Javonte Williams projections and prop bets for Denver Broncos at Kansas City Chiefs on Nov 10, 2024
Javonte Williams Player Prop Bet: Rushing Yards
Rushing Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Rushing Yards 38.5 over: -110
- Rushing Yards 38.5 under: -110
Trends Favoring The Over Rushing Yards Prop Bet
The projections expect this game to see the 3rd-most plays run on the slate this week at 131.1 plays, based on the traits of each team and game dynamics.
Out of all running backs, Javonte Williams grades out in the 79th percentile for carries this year, making up 45.0% of the workload in his team's running game.
Trends Favoring The Under Rushing Yards Prop Bet
At a -7.5-point disadvantage, the Broncos are big underdogs in this week's game, suggesting much more of a reliance on passing than their standard approach.
With a 37.9% rate of running the ball (context-neutralized) this year, the 9th-least run-focused team in football has been the Denver Broncos.
Javonte Williams's running effectiveness (3.87 adjusted yards per carry) has been some of the worst in the NFL this year (22nd percentile among running backs).
Javonte Williams profiles as one of the bottom running backs in football at picking up extra ground yardage, averaging a lowly 2.42 yards-after-contact this year while checking in at the 6th percentile.
The Chiefs defense has produced the 2nd-best efficiency against opposing running games this year, conceding just 3.71 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC).
Projection For Javonte Williams Rushing Yards Prop Bet
Javonte Williams is projected to have 46.1 Rushing Yards in this weeks game.
Javonte Williams Player Prop Bet: Receiving Yards
Receiving Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Receiving Yards 19.5 over: -110
- Receiving Yards 19.5 under: -110
Trends Favoring The Over Receiving Yards Prop Bet
At a -7.5-point disadvantage, the Broncos are big underdogs in this week's game, suggesting much more of a reliance on passing than their standard approach.
The Broncos rank as the 9th-most pass-oriented offense in football (adjusted for context) this year with a 62.1% pass rate.
The projections expect this game to see the 3rd-most plays run on the slate this week at 131.1 plays, based on the traits of each team and game dynamics.
Javonte Williams's 47.4% Route Participation Rate this season reflects a significant progression in his pass attack volume over last season's 29.4% rate.
Javonte Williams has totaled a lot more adjusted receiving yards per game (23.0) this year than he did last year (15.0).
Trends Favoring The Under Receiving Yards Prop Bet
This year, the strong Kansas City Chiefs defense has surrendered a mere 28.0 adjusted receiving yards per game versus opposing RBs: the 7th-best in the NFL.
This year, the stout Chiefs defense has surrendered the 9th-least adjusted yards-per-target in football to opposing running backs: a paltry 6.0 yards.
The Chiefs defensive tackles rank as the 2nd-best DT corps in the NFL this year when it comes to pass rush.
Projection For Javonte Williams Receiving Yards Prop Bet
Javonte Williams is projected to have 19.1 Receiving Yards in this weeks game.
