Jay Sanin on January 9, 2025
George Pickens projections and prop bets for Pittsburgh Steelers at Baltimore Ravens on Jan 11, 2025
Receiving Yards Prop Bet Odds:
At a -9.5-point disadvantage, the Steelers are big underdogs in this game, suggesting much more of a reliance on moving the ball through the air than their typical approach.
The Steelers have run the 6th-most plays in football this year, totaling a monstrous 59.6 plays per game.
The Baltimore Ravens defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, enticing opposing QBs to attempt the 2nd-most passes in the league (37.4 per game) this year.
Our trusted projections expect George Pickens to garner 8.3 targets this week, on balance, ranking him in the 87th percentile when it comes to wide receivers.
After totaling 89.0 air yards per game last season, George Pickens has been rising this season, now pacing 99.0 per game.
Right now, the 6th-least pass-centric offense in the NFL (57.4% in a neutral context) according to the model is the Steelers.
Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Pittsburgh Steelers are anticipated by the projections to run only 64.6 total plays in this game: the 4th-fewest on the slate this week.
With a poor 59.2% Adjusted Completion Rate (18th percentile) this year, George Pickens stands as one of the most unreliable receivers in the league when it comes to WRs.
George Pickens's 2.95 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year marks a noteable regression in his efficiency in the open field over last year's 5.9% mark.
This year, the formidable Ravens pass defense has yielded the least yards-after-the-catch in the league to opposing wideouts: a puny 3.7 YAC.
George Pickens is projected to have 60.7 Receiving Yards in this weeks game.
Receptions Prop Bet Odds:
At a -9.5-point disadvantage, the Steelers are big underdogs in this game, suggesting much more of a reliance on moving the ball through the air than their typical approach.
The Steelers have run the 6th-most plays in football this year, totaling a monstrous 59.6 plays per game.
The Baltimore Ravens defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, enticing opposing QBs to attempt the 2nd-most passes in the league (37.4 per game) this year.
Our trusted projections expect George Pickens to garner 8.3 targets this week, on balance, ranking him in the 87th percentile when it comes to wide receivers.
George Pickens's 71.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that calculates high-value offensive usage) has been notably better this season than it was last season at 62.5.
Right now, the 6th-least pass-centric offense in the NFL (57.4% in a neutral context) according to the model is the Steelers.
Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Pittsburgh Steelers are anticipated by the projections to run only 64.6 total plays in this game: the 4th-fewest on the slate this week.
With a poor 59.2% Adjusted Completion Rate (18th percentile) this year, George Pickens stands as one of the most unreliable receivers in the league when it comes to WRs.
When it comes to safeties in covering receivers, Baltimore's unit has been phenomenal this year, ranking as the 5th-best in football.
George Pickens is projected to have 4.1 Receptions in this weeks game.
