The Cleveland Browns head out to Las Vegas on Sunday for a Week 12 game against the Raiders. Both teams are struggling through disappointing seasons with identical 2–8 records. Both teams are out of realistic playoff contention at this point and will try to get a win against a team that is also struggling. Before this contest kicks off from the desert, continue reading to find my Browns vs Raiders prediction.
Our Browns vs Raiders Pick
Pick: Raiders -4
Confidence: 1/5
Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Cleveland Browns @ Las Vegas Raiders
- Date & Time: Sunday, November 23, 2025, 4:05 PM ET
- Venue: Allegiant Stadium, Las Vegas, NV
- Broadcast: CBS
Key Storylines
One huge narrative in this game is the quarterback situation for Cleveland. Shedeur Sanders is expected to make his first NFL start. He came in during relief last week after Dillon Gabriel entered concussion protocol. Browns’ coach Kevin Stefanski now has to trust Sanders, despite his very limited reps with the first team and a rocky debut where he went 4/16 for 47 yards with an interception against the Baltimore Ravens.
Geno Smith remains the starter at quarterback for the Raiders. He has thrown 12 interceptions this season and is trying to lift a Las Vegas team that has been inconsistent, thanks in large part to his lack of consistency. The Raiders have failed to score 20 points in three of their last four games. They enter this contest on a four-game losing streak and Smith has to play better in order to end that losing streak.
Neither team has been firing on all cylinders offensively. The Browns average just 16.2 points per game, while the Raiders average 15.4 points per game. These lackluster numbers reflect sloppy, inefficient performances on both sides, which makes the low total of 36.5 points for this contest make a lot of sense.
Betting Trends
- Cleveland is 4-6 against the spread going into this contest.
- The Raiders are 4-6 against the spread this season as well.
- Cleveland has gone over the total in 6 of their first 10 games.
- The Raiders have gone under the total in 6 of their first 10 games.
Cleveland vs Las Vegas Model Projection
Score Projection: Browns 14 – Raiders 21
Win Probability: Browns 38%, Raiders 62%
Final Thoughts
If you are expecting an exciting game due to the on-field product, you are not going to enjoy this matchup between the Browns and Raiders. This game will be dripping with intrigue, as Sanders makes his first career start. But I think we’re in for a poor performance from both him and Geno Smith. I’ll lay the points with the Raiders, but I don’t feel strongly about either team delivering in this game.
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