Courtland Sutton projections and prop bets for Denver Broncos at Las Vegas Raiders on Nov 24, 2024
Courtland Sutton Player Prop Bet: Receptions
Receptions Prop Bet Odds:
- Receptions 4.5 over: -115
- Receptions 4.5 under: -115
Trends Favoring The Over Receptions Prop Bet
The Broncos offense has played at the 8th-fastest tempo in the league (adjusted for context) this year, averaging 27.94 seconds per play.
This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
The predictive model expects Courtland Sutton to total 8.1 targets in this week's game, on balance, ranking him in the 91st percentile among wide receivers.
Courtland Sutton slots into the 92nd percentile for wide receiver WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that quantifies high-value offensive usage) with a superb 64.2 figure this year.
In regards to protecting the quarterback (and the strong effect it has on all pass game stats), the offensive line of the Broncos grades out as the 3rd-best in football this year.
Trends Favoring The Under Receptions Prop Bet
With a 5.5-point advantage, the Broncos are favored in this week's game, implying more of an emphasis on running than their standard game plan.
Our trusted projections expect the Broncos as the 9th-least pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 55.9% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Opposing teams have averaged 31.8 pass attempts per game against the Raiders defense this year: 7th-fewest in the league.
Courtland Sutton's sure-handedness have diminished this season, with his Adjusted Catch Rate falling off from 68.4% to 60.2%.
Projection For Courtland Sutton Receptions Prop Bet
Courtland Sutton is projected to have 4.8 Receptions in this weeks game.
Courtland Sutton Player Prop Bet: Receiving Yards
Receiving Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Receiving Yards 60.5 over: -110
- Receiving Yards 60.5 under: -115
Trends Favoring The Over Receiving Yards Prop Bet
The Broncos offense has played at the 8th-fastest tempo in the league (adjusted for context) this year, averaging 27.94 seconds per play.
This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
The predictive model expects Courtland Sutton to total 8.1 targets in this week's game, on balance, ranking him in the 91st percentile among wide receivers.
Courtland Sutton has put up quite a few more air yards this year (90.0 per game) than he did last year (76.0 per game).
Courtland Sutton slots into the 92nd percentile for wide receiver WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that quantifies high-value offensive usage) with a superb 64.2 figure this year.
Trends Favoring The Under Receiving Yards Prop Bet
With a 5.5-point advantage, the Broncos are favored in this week's game, implying more of an emphasis on running than their standard game plan.
Our trusted projections expect the Broncos as the 9th-least pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 55.9% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Opposing teams have averaged 31.8 pass attempts per game against the Raiders defense this year: 7th-fewest in the league.
Courtland Sutton's sure-handedness have diminished this season, with his Adjusted Catch Rate falling off from 68.4% to 60.2%.
With a poor 2.43 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) (18th percentile) this year, Courtland Sutton rates among the best WRs in the game in the NFL in picking up extra yardage.
Projection For Courtland Sutton Receiving Yards Prop Bet
Courtland Sutton is projected to have 67.9 Receiving Yards in this weeks game.
