New England Patriots at San Francisco 49ers Prediction For 9/29/2024

Patriots vs 49ers Betting Odds

New England Patriots vs San Francisco 49ers Win Probabilities

Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.

Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.

New England Patriots vs San Francisco 49ers Betting Preview

Sunday the New England Patriots (1-2) will battle the San Francisco 49ers (1-2). Oddsmakers peg the 49ers as the huge favorite with an implied win probablity of 81%, leaving the Patriots with a 19% chance to record a win. The current spread is the 49ers -10.0 with a Game Total of 39.5.

San Francisco's primary advantage has been their offense, which ranks #3 in the NFL at 392 yards per game. The quality of their passing attack has led to much of their success. The 49ers 270 yards per game through the air ranks #3-best in football this year. They haven’t made things easy for opposing defense given they they've also positioned themselves in the top 10 on the ground as well, rushing for 5.02 yards per carry. When it comes to their defense, the 49ers check in at #6 in football when it comes to total yards allowed per game. Opposing air attacks have notched 231 yards per game against San Francisco this year (#11 in football). Opposing ball-carriers have ranked #23 against them with 4.23 yards per ground attempt. This 49ers defense hits their peak effectiveness when it comes to defending opposing tight ends, keeping them in check at just 6.31 yards per target (#1-best in the league). San Francisco's defensive effectiveness in the pass game bottoms out when it comes to defending opposing running backs, who have scorched them for 40 yards per game (#3-worst in the league).

New England's biggest strength has been their run defense, which ranks #1 in the league while allowing just 3.63 yards per carry this season. The Patriots defensive tackles have played a big part in their ability to stop the run, ranking #9-best in the NFL by this measure. In terms of their offense, the Patriots have ranked #30 in the league in total yards per game. They've passed for 198 yards per game (#28 in football). On the ground they've ranked #11 with 4.74 yards per carry.

New England Patriots vs San Francisco 49ers Prediction

Final Score: New England Patriots 15.57 vs San Francisco 49ers 29.46

NOTE: The above stats and rankings are adjusted for context based on sample size and matchup factors. Note that, by design, these stats will not match up with those you find on stat pages and leaderboards around the industry, however are more predictive for ranking stats and for contextualizing the data. Statistics include data from the beginning of the 2023 NFL season to the present time in the 2024 season to allow a more representative sample size.

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