Jay Sanin on December 1, 2024
Christian McCaffrey projections and prop bets for San Francisco 49ers at Buffalo Bills on Dec 1, 2024
Receiving Yards Prop Bet Odds:
This week's spread indicates a throwing game script for the 49ers, who are -6-point underdogs.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 35.2 pass attempts per game versus the Buffalo Bills defense this year: 10th-most in the NFL.
With an elite 79.2% Route Participation% (100th percentile) since the start of last season, Christian McCaffrey ranks among the pass-catching RBs with the highest volume in the league.
In this game, Christian McCaffrey is expected by our trusted projection set to find himself in the 97th percentile when it comes to running backs with 5.6 targets.
Christian McCaffrey profiles as one of the leading pass-game running backs since the start of last season, averaging a fantastic 39.0 adjusted yards per game while checking in at the 100th percentile.
The predictive model expects the 49ers as the 10th-most pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 59.0% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the 49ers are predicted by the projections to call just 61.0 total plays in this contest: the lowest number on the slate this week.
The 10th-smallest volume of plays in football have been called by the San Francisco 49ers this year (a mere 56.8 per game on average).
When it comes to pocket protection (and the effect it has on all air attack stats), the offensive line of the 49ers ranks as the 10th-worst in football this year.
This year, the imposing Buffalo Bills defense has yielded a measly 77.6% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing RBs: the 4th-smallest rate in football.
Christian McCaffrey is projected to have 33.3 Receiving Yards in this weeks game.
Receptions Prop Bet Odds:
This week's spread indicates a throwing game script for the 49ers, who are -6-point underdogs.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 35.2 pass attempts per game versus the Buffalo Bills defense this year: 10th-most in the NFL.
With an elite 79.2% Route Participation% (100th percentile) since the start of last season, Christian McCaffrey ranks among the pass-catching RBs with the highest volume in the league.
In this game, Christian McCaffrey is expected by our trusted projection set to find himself in the 97th percentile when it comes to running backs with 5.6 targets.
Christian McCaffrey grades out as one of the best RBs in the pass game since the start of last season, averaging a stellar 4.2 adjusted receptions per game while ranking in the 98th percentile.
The predictive model expects the 49ers as the 10th-most pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 59.0% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the 49ers are predicted by the projections to call just 61.0 total plays in this contest: the lowest number on the slate this week.
The 10th-smallest volume of plays in football have been called by the San Francisco 49ers this year (a mere 56.8 per game on average).
When it comes to pocket protection (and the effect it has on all air attack stats), the offensive line of the 49ers ranks as the 10th-worst in football this year.
This year, the imposing Buffalo Bills defense has yielded a measly 77.6% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing RBs: the 4th-smallest rate in football.
Christian McCaffrey is projected to have 3.8 Receptions in this weeks game.
Rushing Yards Prop Bet Odds:
Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the 49ers to run on 41.0% of their chances: the 10th-lowest rate among all teams this week.
In this week's game, Christian McCaffrey is forecasted by the projections to secure a spot in the 95th percentile when it comes to RBs with 18.9 rush attempts.
Out of all running backs, Christian McCaffrey ranks in the 97th percentile for rush attempts this year, comprising 70.5% of the workload in his team's ground game.
With an outstanding tally of 88.0 adjusted rushing yards per game (99th percentile), Christian McCaffrey places among the top RBs in the NFL since the start of last season.
When it comes to the defensive tackles' role in defending against the run, Buffalo's DT corps has been easily exploitable this year, profiling as the 9th-worst in the league. in the league.
This week's spread indicates a throwing game script for the 49ers, who are -6-point underdogs.
Accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the 49ers are predicted by the projections to call just 61.0 total plays in this contest: the lowest number on the slate this week.
The 10th-smallest volume of plays in football have been called by the San Francisco 49ers this year (a mere 56.8 per game on average).
Christian McCaffrey's 3.2 adjusted yards per carry this season represents a noteworthy reduction in his rushing talent over last season's 5.6 rate.
Christian McCaffrey is projected to have 75.2 Rushing Yards in this weeks game.
Carries Prop Bet Odds:
Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the 49ers to run on 41.0% of their chances: the 10th-lowest rate among all teams this week.
In this week's game, Christian McCaffrey is forecasted by the projections to secure a spot in the 95th percentile when it comes to RBs with 18.9 rush attempts.
Out of all running backs, Christian McCaffrey ranks in the 97th percentile for rush attempts this year, comprising 70.5% of the workload in his team's ground game.
When it comes to the defensive tackles' role in defending against the run, Buffalo's DT corps has been easily exploitable this year, profiling as the 9th-worst in the league. in the league.
This week's spread indicates a throwing game script for the 49ers, who are -6-point underdogs.
Accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the 49ers are predicted by the projections to call just 61.0 total plays in this contest: the lowest number on the slate this week.
The 10th-smallest volume of plays in football have been called by the San Francisco 49ers this year (a mere 56.8 per game on average).
Christian McCaffrey is projected to have 17 Carries in this weeks game.
