Utah Jazz

Utah Jazz

Jan 4, 2025

Miami Heat

Miami Heat
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

Utah Jazz at Miami Heat Best Bet – 1/4/2025

  • Date: January 4, 2025
  • Venue: Kaseya Center


Betting Odds

Spread:Utah Jazz 8.5 (-110), Miami Heat -8.5 (-110)
Over/Under:223.5
Moneyline:Utah Jazz 285, Miami Heat -345


Utah Jazz vs Miami Heat Win Probabilities

Implied Win %:Projected Win %:
Utah Jazz - 25%Utah Jazz - 27%
Miami Heat - 75%Miami Heat - 73%

Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.

Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.

Utah Jazz vs Miami Heat Betting Preview

The Utah Jazz (7-25) will face off against the Miami Heat (17-15) on Saturday night at 8:00 PM ET at Kaseya Center. This matchup presents intriguing dynamics, particularly for bettors looking for insights.

The Jazz come into this game with extra rest, having last played three days ago, which could provide an advantage in terms of player energy and preparation. However, the long trip across two time zones poses a significant challenge, potentially impacting their performance. The Jazz are currently on a tough streak, having lost their last five games, including a 119-103 defeat to the New York Knicks.

On the other hand, the Heat have been solid at home, winning 10 of their last 15 games at Kaseya Center. Despite a recent loss to the Indiana Pacers (128-115), Miami is still considered a strong favorite, with the spread set at Heat -8.5. The Heat's Moneyline sits at -345, while the Jazz are at +285, reflecting an implied win probability of 25% for Utah and 75% for Miami.

For those looking at player prop bets, Lauri Markkanen’s points have become a popular market. The over/under is set at 20.5 points with odds at -110, drawing sharp bettors who believe this line could be mispriced.

As the Jazz look to snap their losing streak, the combination of travel fatigue and the Heat's strong home performance makes this an intriguing matchup for both fans and bettors alike.


Utah Jazz vs Miami Heat Prediction

Final Score: Utah Jazz 111.27 vs Miami Heat 119.37

Visit the NBA picks and predictions section for the rest of today's games.

Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

+8.5/-108
48% UTA
-8.5/-112
52% MIA

Moneyline Pick Consensus

+287
5% UTA
-361
95% MIA

Total Pick Consensus

224.0/-108
10% UN
224.0/-112
90% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats Per Game
  • Team Stats Per 100 Poss
  • Four Factors
  • Analytics

Offense/Defense

UTA
Team Stats Per Game
MIA
34
Games
33
39.6
FG
40.9
85.9
FGA
88.0
.461
FG%
.465
13.9
3Pt-FG
13.6
38.1
3Pt-FGA
37.5
.366
3Pt%
.362
25.7
2Pt-FG
27.3
47.9
2Pt-FGA
50.4
.537
2Pt%
.541
18.1
FT
14.8
22.9
FTA
18.4
.792
FT%
.801
12.0
ORB
11.2
33.2
DRB
34.0
45.2
TRB
45.2
24.8
AST
26.7
6.9
STL
7.2
5.0
BLK
5.1
18.4
TOV
14.9
18.7
PF
18.8
111.3
PTS
110.1

Defense/Offense

UTA
Team Stats Per Game
MIA
34
Games
33
43.7
FG
39.4
91.3
FGA
86.1
.478
FG%
.457
14.3
3Pt-FG
14.1
39.7
3Pt-FGA
37.8
.360
3Pt%
.372
29.4
2Pt-FG
25.3
51.6
2Pt-FGA
48.2
.569
2Pt%
.524
16.7
FT
18.2
21.8
FTA
23.3
.767
FT%
.784
11.0
ORB
9.4
30.6
DRB
33.5
41.6
TRB
42.9
28.4
AST
25.9
10.3
STL
8.8
6.4
BLK
3.6
11.8
TOV
13.6
20.1
PF
16.5
118.4
PTS
111.1

Offense/Defense

UTA
Four Factors
MIA
.542
eFG%
.542
16.1
TOV%
13.5
28.2
RB%
74.9
.211
FT/FGA
.168

Defense/Offense

UTA
Four Factors
MIA
.557
eFG%
.539
10.5
TOV%
12.4
75.1
RB%
21.7
.183
FT/FGA
.212

Offense/Defense

UTA
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
MIA
34
Games
33
39.9
FG
41.8
86.5
FGA
89.8
.461
FG%
.465
14.0
3Pt-FG
13.9
38.3
3Pt-FGA
38.3
.366
3Pt%
.362
25.9
2Pt-FG
27.9
48.2
2Pt-FGA
51.5
.537
2Pt%
.541
18.3
FT
15.1
23.1
FTA
18.8
.792
FT%
.801
12.1
ORB
11.4
33.4
DRB
34.8
45.5
TRB
46.2
25.0
AST
27.3
7.0
STL
7.4
5.0
BLK
5.2
18.6
TOV
15.3
18.8
PF
19.3
112.0
PTS
112.4

Defense/Offense

UTA
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
MIA
34
Games
33
44.0
FG
40.2
91.9
FGA
87.9
.478
FG%
.457
14.4
3Pt-FG
14.4
39.9
3Pt-FGA
38.7
.360
3Pt%
.372
29.6
2Pt-FG
25.8
51.9
2Pt-FGA
49.3
.569
2Pt%
.524
16.8
FT
18.6
21.9
FTA
23.8
.767
FT%
.784
11.1
ORB
9.6
30.8
DRB
34.2
41.9
TRB
43.8
28.6
AST
26.4
10.4
STL
9.0
6.4
BLK
3.7
11.9
TOV
13.9
20.2
PF
16.8
119.1
PTS
113.4

UTA
Analytics
MIA
10
Pythag Wins
18
24
Pythag Losses
15
-7.06
Margin Of Victory
0.97
112.0
O Rtg
113.4
119.1
D Rtg
112.4
99.4
Pace
97.0
.267
FTr
.270
.443
3PAr
.440
.580
TS%
.576

Odds

  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
UTA MIA
UTA MIA
Consensus
+8.5 (-107)
-8.5 (-110)
+8.5 (-107)
-8.5 (-114)
+8.0 (-108)
-8.0 (-110)
+8.5 (-108)
-8.5 (-112)
+7.5 (-108)
-7.5 (-112)
+8.5 (-108)
-8.5 (-112)
+7.5 (-106)
-7.5 (-110)
+8.5 (-106)
-8.5 (-115)
+8.0 (-115)
-8.0 (-110)
+8.5 (-115)
-8.5 (-105)
+7.5 (-105)
-7.5 (-115)
+8.5 (-105)
-8.5 (-115)
Open
Current
Book
UTA MIA
UTA MIA
Consensus
+280
-360
+287
-361
+275
-345
+275
-345
+260
-320
+295
-370
+245
-305
+275
-345
+250
-320
+278
-355
+260
-350
+290
-375
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
224.5 (-110)
224.5 (-110)
224.0 (-110)
224.0 (-110)
224.5 (-110)
224.5 (-110)
224.5 (-112)
224.5 (-108)
223.5 (-110)
223.5 (-110)
224.5 (-114)
224.5 (-106)
223.5 (-110)
223.5 (-110)
224.0 (-110)
224.0 (-110)
224.0 (-110)
224.0 (-110)
224.0 (-110)
224.0 (-110)
223.5 (-110)
223.5 (-110)
224.5 (-110)
224.5 (-110)