Calvin Ridley projections and prop bets for Tennessee Titans at Houston Texans on Nov 24, 2024
Calvin Ridley Player Prop Bet: Receptions
Receptions Prop Bet Odds:
- Receptions 4.5 over: -114
- Receptions 4.5 under: -114
Trends Favoring The Over Receptions Prop Bet
An extreme passing game script is suggested by the Titans being an enormous -8.5-point underdog in this week's contest.
Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Tennessee Titans to pass on 59.5% of their downs: the 4th-highest frequency on the slate this week.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
In this week's contest, Calvin Ridley is forecasted by the projections to finish in the 95th percentile among wideouts with 9.4 targets.
Calvin Ridley's 70.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that weighs high-value offensive involvement) has been quite a bit better this season than it was last season at 62.3.
Trends Favoring The Under Receptions Prop Bet
Based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Titans are anticipated by the predictive model to call only 63.1 offensive plays in this contest: the 5th-fewest among all teams this week.
The Tennessee offensive line grades out as the 3rd-worst in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful impact on all air attack statistics across the board.
Calvin Ridley's 3.4 adjusted receptions per game this year marks a meaningful decrease in his pass-catching talent over last year's 4.6 mark.
Calvin Ridley's 49.3% Adjusted Catch Rate this season reflects a meaningful diminishment in his pass-catching proficiency over last season's 58.9% mark.
The Houston Texans pass defense has conceded the 2nd-lowest Adjusted Completion% in football (58.7%) vs. wide receivers this year (58.7%).
Projection For Calvin Ridley Receptions Prop Bet
Calvin Ridley is projected to have 4.3 Receptions in this weeks game.
Calvin Ridley Player Prop Bet: Receiving Yards
Receiving Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Receiving Yards 57.5 over: -110
- Receiving Yards 57.5 under: -110
Trends Favoring The Over Receiving Yards Prop Bet
An extreme passing game script is suggested by the Titans being an enormous -8.5-point underdog in this week's contest.
Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Tennessee Titans to pass on 59.5% of their downs: the 4th-highest frequency on the slate this week.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
In this week's contest, Calvin Ridley is forecasted by the projections to finish in the 95th percentile among wideouts with 9.4 targets.
After accruing 111.0 air yards per game last season, Calvin Ridley has been rising this season, currently boasting 117.0 per game.
Trends Favoring The Under Receiving Yards Prop Bet
Based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Titans are anticipated by the predictive model to call only 63.1 offensive plays in this contest: the 5th-fewest among all teams this week.
The Tennessee offensive line grades out as the 3rd-worst in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful impact on all air attack statistics across the board.
Calvin Ridley's 50.0 adjusted yards per game through the air this season represents a remarkable drop-off in his pass-catching proficiency over last season's 64.0 rate.
Calvin Ridley's 49.3% Adjusted Catch Rate this season reflects a meaningful diminishment in his pass-catching proficiency over last season's 58.9% mark.
The Houston Texans pass defense has conceded the 2nd-lowest Adjusted Completion% in football (58.7%) vs. wide receivers this year (58.7%).
Projection For Calvin Ridley Receiving Yards Prop Bet
Calvin Ridley is projected to have 65.2 Receiving Yards in this weeks game.