The Memphis Grizzlies will meet the Phoenix Suns in a Western Conference showdown in the NBA on Wednesday night. Memphis is 2-2 on the season so far and they will try to get above the .500 mark against a Suns team that is struggling mightily early in the year. Before this game tips off from Phoenix, continue reading to get my Grizzlies vs Suns prediction.
Our Grizzlies vs Suns Pick
- Pick: Grizzlies -1.5
- Confidence: ★★★★☆
Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Memphis Grizzlies @ Phoenix Suns
- Date & Time: Wednesday, October 29, 2025, 10:00 PM ET
- Venue: PHX Arena, Phoenix, AZ
- Broadcast: NBA League Pass
Key Storylines
- Injury issues loom large for Memphis going into this game. The Grizzlies currently list six players on the injury report, including Zach Edey (ankle), Brandon Clarke (knee), Scotty Pippen Jr. (toe) and Ty Jerome (calf). They have to overcome those injury issues to avoid a second straight loss.
- Phoenix has its own health questions. Jalen Green (right hamstring) is questionable after missing the first four games and Dillon Brooks (right groin) remains out. Phoenix can't afford to be without key players, as we have seen early in the season.
- The Suns have been spotty on both ends of the floor. Phoenix has lost three straight games and they have allowed the second-most points per game of any team in the league this season. Only the Brooklyn Nets have been worse defensively and Phoenix will need to clean things up in that facet of the game to be a more competitive basketball team.
- Memphis has lost two of its last three games and defense has been a problem for them over that stretch as well. The Grizzlies have given up over 130 points to the Warriors and Heat over their last three outings. They will try to right the ship against the struggling Suns.
Head‑to‑Head & Betting Trends
- Memphis holds a strong advantage in the head-to-head with Phoenix recently. They have won the last five games they have played against Phoenix. That includes all four of their matchups against the Suns last season.
- The Grizzlies are 2-2 against the spread so far this season.
- Phoenix is 1-3 against the spread early on.
- Memphis has gone over the total in three of its first four games.
- The Suns are 4-0 to the over through their first four outings.
- Phoenix is 1-0 at home this year. They beat the Sacramento Kings in their first home game of the season.
- Memphis is 0-1 on the road after losing in San Francisco against the Warriors on Monday.
Best Player Props to Watch
Player | Prop |
|---|
Devin Booker (Suns) | Over 29.5 points |
Ja Morant (Grizzlies) | Over 25.5 points |
Jaren Jackson Jr. (Grizzlies) | Over 20.5 points |
Grizzlies vs Suns Model Projection
- Score Projection: Memphis Grizzlies 112 – Phoenix Suns 106
- Win Probability: Memphis 57%, Phoenix 43%
Final Thoughts
I'm not sure that trusting either of these teams is a great idea based on what we have seen so far this season. But I do think that the Grizzlies are the safer bet by a slim margin. Phoenix has been horrendous defensively so far this year. While the Grizzlies have plenty of their own flaws, they should be able to score enough to get the job done here.
Jay Sanin
Jay Sanin is the GM and Head of Sports at ATS.io. He has been writing about sports gambling since 2013, handicapping tens of thousands of sporting events. He plays sides and totals aggressively across most sports and is more selective in player prop markets. He does his own modeling across most sports, and his family is jealous of how much time he spends on his precious spreadsheets.
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