New England Patriots

New England Patriots

Nov 3, 2024

Tennessee Titans

Tennessee Titans
  • Overview
  • Props

Calvin Ridley Projections, Prop Bets & Odds

Calvin Ridley projections and prop bets for Cincinnati Bengals at Tennessee Titans on Dec 15, 2024

Calvin Ridley Player Prop Bet: Receptions

Receptions Prop Bet Odds:

  • Receptions 4.5 over: -132
  • Receptions 4.5 under: 102

Trends Favoring The Over Receptions Prop Bet

This week's line suggests a passing game script for the Titans, who are -5-point underdogs.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 35.2 pass attempts per game versus the Bengals defense this year: 9th-most in football.

In this contest, Calvin Ridley is predicted by the model to find himself in the 87th percentile among wide receivers with 8.6 targets.

Calvin Ridley's 69.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that quantifies high-value offensive volume) has been quite a bit better this year than it was last year at 62.3.

As it relates to safeties in covering receivers, Cincinnati's group of safeties has been terrible this year, ranking as the 3rd-worst in the league.

Trends Favoring The Under Receptions Prop Bet

The projections expect the Tennessee Titans to be the 10th-least pass-heavy offense in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 58.9% pass rate.

Accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Tennessee Titans are expected by the predictive model to run only 63.6 total plays in this game: the 6th-lowest number on the slate this week.

Windy weather conditions (like the 12-mph being called for in this game) usually prompt decreased passing effectiveness, lower pass volume, and increased run volume.

The Titans offensive line grades out as the 6th-worst in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful effect on all air attack statistics across the board.

Calvin Ridley's 53.4% Adjusted Catch Rate this season signifies a material reduction in his receiving proficiency over last season's 58.9% mark.

Projection For Calvin Ridley Receptions Prop Bet

Calvin Ridley is projected to have 4 Receptions in this weeks game.


Calvin Ridley Player Prop Bet: Receiving Yards

Receiving Yards Prop Bet Odds:

  • Receiving Yards 59.5 over: -140
  • Receiving Yards 59.5 under: 110

Trends Favoring The Over Receiving Yards Prop Bet

This week's line suggests a passing game script for the Titans, who are -5-point underdogs.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 35.2 pass attempts per game versus the Bengals defense this year: 9th-most in football.

In this contest, Calvin Ridley is predicted by the model to find himself in the 87th percentile among wide receivers with 8.6 targets.

When talking about air yards, Calvin Ridley grades out in the lofty 99th percentile among wideouts this year, accumulating a whopping 111.0 per game.

Calvin Ridley's 69.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that quantifies high-value offensive volume) has been quite a bit better this year than it was last year at 62.3.

Trends Favoring The Under Receiving Yards Prop Bet

The projections expect the Tennessee Titans to be the 10th-least pass-heavy offense in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 58.9% pass rate.

Accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Tennessee Titans are expected by the predictive model to run only 63.6 total plays in this game: the 6th-lowest number on the slate this week.

Windy weather conditions (like the 12-mph being called for in this game) usually prompt decreased passing effectiveness, lower pass volume, and increased run volume.

The Titans offensive line grades out as the 6th-worst in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful effect on all air attack statistics across the board.

Calvin Ridley has compiled quite a few less adjusted receiving yards per game (54.0) this season than he did last season (64.0).

Projection For Calvin Ridley Receiving Yards Prop Bet

Calvin Ridley is projected to have 57.1 Receiving Yards in this weeks game.


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Player Props

  • To Record a 20+ Yard Reception
  • Total Rushing & Receiving Yards
  • To Record a 30+ Yard Reception
  • To Score a Touchdown
  • To Score 3+ Touchdowns
  • To Score 2+ Touchdowns
  • Total Receiving Yards
  • Total Rushing Yards
  • Total Receptions
  • Longest Reception
  • To Record a 20+ Yard Reception
  • Total Rushing & Receiving Yards
  • To Record a 30+ Yard Reception
  • To Score a Touchdown
  • To Score 3+ Touchdowns
  • To Score 2+ Touchdowns
  • Total Receiving Yards
  • Total Rushing Yards
  • Total Receptions
  • Longest Reception
Open
Current
Book
Yes
Yes
Consensus
-150
-145
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
56
59
57
58
55
60
56
55
60
58
59
57
56
59
57
58
55
60
56
55
60
58
59
57
Consensus
-118
-115
-118
-115
-118
-115
-117
-115
-120
-117
-117
-117
-115
-115
-115
-115
-118
-115
-117
-115
-117
-117
-117
-117
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-119
-119
-119
-119
-119
-119
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-119
-119
-119
-119
-119
-119
-120
-115
-120
-115
-120
-115
-115
-110
-115
-120
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-120
-115
-115
-110
-120
-115
-115
-120
Open
Current
Book
Yes
Yes
Consensus
+230
+230
Open
Current
Book
No
Yes
No
Yes
Consensus
-
+800
-
+700
Consensus
-
+1000
-
+950
Consensus
-
+410
-
+410
Consensus
-
+1000
-
+1000
Consensus
-
+550
-
+420
Consensus
-
+750
-
+950
Consensus
-256
+187
-271
+196
-
+850
-
+650
-
+1100
-
+900
-
+410
-
+500
-
+1100
-
+950
-
+500
-
+550
-
+850
-
+950
-
+240
-
+260
Open
Current
Book
Yes
Yes
Consensus
+7900
+6900
+15000
+14000
Open
Current
Book
Yes
Yes
Consensus
+1360
+1525
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
10
9
52
53
51
56
55
54
57
9
10
54
56
51
57
52
53
55
10
9
52
53
51
56
55
54
57
9
10
54
56
51
57
52
53
55
Consensus
-106
-115
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-113
-115
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-105
-115
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-110
-120
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Consensus
-
-
-116
-114
-
-117
-115
-115
-115
-
-
-113
-111
-
-113
-117
-115
-114
-
-
-120
-115
-
-115
-117
-114
-115
-
-
-112
-116
-
-114
-113
-112
-113
-
-
-115
-115
-
-119
-119
-119
-119
-
-
-115
-115
-
-115
-115
-119
-115
-
-
-119
-115
-
-119
-119
-119
-119
-
-
-119
-115
-
-115
-119
-119
-115
-
-
-115
-115
-
-115
-115
-115
-115
-
-
-115
-115
-
-115
-115
-115
-115
-
-
-115
-115
-
-115
-115
-115
-115
-
-
-115
-115
-
-115
-115
-115
-115
-105
-114
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-111
-115
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-106
-111
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-112
-114
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-113
-
-
-
-
-110
-
-
-
-110
-
-
-
-113
-
-
-
-
-110
-
-
-
-
-110
-
-
-
-110
-
-
-
-110
-
-
-
-
-120
-110
-
-115
-115
-115
-115
-
-
-110
-110
-
-120
-110
-120
-115
-
-
-115
-115
-
-120
-115
-110
-115
-
-
-115
-115
-
-115
-110
-115
-115
-
-
-
-
-115
-105
-
-
-
-
-
-
-120
-115
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-115
-110
-
-
-
-
-
-
-120
-110
-
-
-
-
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
1
1
1
1
Consensus
+157
-213
+153
-206
+152
-214
+152
-214
+155
-225
+150
-210
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
5
5
5
5
Consensus
-116
-128
-105
-134
-104
-148
+108
-115
+105
-115
-120
-130
-120
-120
-102
-128
-115
-135
+100
-130
-105
-125
+100
-130
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
22
23
21
22
21
23
22
23
21
22
21
23
Consensus
-112
-116
-
-114
-
-112
-116
-113
-
-116
-
-116
-123
-123
-
-111
-
-111
-113
-123
-
-121
-
-111
-108
-
-122
-118
-106
-
-114
-
-113
-122
-113
-
-115
-120
-
-115
-
-110
-115
-115
-
-115
-
-115