Brock Purdy projections and prop bets for San Francisco 49ers at Green Bay Packers on Nov 24, 2024
Brock Purdy Player Prop Bet: Passing Yards
Passing Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Passing Yards 236.5 over: -110
- Passing Yards 236.5 under: -110
Trends Favoring The Over Passing Yards Prop Bet
Brock Purdy checks in as one of the top passers in the NFL this year, averaging an exceptional 259.0 adjusted yards per game while grading out in the 90th percentile.
This year, the porous Green Bay Packers defense has surrendered the 6th-most yards-after-the-catch in the NFL to the opposing side: a whopping 5.25 YAC.
Trends Favoring The Under Passing Yards Prop Bet
Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is projected by the model to have just 126.8 plays on offense run: the 4th-fewest on the slate this week.
Brock Purdy's 66.2% Adjusted Completion% this year represents a material reduction in his passing precision over last year's 69.6% mark.
Brock Purdy's 8.47 adjusted yards-per-target this season shows a material decline in his throwing effectiveness over last season's 9.5% figure.
As it relates to safeties in defending pass-catchers, Green Bay's unit has been fantastic this year, ranking as the 2nd-best in football.
Projection For Brock Purdy Passing Yards Prop Bet
Brock Purdy is projected to have 249.6 Passing Yards in this weeks game.
Brock Purdy Player Prop Bet: Touchdown Passes
Touchdown Passes Prop Bet Odds:
- Touchdown Passes 1.5 over: 110
- Touchdown Passes 1.5 under: -140
Trends Favoring The Over Touchdown Passes Prop Bet
Trends Favoring The Under Touchdown Passes Prop Bet
Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is projected by the model to have just 126.8 plays on offense run: the 4th-fewest on the slate this week.
Brock Purdy's 66.2% Adjusted Completion% this year represents a material reduction in his passing precision over last year's 69.6% mark.
As it relates to safeties in defending pass-catchers, Green Bay's unit has been fantastic this year, ranking as the 2nd-best in football.
Projection For Brock Purdy Touchdown Passes Prop Bet
Brock Purdy is projected to have 1.4 Touchdown Passes in this weeks game.
Brock Purdy Player Prop Bet: Interceptions
Interceptions Prop Bet Odds:
- Interceptions 0.5 over: -105
- Interceptions 0.5 under: -125
Trends Favoring The Over Interceptions Prop Bet
Trends Favoring The Under Interceptions Prop Bet
Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is projected by the model to have just 126.8 plays on offense run: the 4th-fewest on the slate this week.
Green Bay's defense ranks as the 9th-best in the NFL this year when it comes to producing interceptions, accumulating 0.91 per game.
As it relates to safeties in defending pass-catchers, Green Bay's unit has been fantastic this year, ranking as the 2nd-best in football.
Projection For Brock Purdy Interceptions Prop Bet
Brock Purdy is projected to have 0.4 Interceptions in this weeks game.
Brock Purdy Player Prop Bet: Rushing Yards
Rushing Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Rushing Yards 21.5 over: -110
- Rushing Yards 21.5 under: -120
Trends Favoring The Over Rushing Yards Prop Bet
The predictive model expects Brock Purdy to earn 4.6 carries in this contest, on average: the 9th-most out of all quarterbacks.
After comprising 6.9% of his offense's rushing play calls last year, Brock Purdy has been called on more in the ground game this year, now making up 16.1%.
Brock Purdy has run for a lot more yards per game (26.0) this year than he did last year (9.0).
The Green Bay Packers linebackers grade out as the 4th-worst group of LBs in the league this year when it comes to stopping the run.
Trends Favoring The Under Rushing Yards Prop Bet
Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is projected by the model to have just 126.8 plays on offense run: the 4th-fewest on the slate this week.
Projection For Brock Purdy Rushing Yards Prop Bet
Brock Purdy is projected to have 27.5 Rushing Yards in this weeks game.
