Denver Broncos

Denver Broncos

Nov 3, 2024

Baltimore Ravens

Baltimore Ravens
  • Overview
  • Props

Javonte Williams Projections, Prop Bets & Odds

Javonte Williams projections and prop bets for Denver Broncos at Los Angeles Chargers on Dec 19, 2024

Javonte Williams Player Prop Bet: Carries

Carries Prop Bet Odds:

  • Carries 10.5 over: 105
  • Carries 10.5 under: -135

Trends Favoring The Over Carries Prop Bet

Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Denver Broncos are forecasted by the projection model to call 66.0 plays on offense in this contest: the 8th-highest number on the slate this week.

Trends Favoring The Under Carries Prop Bet

The Broncos have been the 7th-least run-focused team in the NFL (adjusted for context) this year with a 36.6% run rate.

The weather forecast calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, and lower run volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.

After accounting for 53.4% of his team's run game usage last year, Javonte Williams has been less involved in the run game this year, now taking on just 38.1%.

As it relates to the safeties' role in defending against the run, Los Angeles's group of safeties has been great this year, grading out as the 8th-best in football.

Projection For Javonte Williams Carries Prop Bet

Javonte Williams is projected to have 12.1 Carries in this weeks game.


Javonte Williams Player Prop Bet: Rushing Yards

Rushing Yards Prop Bet Odds:

  • Rushing Yards 35.5 over: -115
  • Rushing Yards 35.5 under: -115

Trends Favoring The Over Rushing Yards Prop Bet

Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Denver Broncos are forecasted by the projection model to call 66.0 plays on offense in this contest: the 8th-highest number on the slate this week.

The Los Angeles Chargers defense owns the 10th-worst efficiency against opposing run games this year, giving up 4.70 adjusted yards-per-carry.

Trends Favoring The Under Rushing Yards Prop Bet

The Broncos have been the 7th-least run-focused team in the NFL (adjusted for context) this year with a 36.6% run rate.

The weather forecast calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, and lower run volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.

After accounting for 53.4% of his team's run game usage last year, Javonte Williams has been less involved in the run game this year, now taking on just 38.1%.

Javonte Williams has rushed for a lot fewer adjusted yards per game (34.0) this season than he did last season (49.0).

Javonte Williams's ground efficiency (3.62 adjusted yards per carry) has been some of the worst in the NFL this year (9th percentile when it comes to RBs).

Projection For Javonte Williams Rushing Yards Prop Bet

Javonte Williams is projected to have 46.5 Rushing Yards in this weeks game.


Javonte Williams Player Prop Bet: Receptions

Receptions Prop Bet Odds:

  • Receptions 2.5 over: -174
  • Receptions 2.5 under: 126

Trends Favoring The Over Receptions Prop Bet

The Broncos have been the 7th-most pass-heavy team in the league (context-neutralized) this year with a 63.4% pass rate.

Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Denver Broncos are forecasted by the projection model to call 66.0 plays on offense in this contest: the 8th-highest number on the slate this week.

The weather forecast calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, and lower run volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.

Javonte Williams's 44.1% Route Participation Rate this year represents a noteworthy improvement in his passing game volume over last year's 29.4% rate.

The projections expect Javonte Williams to earn 4.5 targets in this game, on average, putting him in the 91st percentile when it comes to RBs.

Trends Favoring The Under Receptions Prop Bet

Javonte Williams's sure-handedness have worsened this season, with his Adjusted Completion% shrinking from 84.7% to 79.3%.

The Chargers pass defense has conceded the 2nd-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (77.7%) versus running backs this year (77.7%).

The Chargers safeties rank as the 4th-best unit in the league this year in pass coverage.

Projection For Javonte Williams Receptions Prop Bet

Javonte Williams is projected to have 3 Receptions in this weeks game.


Javonte Williams Player Prop Bet: Receiving Yards

Receiving Yards Prop Bet Odds:

  • Receiving Yards 13.5 over: -113
  • Receiving Yards 13.5 under: -113

Trends Favoring The Over Receiving Yards Prop Bet

The Broncos have been the 7th-most pass-heavy team in the league (context-neutralized) this year with a 63.4% pass rate.

Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Denver Broncos are forecasted by the projection model to call 66.0 plays on offense in this contest: the 8th-highest number on the slate this week.

The weather forecast calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, and lower run volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.

Javonte Williams's 44.1% Route Participation Rate this year represents a noteworthy improvement in his passing game volume over last year's 29.4% rate.

The projections expect Javonte Williams to earn 4.5 targets in this game, on average, putting him in the 91st percentile when it comes to RBs.

Trends Favoring The Under Receiving Yards Prop Bet

Javonte Williams's sure-handedness have worsened this season, with his Adjusted Completion% shrinking from 84.7% to 79.3%.

With a feeble 5.1 adjusted yards per target (24th percentile) this year, Javonte Williams has been among the worst pass-game running backs in the NFL.

The Chargers pass defense has conceded the 2nd-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (77.7%) versus running backs this year (77.7%).

This year, the fierce Los Angeles Chargers defense has given up the 2nd-least adjusted yards-per-target in the NFL to opposing running backs: a meager 4.8 yards.

The Chargers safeties rank as the 4th-best unit in the league this year in pass coverage.

Projection For Javonte Williams Receiving Yards Prop Bet

Javonte Williams is projected to have 19.1 Receiving Yards in this weeks game.


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Player Props

  • Total Rushing Attempts
  • To Score 3+ Touchdowns
  • To Score a Touchdown
  • Total Rushing & Receiving Yards
  • Total Receptions
  • Total Receiving Yards
  • Longest Reception
  • To Score 2+ Touchdowns
  • To Record a 20+ Yard Reception
  • Total Rushing Yards
  • Longest Rush
  • Total Rushing Attempts
  • To Score 3+ Touchdowns
  • To Score a Touchdown
  • Total Rushing & Receiving Yards
  • Total Receptions
  • Total Receiving Yards
  • Longest Reception
  • To Score 2+ Touchdowns
  • To Record a 20+ Yard Reception
  • Total Rushing Yards
  • Longest Rush
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
10
11
10
11
10
11
10
11
Consensus
-145
+108
-102
-135
-138
+107
-103
-139
+100
+105
-130
-130
-135
+100
+105
-135
-130
+116
-102
-152
-128
+108
+100
-140
-140
+100
+105
-125
+100
+105
+110
-115
Open
Current
Book
Yes
Yes
Consensus
+7000
+8000
Open
Current
Book
No
Yes
No
Yes
Consensus
-
+950
-
+950
Consensus
-231
+171
-251
+166
Consensus
-
+420
-
+450
Consensus
-
+600
-
+600
Consensus
-
+600
-
+650
Consensus
-
+1000
-
+1000
Consensus
-
+390
-
+390
-
+850
-
+900
-
+180
-
+190
-
+420
-
+410
-
+650
-
+600
-
+650
-
+650
-
+950
-
+950
-
+400
-
+390
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
12
13
14
60
59
64
58
61
56
65
57
62
63
13
12
14
57
60
59
64
58
61
56
65
62
63
12
13
14
60
59
64
58
61
56
65
57
62
63
13
12
14
57
60
59
64
58
61
56
65
62
63
Consensus
-118
-120
-110
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-115
-110
-118
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-120
-120
-110
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-110
-113
-118
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Consensus
-
-
-
-114
-114
-119
-116
-116
-
-116
-118
-118
-
-
-
-
-114
-119
-116
-114
-116
-116
-
-117
-114
-
-
-
-
-118
-119
-117
-116
-116
-
-116
-118
-118
-
-
-
-
-114
-114
-114
-113
-117
-117
-
-117
-114
-
-
-
-
-117
-117
-121
-117
-121
-121
-121
-121
-121
-
-
-
-
-117
-117
-113
-113
-117
-113
-113
-113
-113
-
-
-
-
-117
-117
-121
-121
-117
-121
-121
-117
-121
-
-
-
-
-113
-113
-117
-113
-113
-117
-113
-113
-113
-
-115
-120
-110
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-108
-110
-118
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-118
-120
-110
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-108
-113
-118
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-114
-114
-114
-
-114
-
-
-
-
-114
-
-
-
-
-114
-114
-113
-
-114
-
-
-
-114
-
-
-
-113
-115
-114
-
-114
-
-
-
-
-114
-
-
-
-
-115
-113
-115
-
-114
-
-
-
-114
-
-
-
-115
-110
-120
-115
-115
-120
-115
-115
-115
-
-
-
-
-115
-120
-110
-115
-110
-120
-115
-115
-115
-
-
-
-
-110
-115
-120
-115
-110
-115
-110
-115
-115
-
-
-
-
-110
-115
-115
-110
-115
-120
-110
-120
-115
-
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
3
4
4
3
3
4
4
3
Consensus
-180
+109
-163
+132
-183
+123
-144
+134
-184
+102
-157
+133
-169
+114
-184
+136
-185
+125
-175
+140
-175
+125
-175
+140
-156
-
-
+134
-156
-
-
+120
-165
+115
-185
+135
-175
+125
-140
+135
-160
+115
-170
+115
-160
+130
-160
+120
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
1
17
21
20
19
23
18
22
1
21
18
19
22
20
17
23
1
17
21
20
19
23
18
22
1
21
18
19
22
20
17
23
Consensus
+124
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-162
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
+126
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-168
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Consensus
-
-119
-
-108
-111
-
-116
-120
-
-
-113
-115
-107
-115
-110
-
-
-121
-
-115
-116
-
-114
-120
-
-
-113
-119
-109
-110
-111
-
-
-123
-127
-127
-113
-135
-113
-127
-
-108
-111
-121
-108
-108
-111
-101
-
-123
-127
-127
-137
-135
-123
-127
-
-108
-121
-121
-108
-108
-111
-101
-
-120
-125
-115
-110
-
-115
-
-
-105
-120
-120
-
-110
-110
-
-
-120
-125
-120
-115
-
-120
-
-
-120
-115
-120
-
-120
-110
-
+132
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-160
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
+126
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-164
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-113
-114
-
-114
-113
-
-
-114
-114
-110
-110
-
-
-
-
-
-114
-114
-
-114
-110
-
-
-114
-114
-113
-113
-
-
-
-120
-115
-115
-110
-110
-115
-120
-
-115
-120
-120
-110
-115
-110
-120
-
-120
-115
-115
-110
-110
-120
-115
-
-115
-115
-120
-110
-110
-110
-120
-
-
-120
-
-
-
-
-
-
-120
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-110
-
-
-
-
-
-
-125
-
-
-
-
-
-
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
12
11
10
11
10
12
12
11
10
11
10
12
Consensus
-103
-113
-127
-116
-103
-125
-118
-106
-128
-124
-106
-111
-106
-115
-127
-129
-108
-129
-106
-106
-129
-104
-106
-129
-108
-115
-
-114
-
-118
-110
-118
-
-114
-
-122
-105
-110
-130
-130
-105
-130
+100
-110
-125
-105
-105
-125
Open
Current
Book
Yes
Yes
Consensus
+1237
+1190
Open
Current
Book
Yes
Yes
Consensus
+390
+370
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
9
8
37
36
38
39
35
34
33
41
9
8
39
36
35
34
38
37
33
41
9
8
37
36
38
39
35
34
33
41
9
8
39
36
35
34
38
37
33
41
Consensus
-120
-115
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-108
-110
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-106
-110
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-111
-105
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Consensus
-
-
-110
-119
-110
-106
-117
-107
-
-
-
-
-118
-109
-112
-119
-119
-118
-
-
-
-
-112
-120
-111
-108
-117
-111
-
-
-
-
-117
-109
-112
-122
-118
-115
-
-
-
-
-103
-117
-113
-115
-135
-113
-
-
-
-
-135
-101
-101
-135
-115
-135
-
-
-
-
-113
-135
-113
-101
-135
-101
-
-
-
-
-135
-117
-101
-101
-121
-121
-
-
-
-
-120
-120
-110
-105
-120
-110
-
-
-
-
-125
-110
-110
-120
-115
-120
-
-
-
-
-115
-120
-115
-105
-120
-110
-
-
-
-
-120
-110
-110
-120
-120
-115
-
-
-105
-110
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-115
-105
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-104
-108
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-113
-110
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-114
-113
-110
-
-110
-
-
-
-
-
-
-113
-114
-
-113
-114
-
-
-
-
-113
-113
-113
-
-114
-
-
-
-
-
-
-113
-110
-
-110
-114
-
-
-
-
-120
-115
-120
-110
-115
-115
-115
-
-
-
-120
-115
-115
-120
-115
-110
-115
-
-
-
-115
-120
-115
-115
-110
-110
-115
-
-
-
-115
-115
-110
-120
-120
-115
-115
-
-
-
-
-120
-
-
-
-
-
-105
-
-
-
-110
-
-
-
-
-
-125
-
-
-
-125
-
-
-
-
-
-105
-
-
-
-115
-
-
-
-
-
-125
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
11
11
11
11
Consensus
-125
-119
-128
-105
-120
-110
-120
-110
-105
-115
-115
-105
-125
+100
-125
+100