A.J. Brown Projections, Prop Bets & Odds

A.J. Brown projections and prop bets for Kansas City Chiefs at Philadelphia Eagles on Feb 9, 2025

A.J. Brown Player Prop Bet: Receptions

Receptions Prop Bet Odds:

• Receptions 5.5 over: 120
• Receptions 5.5 under: -150

Trends Favoring The Over Receptions Prop Bet

The Philadelphia Eagles have called the 5th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a staggering 59.4 plays per game.

This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.

The model projects A.J. Brown to accrue 9.6 targets in this game, on balance, putting him in the 100th percentile when it comes to wide receivers.

A.J. Brown's 86.6 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that assesses high-value offensive involvement) has been quite a bit higher this season than it was last season at 77.6.

A.J. Brown rates as one of the most sure-handed receivers in the NFL, completing a stellar 71.2% of balls thrown his way (adjusted for context) this year, ranking in the 77th percentile among wide receivers.

Trends Favoring The Under Receptions Prop Bet

Given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Philadelphia Eagles to pass on 51.0% of their downs: the lowest rate on the slate this week.

The predictive model expects the Eagles to call the fewest total plays on the slate this week with 67.4 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

Opposing QBs teams have been disinclined to lean on the pass against the Kansas City Chiefs, averaging the 8th-fewest attempts in the NFL (just 29.8 per game) this year.

The Philadelphia offensive line grades out as the worst in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative effect on all pass game metrics across the board.

A.J. Brown's 4.2 adjusted catches per game this year signifies a noteable diminishment in his pass-catching proficiency over last year's 6.2 rate.

Projection For A.J. Brown Receptions Prop Bet

A.J. Brown is projected to have 6.1 Receptions in this weeks game.

A.J. Brown Player Prop Bet: Receiving Yards

Receiving Yards Prop Bet Odds:

• Receiving Yards 70.5 over: -110
• Receiving Yards 70.5 under: -110

Trends Favoring The Over Receiving Yards Prop Bet

The Philadelphia Eagles have called the 5th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a staggering 59.4 plays per game.

This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.

The model projects A.J. Brown to accrue 9.6 targets in this game, on balance, putting him in the 100th percentile when it comes to wide receivers.

A.J. Brown's 86.6 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that assesses high-value offensive involvement) has been quite a bit higher this season than it was last season at 77.6.

A.J. Brown rates as one of the most sure-handed receivers in the NFL, completing a stellar 71.2% of balls thrown his way (adjusted for context) this year, ranking in the 77th percentile among wide receivers.

Trends Favoring The Under Receiving Yards Prop Bet

Given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Philadelphia Eagles to pass on 51.0% of their downs: the lowest rate on the slate this week.

The predictive model expects the Eagles to call the fewest total plays on the slate this week with 67.4 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

Opposing QBs teams have been disinclined to lean on the pass against the Kansas City Chiefs, averaging the 8th-fewest attempts in the NFL (just 29.8 per game) this year.

After accumulating 116.0 air yards per game last season, A.J. Brown has significantly declined this season, currently boasting 87.0 per game.

The Philadelphia offensive line grades out as the worst in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative effect on all pass game metrics across the board.

Projection For A.J. Brown Receiving Yards Prop Bet

A.J. Brown is projected to have 85 Receiving Yards in this weeks game.