A.J. Brown Projections, Prop Bets & Odds

A.J. Brown projections and prop bets for Philadelphia Eagles at Washington Commanders on Dec 22, 2024

A.J. Brown Player Prop Bet: Receiving Yards

Receiving Yards Prop Bet Odds:

• Receiving Yards 74.5 over: -110
• Receiving Yards 74.5 under: -110

Trends Favoring The Over Receiving Yards Prop Bet

The Philadelphia Eagles have called the 8th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a whopping 59.6 plays per game.

This week, A.J. Brown is anticipated by the projection model to find himself in the 88th percentile when it comes to wideouts with 8.6 targets.

A.J. Brown's 88.6 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that weighs high-value offensive usage) has been notably higher this year than it was last year at 77.6.

In regards to protecting the quarterback (and the positive effect it has on all passing attack statistics), the offensive line of the Eagles grades out as the 10th-best in the NFL this year.

With an exceptional 82.0 adjusted yards per game through the air (97th percentile) this year, A.J. Brown places among the top WRs in the game in the league.

Trends Favoring The Under Receiving Yards Prop Bet

This game's line implies a running game script for the Eagles, who are favored by 3.5 points.

The leading projections forecast the Eagles as the least pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 46.7% pass rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

Our trusted projections expect the Eagles to run the 11th-fewest total plays among all teams this week with 64.5 plays, given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.

Opposing quarterbacks teams have been unwilling to pass too much against the Commanders, totaling the 3rd-fewest attempts in the league (just 30.6 per game) this year.

After accruing 116.0 air yards per game last season, A.J. Brown has regressed heavily this season, now sitting at 91.0 per game.

Projection For A.J. Brown Receiving Yards Prop Bet

A.J. Brown is projected to have 74.7 Receiving Yards in this weeks game.