Jay Sanin on January 9, 2025
Jaleel McLaughlin projections and prop bets for Denver Broncos at Buffalo Bills on Jan 12, 2025
Carries Prop Bet Odds:
Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is expected by the projections to have only 129.3 plays on offense run: the 3rd-fewest on the slate this week.
As it relates to the defensive tackles' role in stopping the run, Buffalo's DT corps has been very bad this year, profiling as the 4th-worst in the league. in the league.
An extreme throwing game script is suggested by the Broncos being a big -8.5-point underdog in this week's game.
The projections expect the Denver Broncos to be the 4th-least run-centric offense among all teams this week with a 39.8% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Jaleel McLaughlin is projected to have 8.8 Carries in this weeks game.
Receptions Prop Bet Odds:
An extreme throwing game script is suggested by the Broncos being a big -8.5-point underdog in this week's game.
The projections expect the Broncos to be the 8th-most pass-focused offense in football (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 62.1% pass rate.
Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is expected by the projections to have only 129.3 plays on offense run: the 3rd-fewest on the slate this week.
The Bills defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, leading opposing teams to attempt the 8th-most passes in the league (33.9 per game) this year.
Jaleel McLaughlin's 96.2% Adjusted Catch% this year represents an impressive boost in his receiving ability over last year's 84.2% mark.
The Buffalo Bills pass defense has allowed the 5th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (79.3%) versus running backs this year (79.3%).
Jaleel McLaughlin is projected to have 1.9 Receptions in this weeks game.
Receiving Yards Prop Bet Odds:
An extreme throwing game script is suggested by the Broncos being a big -8.5-point underdog in this week's game.
The projections expect the Broncos to be the 8th-most pass-focused offense in football (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 62.1% pass rate.
Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is expected by the projections to have only 129.3 plays on offense run: the 3rd-fewest on the slate this week.
The Bills defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, leading opposing teams to attempt the 8th-most passes in the league (33.9 per game) this year.
The Broncos offensive line grades out as the best in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive influence on all passing offense statistics across the board.
Jaleel McLaughlin has totaled a puny -6.0 air yards per game this year: a lowly 4th percentile when it comes to RBs.
Jaleel McLaughlin has accumulated quite a few less adjusted receiving yards per game (5.0) this year than he did last year (10.0).
Jaleel McLaughlin's 3.1 adjusted yards per target this year represents a significant reduction in his receiving talent over last year's 4.9 mark.
Jaleel McLaughlin's 6.67 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year shows a substantial reduction in his effectiveness in the open field over last year's 9.1% figure.
The Buffalo Bills pass defense has allowed the 5th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (79.3%) versus running backs this year (79.3%).
Jaleel McLaughlin is projected to have 11 Receiving Yards in this weeks game.
Rushing Yards Prop Bet Odds:
Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is expected by the projections to have only 129.3 plays on offense run: the 3rd-fewest on the slate this week.
As it relates to the defensive tackles' role in stopping the run, Buffalo's DT corps has been very bad this year, profiling as the 4th-worst in the league. in the league.
An extreme throwing game script is suggested by the Broncos being a big -8.5-point underdog in this week's game.
The projections expect the Denver Broncos to be the 4th-least run-centric offense among all teams this week with a 39.8% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Jaleel McLaughlin's running effectiveness has tailed off this year, totaling a measly 4.29 adjusted yards-per-carry compared to a 5.13 figure last year.
Jaleel McLaughlin is projected to have 38.7 Rushing Yards in this weeks game.
