's game, indicating much more of a focus on running than their standard approach.

The predictive model expects the Buffalo Bills to be the 6th-least pass-focused offense among all teams this week with a 53.1% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

The model projects this game to see the 2nd-smallest number of plays run out of all the games this week at 126.6 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The 3rd-lowest number of plays in the NFL have been called by the Bills this year (a mere 54.3 per game on average).

In this week's contest, Josh Allen is forecasted by the projections to total the 5th-fewest pass attempts among all quarterbacks with 32.2.

Projection For Josh Allen Pass Attempts Prop Bet

Josh Allen is projected to have 29.8 Pass Attempts in this weeks game.