Anthony Richardson projections and prop bets for Detroit Lions at Indianapolis Colts on Nov 24, 2024
Anthony Richardson Player Prop Bet: Interceptions
Interceptions Prop Bet Odds:
- Interceptions 0.5 over: -165
- Interceptions 0.5 under: 125
Trends Favoring The Over Interceptions Prop Bet
At a -7.5-point disadvantage, the Colts are big underdogs in this week's game, implying much more of a focus on passing than their usual game plan.
Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is predicted by the model to see 131.4 total plays run: the 4th-most out of all the games this week.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
Opposing teams have averaged 38.5 pass attempts per game vs. the Detroit Lions defense this year: 3rd-most in football.
As it relates to protecting the quarterback (and the positive impact it has on all pass attack statistics), the offensive line of the Indianapolis Colts grades out as the 2nd-best in the NFL this year.
Trends Favoring The Under Interceptions Prop Bet
Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Colts to pass on 55.6% of their plays: the 8th-lowest rate on the slate this week.
The 3rd-fewest plays in the league have been called by the Indianapolis Colts this year (just 54.3 per game on average).
Anthony Richardson has attempted a mere 24.2 throws per game this year, grading out in the 18th percentile among QBs.
The Detroit Lions have intercepted 1.40 targets per game this year, ranking as the 2nd-best defense in the league by this standard.
The Lions safeties project as the best unit in the NFL this year in covering receivers.
Projection For Anthony Richardson Interceptions Prop Bet
Anthony Richardson is projected to have 0.4 Interceptions in this weeks game.
Anthony Richardson Player Prop Bet: Touchdown Passes
Touchdown Passes Prop Bet Odds:
- Touchdown Passes 1.5 over: 210
- Touchdown Passes 1.5 under: -270
Trends Favoring The Over Touchdown Passes Prop Bet
At a -7.5-point disadvantage, the Colts are big underdogs in this week's game, implying much more of a focus on passing than their usual game plan.
Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is predicted by the model to see 131.4 total plays run: the 4th-most out of all the games this week.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
Opposing teams have averaged 38.5 pass attempts per game vs. the Detroit Lions defense this year: 3rd-most in football.
As it relates to protecting the quarterback (and the positive impact it has on all pass attack statistics), the offensive line of the Indianapolis Colts grades out as the 2nd-best in the NFL this year.
Trends Favoring The Under Touchdown Passes Prop Bet
Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Colts to pass on 55.6% of their plays: the 8th-lowest rate on the slate this week.
At the moment, the least pass-heavy offense in football near the goal line (43.7% adjusted for context) according to the model is the Indianapolis Colts.
The 3rd-fewest plays in the league have been called by the Indianapolis Colts this year (just 54.3 per game on average).
Anthony Richardson has attempted a mere 24.2 throws per game this year, grading out in the 18th percentile among QBs.
Anthony Richardson's 47.4% Adjusted Completion% this year signifies an impressive decrease in his throwing accuracy over last year's 57.3% figure.
Projection For Anthony Richardson Touchdown Passes Prop Bet
Anthony Richardson is projected to have 1.3 Touchdown Passes in this weeks game.
Anthony Richardson Player Prop Bet: Passing Yards
Passing Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Passing Yards 202.5 over: -110
- Passing Yards 202.5 under: -110
Trends Favoring The Over Passing Yards Prop Bet
At a -7.5-point disadvantage, the Colts are big underdogs in this week's game, implying much more of a focus on passing than their usual game plan.
Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is predicted by the model to see 131.4 total plays run: the 4th-most out of all the games this week.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
Opposing teams have averaged 38.5 pass attempts per game vs. the Detroit Lions defense this year: 3rd-most in football.
As it relates to protecting the quarterback (and the positive impact it has on all pass attack statistics), the offensive line of the Indianapolis Colts grades out as the 2nd-best in the NFL this year.
Trends Favoring The Under Passing Yards Prop Bet
Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Colts to pass on 55.6% of their plays: the 8th-lowest rate on the slate this week.
The 3rd-fewest plays in the league have been called by the Indianapolis Colts this year (just 54.3 per game on average).
Anthony Richardson has attempted a mere 24.2 throws per game this year, grading out in the 18th percentile among QBs.
Anthony Richardson checks in as one of the bottom passers in the league this year, averaging 148.0 adjusted yards per game while checking in at the 15th percentile.
Anthony Richardson's 47.4% Adjusted Completion% this year signifies an impressive decrease in his throwing accuracy over last year's 57.3% figure.
Projection For Anthony Richardson Passing Yards Prop Bet
Anthony Richardson is projected to have 218.7 Passing Yards in this weeks game.
Anthony Richardson Player Prop Bet: Rushing Yards
Rushing Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Rushing Yards 44.5 over: -110
- Rushing Yards 44.5 under: -110
Trends Favoring The Over Rushing Yards Prop Bet
The model projects the Colts to be the 8th-most run-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 44.4% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is predicted by the model to see 131.4 total plays run: the 4th-most out of all the games this week.
In this week's game, Anthony Richardson is expected by the predictive model to accrue the 4th-most carries among all quarterbacks with 7.6.
Making up 23.4% of his offense's rushing play calls this year (91st percentile among QBs), Anthony Richardson's mobility makes him a major threat in the run game.
With an excellent tally of 43.0 adjusted rushing yards per game (95th percentile), Anthony Richardson places as one of the top rushing QBs in the league this year.
Trends Favoring The Under Rushing Yards Prop Bet
At a -7.5-point disadvantage, the Colts are big underdogs in this week's game, implying much more of a focus on passing than their usual game plan.
The 3rd-fewest plays in the league have been called by the Indianapolis Colts this year (just 54.3 per game on average).
This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
This year, the stout Lions run defense has yielded a feeble 90.0 adjusted rushing yards per game to opposing squads: the 4th-best in the league.
The Detroit Lions safeties profile as the best unit in football this year in regard to defending the run.
Projection For Anthony Richardson Rushing Yards Prop Bet
Anthony Richardson is projected to have 35.6 Rushing Yards in this weeks game.
