Miami Dolphins

Miami Dolphins

Nov 3, 2024

Buffalo Bills

Buffalo Bills
  • Overview
  • Props

James Cook Projections, Prop Bets & Odds

James Cook projections and prop bets for Buffalo Bills at Kansas City Chiefs on Jan 26, 2025

James Cook Player Prop Bet: Receptions

Receptions Prop Bet Odds:

  • Receptions 1.5 over: -190
  • Receptions 1.5 under: 155

Trends Favoring The Over Receptions Prop Bet

The predictive model expects this game to see the fewest plays run on the slate this week at 132.5 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The weather forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, and reduced ground volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.

Our trusted projections expect James Cook to total 2.8 targets in this week's game, on balance, putting him in the 92nd percentile among running backs.

The Buffalo O-line ranks as the 9th-best in football this year in pass protection, which has a strong impact on all passing game metrics across the board.

Trends Favoring The Under Receptions Prop Bet

The Buffalo Bills have called the fewest plays in the league this year, averaging a measly 55.4 plays per game.

The Chiefs pass defense has allowed the 2nd-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the league (76.4%) vs. running backs this year (76.4%).

As it relates to linebackers in covering receivers, Kansas City's collection of LBs has been phenomenal this year, ranking as the 3rd-best in football.

Projection For James Cook Receptions Prop Bet

James Cook is projected to have 1.9 Receptions in this weeks game.


James Cook Player Prop Bet: Rushing Yards

Rushing Yards Prop Bet Odds:

  • Rushing Yards 55.5 over: -110
  • Rushing Yards 55.5 under: -110

Trends Favoring The Over Rushing Yards Prop Bet

The predictive model expects this game to see the fewest plays run on the slate this week at 132.5 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The leading projections forecast James Cook to earn 14.6 carries in this game, on average, putting him in the 92nd percentile among RBs.

Among all RBs, James Cook ranks in the 85th percentile for rush attempts this year, accounting for 52.1% of the workload in his team's rushing attack.

With an impressive total of 71.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground (92nd percentile), James Cook rates as one of the top running backs in the league this year.

With a terrific total of 5.19 adjusted yards per carry (89th percentile), James Cook has been as one of the top RBs in football this year.

Trends Favoring The Under Rushing Yards Prop Bet

Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Buffalo Bills to run on 45.3% of their chances: the 2nd-lowest rate on the slate this week.

The Buffalo Bills have called the fewest plays in the league this year, averaging a measly 55.4 plays per game.

The weather forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, and reduced ground volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.

The Kansas City Chiefs defense boasts the 6th-best efficiency against opposing ground games this year, giving up just 4.23 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC).

As it relates to the safeties' role in stopping the run, Kansas City's group of safeties has been tremendous this year, profiling as the 5th-best in the league.

Projection For James Cook Rushing Yards Prop Bet

James Cook is projected to have 65.3 Rushing Yards in this weeks game.


James Cook Player Prop Bet: Carries

Carries Prop Bet Odds:

  • Carries 14.5 over: -110
  • Carries 14.5 under: -120

Trends Favoring The Over Carries Prop Bet

The predictive model expects this game to see the fewest plays run on the slate this week at 132.5 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The leading projections forecast James Cook to earn 14.6 carries in this game, on average, putting him in the 92nd percentile among RBs.

Among all RBs, James Cook ranks in the 85th percentile for rush attempts this year, accounting for 52.1% of the workload in his team's rushing attack.

Trends Favoring The Under Carries Prop Bet

Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Buffalo Bills to run on 45.3% of their chances: the 2nd-lowest rate on the slate this week.

The Buffalo Bills have called the fewest plays in the league this year, averaging a measly 55.4 plays per game.

The weather forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, and reduced ground volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.

As it relates to the safeties' role in stopping the run, Kansas City's group of safeties has been tremendous this year, profiling as the 5th-best in the league.

Projection For James Cook Carries Prop Bet

James Cook is projected to have 14.1 Carries in this weeks game.


James Cook Player Prop Bet: Receiving Yards

Receiving Yards Prop Bet Odds:

  • Receiving Yards 13.5 over: -110
  • Receiving Yards 13.5 under: -110

Trends Favoring The Over Receiving Yards Prop Bet

The predictive model expects this game to see the fewest plays run on the slate this week at 132.5 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The weather forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, and reduced ground volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.

Our trusted projections expect James Cook to total 2.8 targets in this week's game, on balance, putting him in the 92nd percentile among running backs.

James Cook has put up a whopping 1.0 air yards per game this year: 82nd percentile among RBs. (That may not seem like a lot, but most RBs have negative air yards due to most of their targets being behind the line of scrimmage).

The Buffalo O-line ranks as the 9th-best in football this year in pass protection, which has a strong impact on all passing game metrics across the board.

Trends Favoring The Under Receiving Yards Prop Bet

The Buffalo Bills have called the fewest plays in the league this year, averaging a measly 55.4 plays per game.

James Cook has put up many fewer adjusted receiving yards per game (15.0) this year than he did last year (27.0).

James Cook's receiving efficiency has worsened this year, compiling a measly 6.87 adjusted yards-per-target compared to a 8.58 mark last year.

The Chiefs defense has surrendered the 2nd-fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in football (just 19.0) versus RBs this year.

The Chiefs pass defense has allowed the 2nd-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the league (76.4%) vs. running backs this year (76.4%).

Projection For James Cook Receiving Yards Prop Bet

James Cook is projected to have 14.9 Receiving Yards in this weeks game.


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Player Props

  • Total Rushing Yards
  • To Score 3+ Touchdowns
  • Total Receptions
  • To Score a Touchdown
  • Total Receiving Yards
  • Total Rushing Attempts
  • To Score 2+ Touchdowns
  • Longest Reception
  • Total Rushing & Receiving Yards
  • To Score 4+ Touchdowns
  • Longest Rush
  • Total Rushing Yards
  • To Score 3+ Touchdowns
  • Total Receptions
  • To Score a Touchdown
  • Total Receiving Yards
  • Total Rushing Attempts
  • To Score 2+ Touchdowns
  • Longest Reception
  • Total Rushing & Receiving Yards
  • To Score 4+ Touchdowns
  • Longest Rush
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
67
66
17
16
68
69
65
66
67
16
68
17
69
65
67
66
17
16
68
69
65
66
67
16
68
17
69
65
Consensus
-
-
-113
-110
-
-
-
-
-
-108
-
-115
-
-
-
-
-110
-112
-
-
-
-
-
-108
-
-118
-
-
Consensus
-113
-113
-
-
-113
-112
-
-111
-109
-
-116
-
-117
-
-116
-121
-
-
-113
-111
-
-113
-114
-
-115
-
-118
-
-117
-127
-
-
-117
-109
-
-125
-117
-
-125
-
-125
-
-109
-117
-
-
-109
-109
-
-117
-125
-
-117
-
-125
-
-115
-115
-
-
-110
-110
-
-105
-110
-
-120
-
-120
-
-115
-115
-
-
-115
-115
-
-105
-115
-
-115
-
-120
-
-
-
-110
-115
-
-
-
-
-
-106
-
-115
-
-
-
-
-106
-112
-
-
-
-
-
-108
-
-114
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-113
-
-
-
-
-
-
-110
-
-
-
-
-
-
-114
-
-
-
-
-
-
-113
-115
-115
-
-
-120
-115
-
-110
-115
-
-120
-
-120
-
-120
-120
-
-
-115
-110
-
-115
-110
-
-115
-
-120
-
-
-110
-
-
-
-
-
-115
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-115
-
-
-
-
-
-115
-
-
-
-
-
-
Open
Current
Book
Yes
Yes
Consensus
+2000
+2100
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
3
2
3
2
3
2
3
2
Consensus
+126
-
-180
-
+127
-
-173
-
+136
-
-179
-
+143
-
-199
-
+135
-
-190
-
+140
-
-190
-
+130
-184
-170
+140
+130
-156
-170
+142
+120
-
-175
-
+125
-
-175
-
+230
-
-170
-
+140
-
-175
-
Open
Current
Book
No
Yes
No
Yes
Consensus
-
+230
-
+220
Consensus
-
+420
-
+420
Consensus
+104
-138
+104
-138
Consensus
-
+350
-
+350
Consensus
-
+500
-
+550
Consensus
-
+460
-
+470
Consensus
-
+180
-
+185
-
-120
-
-120
-
+350
-
+330
-
+460
-
+460
-
+550
-
+550
-
+420
-
+410
-
+180
-
+180
-
+210
-
+230
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
16
1
15
17
14
16
15
1
17
14
16
1
15
17
14
16
15
1
17
14
Consensus
-
+168
-
-
-
-
-
-205
-
-
-
+164
-
-
-
-
-
-192
-
-
Consensus
-118
-
-120
-112
-124
-120
-109
-
-117
-106
-114
-
-118
-114
-120
-116
-109
-
-114
-110
-111
-
-121
-
-131
-123
-113
-
-
-109
-123
-
-125
-
-125
-121
-113
-
-
-104
-115
-
-120
-115
-
-110
-110
-
-115
-
-120
-
-120
-120
-
-115
-110
-
-115
-
-
+162
-
-
-
-
-
-205
-
-
-
+162
-
-
-
-
-
-215
-
-
-114
-
-
-114
-
-114
-
-
-110
-
-110
-
-
-113
-
-110
-
-
-113
-
-120
-
-125
-110
-120
-120
+100
-
-120
-110
-110
-
-120
-115
-120
-115
-110
-
-120
-110
-130
-
-
-
-
-115
-
-
-
-
-125
-
-
-
-
-110
-
-
-
-
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
17
16
16
17
17
16
16
17
Consensus
+102
-127
-107
-133
+100
-125
-108
-133
+100
-130
-110
-130
+105
-130
-105
-135
-
-114
-114
-
-
-114
-114
-
+105
-135
-105
-130
+105
-130
+100
-135
Open
Current
Book
Yes
Yes
Consensus
+428
+426
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
10
11
11
10
10
11
11
10
Consensus
-121
-112
-117
-109
-114
-106
-110
-108
-127
-127
-127
-121
-123
-117
-117
-108
-120
-105
-105
-110
-120
-110
-120
-110
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
86
21
88
87
85
84
20
85
86
87
20
21
88
84
86
21
88
87
85
84
20
85
86
87
20
21
88
84
Consensus
-117
-
-119
-116
-117
-117
-
-115
-115
-115
-
-
-115
-115
-117
-
-115
-116
-117
-120
-
-115
-113
-115
-
-
-118
-115
Consensus
-
-113
-
-
-
-
-118
-
-
-
-110
-114
-
-
-
-118
-
-
-
-
-118
-
-
-
-110
-115
-
-
-119
-
-119
-119
-119
-119
-
-115
-115
-115
-
-
-115
-115
-119
-
-119
-119
-119
-119
-
-115
-115
-115
-
-
-115
-115
-
-113
-
-
-
-
-118
-
-
-
-110
-115
-
-
-
-113
-
-
-
-
-118
-
-
-
-110
-114
-
-
-114
-
-113
-113
-114
-
-
-114
-114
-114
-
-
-115
-
-114
-
-114
-114
-114
-
-
-114
-114
-115
-
-
-115
-
-115
-
-115
-115
-115
-120
-
-115
-115
-115
-
-
-115
-115
-120
-
-115
-110
-115
-115
-
-120
-115
-115
-
-
-115
-120
Open
Current
Book
Yes
Yes
Consensus
+12000
+12000
+12000
+14000
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
15
16
15
16
15
16
15
16
Consensus
-130
-
-109
-
-119
-
-110
-
-120
-115
-110
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-130
-
+106
-
-110
-
-110
-
-130
-
-105
-
-125
-
-110
-

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